By Adam Thompson | Jan 14th, 2022 | 5 mins

Two Best NFL Parlay Bets For Wild Card Weekend: 'Expect The Expected' & 'Defense First'

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Bookies.com senior handicapper Adam Thompson has his finger on the pulse of the NFL. Thompson is hitting on 62.1% of his 2021 NFL best bets at sportsbooks, this after hitting 62% in 2020 and 64% in 2019.

When it comes to picking NFL spreads in the six NFL Wild Card Weekend matchups, favorites and underdogs don’t really show much of a difference in success. Unless that favorite at sportsbooks is a big favorite.

Of the last 10 teams to be favored by at least 10 points in the opening weekend of the NFL Playoffs dating back more than a decade, eight of them have covered the sizeable spread on betting apps. Only one game fits the bill this weekend: The Chiefs are favored by 12.5 points over the visiting Steelers; KC hammered Pittsburgh 36-10 in a regular-season matchup.

When it comes to the totals, there is a clear side to favor. The Under has hit in nearly two-thirds of all Wild Card weekend games since 2010.

Here are our best two NFL betting parlays for the Wild Card games:

Best NFL Wild Card Parlays

NFL odds are current as of publication but subject to change.

The 'Expect The Expected' Parlay

Leg 1: Buccaneers -380 ML over Eagles

Weather may keep this game closer than it would be under usual sunny Florida skies. Philly has advantages but Tampa’s run defense and Tom Brady’s guile should be enough to escape.

Take a look at Eagles vs Buccaneers odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Leg 2: Bills -4 over Patriots

The Bills have re-found their form to close out the season, including a dominating win over the Pats on the road. New England appears to be running out of gas, dropping three of four with the lone win vs. Jacksonville. New users at FanDuel New York can grab a risk-free first bet worth up to $1,000 following the launch of online sports betting in the Empire State.

Take a look at Bills vs Patriots odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Leg 3: Rams -3.5 over Cardinals

The Rams have dominated the Cards over the last few years and the pass defense on their side is far stronger and more productive. Arizona’s strengths don’t match up with L.A.’s game plan. It’s a favorable matchup all-around for the Rams.

Take a look at Cardinals vs Rams odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

We’ve locked in these odds at +355 with FanDuel Sportsbook. If you haven’t signed up at FanDuel, you can use a FanDuel promo code to unlock a risk-free first bet worth up to $1,000 to use on the NFL this week.

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The 'Defense Wins WC Games' Parlay

Leg 1: Eagles-Buccaneers Under 49.5

Strong winds are expected to be a major factor, which should result in less passing and more running from Tom Brady’s Bucs. Philly is going to run as much as possible, too. Less air, more ground, more clock churning.

Take a look at Eagles vs Buccaneers odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Leg 2: Steelers-Chiefs Under 46

The Steelers have become a dink-and-dunk team; to have any chance here, it will need to keep this game in the 20s. They’ve had great success slowing Tyreek Hill in the past and are among the top teams vs. TEs, limiting KC’s potency.

Take a look at Chiefs vs Steelers odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Leg 3: Raiders-Bengals Under 49

We could get snow for kickoff, which would be exciting for TV viewers but not great for those who want a 33-30 shootout. Each team would prefer to throw and use the pass to set up the run. That may not work successfully here.

Take a look at Bengals vs Raiders odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

We locked in this parlay at +596 at FOX Bet. If you sign up with the FOX Bet promo code, you qualify for a risk-free first bet worth up to $500.

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Adam Thompson

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