When it comes to sweeping trends, there aren’t any through four weeks of the 2022 NFL season. Home teams are 32-31-1 against the spread. Favorites are 29-33-1. Neither are bankable, all-encompassing strategies.

Oddsmakers on betting apps have figured out most teams, as well. Only one team is a perfect 4-0 ATS. It’s the Atlanta Falcons, who have been an underdog all four games but by all accounts have exceeded expectations in a 2-2 start. No team is 0-4.

The Detroit Lions are the lone team that’s played in four games in which the Over has hit every time. The Over is 3-1 in Browns, Jaguars and Falcons games. Three teams have only played to Unders: The Bengals, 49ers and Colts.

RELATED: NFL Week 5 Picks, Predictions and Best Bets

No team that’s been favored even twice out of four games has covered in each instance. Two teams are 0-3 ATS as a favorite: The Colts and Panthers simply haven’t gotten it done. The Giants and Lions are each 2-0 ATS as underdogs, while the Rams and Commanders are an imperfect 0-2.

Right now, it’s less about trends and more about matchups. Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson has created a system that finds the matchups worth backing. Thompson has hit on over 62% of his NFL best bets in each of the last three years, and hit on 70% in Weeks 3-4 of this season. Here are his two parlays for Week 5 of the 2022 NFL betting season:

Two Best NFL Week 5 Parlays For 2022

Odds from the above sports betting sites are current as of publication but subject to change.

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Best NFL Week 5 Parlays To Back Today

Leg 1: Bucs -8.5 over Falcons

Each team is 2-2, but the strength of schedule couldn’t be much different. This is still a matchup between a Super Bowl contender and one that is expected to struggle. This is the game the Bucs put it together.

Take a look at Falcons vs Buccaneers odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Leg 2: Vikings -6.5 over Bears

Similarly, Chicago hasn’t been impressive but is 2-2. Still, Minnesota is going to score and Chicago doesn’t have the horses to keep up. The Vikings defense has underachieved but is due.

Take a look at Bears vs Vikings odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Leg 3: Chiefs -7 over Raiders

Kansas City won last year’s matchups 48-9 and 41-14. We’re not expecting that brutal of a score, but we do expect a double-digit win for a team that has just put up 40-plus in half their games. Vegas’ defense has been consistently mediocre, and while Josh Jacobs ran well last week, he now faces the NFL’s top-ranked run D.

Take a look at Chiefs vs Raiders odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

We’ve locked in these NFL odds for our NFL Week 5 parlay at +568 with Caesars Sportsbook. If you haven’t signed up at Caesars Sportsbook, you can use a Caesars Sportsbook promo code to unlock $1,250 in first-bet insurance (essentially a risk-free bet).

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Alternative NFL Week 5 Parlay To Back

Leg 1: Browns +135 over Chargers

Cleveland has run roughshod over every opponent so far but fell apart twice in the fourth quarter to inferior opponents. L.A. is the bottom-ranked run offense but the top-ranked pass O. That should suit a Browns defense well that has two premier edge rushers and a backfield that’s effective and getting healthy.

Take a look at Browns vs Chargers odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Leg 2: Commanders +120 over Titans

Are the Titans back? The win over the Colts had its highs and lows, but through two weeks they rank 26th on offense and 29th on defense. That’s not a squad that should be favored on the road. Washington isn’t a ton better and has only 18 points the last two weeks, but that was against top-tier pass defenses in Philly and Dallas.

Take a look at Titans vs Commanders odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Leg 3: Patriots -145 over Lions

Not an upset, but we’re backing Bailey Zappe. Maybe. Or is it Mac Jones? As of right now we don’t know, but we like both of them against a Lions defense that ranks dead-last in yards and points allowed. The Lions can also score in bunches, and Bill Belichick knows how to slow down a Jared Goff-led offense.

Take a look at Patriots vs Lions odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

We locked in this NFL Week 5 parlay at +774 at BetMGM Sportsbook. If you sign up with the BetMGM Sportsbook promo code, you qualify for a $1,000 risk-free first bet.

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