Patrick Mahomes Player Props For Super Bowl 58

By Adam Thompson Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EDT

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Patrick Mahomes will play in his fourth Super Bowl in just five seasons. At age 28, a win on Sunday against the San Francisco 49ers could permanently put the Kansas City Chiefs leader onto the Mount Rushmore of QBs. 

It won’t be easy. The Chiefs are underdogs against the 49ers. San Fran’s defense ranks Top 10 in both points and yards allowed. 

For those looking to bet on the Super Bowl, Sportsbooks have thousands of prop bets to go along with the usual spread, total, and moneyline wagers. Many of them involve the two-time MVP Mahomes. 

Bookies.com veteran NFL handicapper Adam Thompson hit on over 60% of his NFL picks over the last four seasons. Here are his favorite Patrick Mahomes props for Super Bowl 2024. 

RELATED: Super Bowl 58: Betting Guide, Predictions & Best Bets To Back Today

Favorite Mahomes Super Bowl 58 Player Props

Over 36.5 Pass Attempts

Odds: -115 at BetMGM

Isiah Pacheco might have a rough go of it against the 49ers front 7. But there are spots to exploit in the passing game for Mahomes and his weapons. Mahomes had games of 39 and 41 attempts in the postseason. He exceeded this total in 12 of 19 games. If the favored Niners get off to a solid start, KC has a penchant for abandoning the run in favor of short passes. 

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Over 0.5 Interceptions

Odds: -115 at ESPN BET

But he hasn’t tossed a pick in four games. That’s on par with his typical postseason vibe; he has only seven INTs in 17 games. But against a pressure defense in the 49ers, we could see a reversing of the ways. The Niners ranked No. 1 in the NFL in interceptions (22), and Mahomes tossed a career-high 15 INT, nearly one per game. He also led the NFL in pressure allowed, holding the ball a little too long. That won’t work vs. this D. 

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49ers Over 1.5 Sacks

Odds: -115 at DraftKings

Holding the ball more than any other QB is going to be a recipe for disaster for Mahomes. Kansas City’s offensive tackles have been maligned (by Nick Bosa, anyway) for holding too much, and All-Pro guard Joe Thuney won’t play. Mahomes will get him, but he’ll take a few lumps along the way. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson

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Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.