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By Adam Thompson | | 11 mins
Best NFL Parlay Bets For Eagles-49ers, Bengals-Chiefs
The old mantra “defense wins championships” must only pertain to Super Bowls, because that has not been how it’s worked on NFL Championship Sunday. Points get tallied in AFC and NFC Championship games.
The AFC Championship matchup between Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals totaled 51 points in the 2022 playoffs, and that was a low-scoring outlier. Even with that number, the last four AFC title clashes have averaged 60 points.
RELATED: Best Bets and Picks for NFL Conference Championship Sunday
Last year’s NFC Championship managed a modest 37 points, but that was not unexpected with the defense-first Rams and 49ers facing off. Prior to that, the last seven NFC title games averaged 55.3 ppg.
The totals for Bengals vs. Chiefs, as well as the NFC clash between Jalen Hurts’ Philadelphia Eagles and Brock Purdy’s San Francisco 49ers, range in the mid-40s.
Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson has his finger on the pulse of the NFL. Thompson has hit on over 62% of his NFL picks in each of the last three years. Here are his two parlays for the Conference Championship Round of the 2022-23 NFL Playoffs:
Intriguing NFL Championship Sunday Parlay
| Parlay | Odds |
|---|---|
| PHI ATS, CIN ATS, CIN-KC Over | +586 at BetMGM |
Odds from the above sports betting sites are current as of publication but subject to change.
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Best NFL Championship Sunday Parlay
Leg 1: Eagles -2.5 over 49ers
The Cowboys got to Brock Purdy and held him without a TD and only 218 yards passing. The Niners still won because Dak Prescott struggled mightily and the Cowboys defense couldn’t make big plays when opportunities arose. The Eagles defense ranks No. 1 in sacks and No. 4 in interceptions. They make big plays.
The Eagles are 15-1 with Hurts under center, including 7-2 ATS at home. Philly has been -5 or less twice at Lincoln Financial and won those games by 25 and 17.
Take a look at Eagles vs 49ers odds, injury report, betting lines and more.
Leg 2: Bengals -1 over Chiefs
Joe Burrow has turned it on, the Bengals defense has turned it up, and Cincinnati won’t be afraid of going into Arrowhead – it won here last year in the AFC title game, beat KC in Cincy earlier this year and just shut down Josh Allen and the Bills in snowy Buffalo.
Mahomes’ ankle injury is the real deal and is going to hurt the league’s top throw-on-the-run QB. More important, Burrow and the Bengals offense may not be stopped often enough by the Chiefs. KC causes QB havoc by blitzing, but Burrow ranks No. 2 in QB rating against pressure.
Take a look at Chiefs vs Bengals odds, injury report, betting lines and more.
Leg 3: Bengals vs Chiefs Over 46.5 Points
The first three meetings between Mahomes and Burrow have produced 51, 51 and 65 points. This number is well below those totals, likely due to the ankle injury of the KC QB. But still, this number seems low.
The last three Chiefs games with O/Us in the 40s have all hit Over and averaged 55.7 ppg. Cincy has scored at least 23 points in all but one game since Week 8 and KC has 24-plus in every game since Week 9. Expect both offenses to produce.
Take a look at Chiefs vs Bengals odds, injury report, betting lines and more.
We’ve locked in these odds for this NFL Conference Championship Round parlay at +596 at BetMGM Sportsbook.
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