NFL Week 15 DFS Picks: Finding Value in Slim Sunday Slate
Marcus Mosher | 5 mins
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Week 14 was our best DFS week in 2020 as we correctly picked the No. 1 and No. 2 running backs of the week. But Week 15 will be a tough challenge as we have a limited Sunday slate because two games are set for Saturday afternoon.
Here are our best picks for Week 15, all with prices from DraftKings.
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Top DFS Team for NFL Week 15
|QB||Ryan Tannehill||Titans vs Lions||$6,700|
|RB||Alvin Kamara||Saints vs Chiefs||$7,400|
|RB||J.K. Dobbins||Ravens vs Jaguars||$5,900|
|WR||A.J. Brown||Titans vs Lions||$7,600|
|WR||T.Y. Hilton||Colts vs Texans||$5,500|
|WR||Jalen Reagor||Eagles at Cardinals||$4,400|
|TE||Logan Thomas||Washington vs Seahawks||$4,000|
|FLEX||Jeff Wilson||49ers at Cowboys||$5,100|
|D/ST||Seattle Seahawks||Seahawks at Washington||$3,100|
Note: Based on a $50,000 salary cap for the week and for Sunday daytime contests
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Best Week 15 DFS QB
Titans QB Ryan Tannehill ($6,700)
Matchup: vs. Lions
Ryan Tannehill has been one of the league's best (and most valuable) DFS quarterbacks over the past month. In his previous four games, he has averaged over 22.5 points per game with a 31-point performance against Cleveland in Week 13. His arm and rushing ability both mean he has one of the highest floors in fantasy football.
This week, Tannehill will face the Detroit Lions, who are allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. While this certainly could be another huge Derrick Henry performance, look for Tannehill to get into the end zone multiple times and throw for at least 250 yards. Tannehill should be a lock to score 20 or more points this week, and his ceiling is much, much higher.
Best Week 15 DFS RB
Ravens RB J.K. Dobbins ($5,900)
Matchup: vs. Jaguars
Coming off the game of the year against the Browns, the Ravens host the 1-12 Jaguars in Week 15. Baltimore likely will lead by a ton early, meaning even more carries for the running backs. That positive game script could favor J.K. Dobbins, who is already becoming more involved in the offense. The rookie running back from Ohio State has scored a touchdown three straight weeks and has received 11 or more carries in each of those games.
Sunday could be Dobbins' biggest workload of the season against one of the league's worst run defenses. He might only need 15-16 carries to finish the week as an RB1. Look for Dobbins to be a strong RB2 this week with an even higher ceiling if the Ravens fully commit to him. Week 15 could be his breakout performance of the season.
Best Week 15 DFS WR
Colts WR T.Y. Hilton ($5,500)
Matchup: vs. Texans
Remember a few weeks ago when we suggested you put T.Y. Hilton into your lineup because he has a history of dominating the Texans? Well, Hilton did it again. In Week 13, he caught eight passes for 110 yards and a score for 28 DFS points. That seemed to jump-start him this season as he scored over 25 points again last week against the Raiders.
Hilton again faces Houston, and this time the Texans will be without top defensive back Justin Reid. While Reid is a safety, the entire Texans' secondary has been decimated by injuries over the past few weeks. At just $5,500, Hilton remains a great value against a team that can't figure out how to slow him. Look for the Pro Bowl receiver to have another 100-yard day against the Colts’ AFC South Division rival in Week 15.
Best Week 15 DFS TE
Washington TE Logan Thomas ($4,000)
Matchup: vs. Seahawks
Outside of Travis Kelce, it’s nearly impossible for DFS players to find consistent production at tight end. With Darren Waller and Hunter Henry playing on Thursday Night Football, our options are even more limited. However, one of the better options around $4,000 is Logan Thomas of the Washington Football Team.
Over the past three weeks, Thomas has totaled 192 yards and two touchdowns. But what's even more encouraging is that he has caught 19 of 20 targets, and Washington is keeping him involved in the passing game. Against a leaky pass defense, Thomas could be in for another big day in the middle of the field. Don't expect a ton of yards, but he should have a high catch rate and might get into the end zone once or twice. Considering the state of the tight end position in the NFL, that's all you can ask for at this point.
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Best Week 15 DFS FLEX
49ers RB Jeff Wilson ($5,100)
Matchup: at Cowboys
This might be a chalk play but consider this a "free square" as Jeff Wilson is the ideal FLEX play this week. With starting RB Raheem Mostert unlikely to play, Wilson is likely to earn the start. He's coming off an average performance in Week 14 but faces a Cowboys defense that has allowed several 250-yard rushing days this season. In Wilson's only start of the year (Week 7), he rushed for 112 yards on 17 carries and scored three touchdowns against the Patriots. He left that game with an injury, but we know what type of potential he has as a lead running back.
Wilson should be in line for double-digit carries this week and could easily exceed 20 touches. If the 49ers give him that type of workload, he might finish as an RB1 this week. In fact, he could finish as the No. 1 running back this week, given all of the problems the Cowboys have had stopping the run this season. Find a way to get him into your lineups this week and watch the points pile up.