The San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens earned the No. 1 seeds in their respective conferences, and they’re the top-two favorites in the Super Bowl futures odds. 

But there’s at least a real chance one of them, if not both of them, fail to cover the spread. Top seeds are just 14-24 against the spread in the divisional round over the last 19 seasons, a shocking 36.8% win rate. 

Last year, the 49ers were at -10.5 but rallied to edge the Packers just 24-21. The Ravens (-10) hammered the Texans 34-10. Since a seventh team was added to the NFC and AFC postseasons, the No. 1 seeds are 4-4 ATS, so perhaps it’s evening out. 

Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson has his finger on the pulse of the NFL. Thompson has made a profit in nine of the last 10 weeks with his NFL NFL best bets. Here are his two parlays for the NFL Playoffs Divisional Round:.

Intriguing NFL Divisional Round Parlays

Odds are current as of publication but subject to change. For the most updated NFL odds, please check the betting apps.

The “Chalk City” Parlay

Leg 1: Eagles -6 over Rams 

Matthew Stafford and the Rams have had themselves a run and carry momentum into this one. But he’s been a bad cold-weather QB and it could get frightful here, especially against a defense that pressures QBs. Saquon Barkley is set up for success against one of the bottom rush defenses in the league. Anything under a TD is a great buy. 

Leg 2: Commanders +9.5 over Lions

Top seeds have struggled to cover in divisional round games, and the Commanders’ defense has allowed over 20 points just once in the last six weeks. Detroit will likely go over that, but not enough that Jayden Daniels and Washington can’t at least keep it respectable with a strong backdoor cover option. 

Leg 3: Ravens -1.5 over Bills

Lamar Jackson has not been a good playoff QB, but with frightful weather expected in Buffalo, he may not throw the ball more than 15 times. That is exactly what the Ravens would prefer anyway, and if Buffalo gets too aggressive, Lamar’s legs and arm are enough. It’s tough to discount Josh Allen and what he’s done, but Baltimore’s top-ranked run defense is the difference. 

The “Feed The Man” Parlay

Leg 1: Derrick Henry Over 19.5 Rush Attempts 

The Ravens’ physical running back has carried at least 20 times in four straight games, garnering at least 138 yards in all four. With cold and snow expected for the showdown with the Bills in Buffalo, expect more rushing from Baltimore. Lamar Jackson will get him, but Henry will get consistently fed to punish Bills defenders in the bitter cold.

Leg 2: Saquon Barkley, Over 21.5 Rush Attempts 

Since Week 8, Saquon has rushed the ball at least 21 times in seven out of 10 games and had 19 and 20 carries in two of the others. The Rams rank 26th in yards allowed per rush. Philly has the pass-game weapons to force the Rams to pay attention enough, but Saquon has gotten the ball 25, 31, and 29 times in the last three weeks. It’s not tough to expect the same here. 

Leg 3: Ravens-Bills Over 51.5 Points 

Baltimore has a key path to success: Run the ball and run it again with both Henry and Jackson. The Bills will run it a ton as well, and while the path is a little murkier because Baltimore’s run defense is elite, Buffalo has faced great defenses before and found ways, scoring at least 30 points in 10 of the last 11 games that mattered.