Super Bowl Betting History: Spreads, Totals & Trends That Matter
The combatants for Super Bowl 60 remain to be determined. New England or Denver will represent the AFC. While Seattle or the LA Rams will play for the NFC. The lookahead lines have the Seahawks and Rams favored over the Patriots (-3.5 & -3) and Broncos (-9.5 & -8.5) at DraftKings. Meanwhile, when it comes to Super Bowl Betting History, one trend remains paramount: win the game, cover the number.
The game takes place at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California on Feb. 8. Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. (Eastern) on NBC/Peacock.
Across the modern era, Super Bowl champions have almost always rewarded bettors at the window. The eventual winner, therefore, has covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 Super Bowls and 18 of the past 21 overall. Zoom out even further and the trend holds — only seven winners have failed to cover the spread in Super Bowl Betting History
In short, picking the right side has usually meant picking the outright winner.
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Dynasties, Covers, And Familiar Faces
The Patriots lead all NFL franchises with 11 appearances. They didn’t just show up — New England covered the spread in seven of those trips in going 6-5 overall.
Pittsburgh sits next with eight Super Bowl appearances, further reinforcing how often elite franchises find themselves playing on the league’s biggest stage — and how often they influence long-term betting trends.
Underdogs Have Barked — Loudly
While favorites still hold the historical edge, underdogs have quietly become the better recent bet.
- Underdogs have covered 17 of the last 25 Super Bowls
- That includes the past three games
All-time, favorites among the first 59 Super Bowls (one game was a pick 'em) remain strong:
- 37-21 straight up
- 29-27-2 against the spread
But bettors chasing value in the Super Bowl have increasingly found it on the plus side of the number.
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Key Super Bowl Betting Trends & Nuggets
Here are some of the most bettor-relevant insights from recent Super Bowl history:
- Close games are the norm: Three of the last five Super Bowls were decided by a field goal
- One-score finishes: 12 of the past 21 Super Bowls
- Totals trend: The UNDER has hit in five of the last seven Super Bowls
- Fast starts matter: The team that scores first has won 38 of 59 Super Bowls
- First TD props: Wide receivers have scored the first touchdown in 26 Super Bowls
Super Bowl Betting History Q&A
How Often Does The Favorite Win the Super Bowl?
There's been a betting favorite in 58 of 59 previous Super Bowls,. Meanwhile, the lone exception -- a pick 'em -- came when New England beat Seattle 28-24 in Super Bowl 49.
The favored team has won 37 of 58 times, or 63.7%. That probability similarly translates into a a historic moneyline of -175.
How Often Does The Underdog Win The Super Bowl?
Conversely, the Super Bowl underdog has won 21 of 58 times, or 32.3%. That probability similarly translates into a a historic moneyline of +210. But be wary of large spreads. The underdog has won outright in 5 of 14 games (35.7%) with double-digit spreads.
How Often Do Favorites & Underdogs Cover The Spread In The Super Bowl?
The oddsmakers, not surprisingly, are pretty good at this stuff. Favorites are 29-27-2 against the spread in the 58 Super Bowls with a point spread. Nine times, meanwhile, the underdog scored a backdoor cover/push but did not win. The most recent backdoor cover came in Super Bowl 56. The Bengals (+4) lost 23-20 to the Rams.
In the 19 Super Bowls boasting a line of 3 points or fewer (not counting the Super Bowl 49 pick'em), the underdog has won nine outright. That includes Philly's 40-22 win over Kansas City last year as 1.5-point dogs.
What Is The Largest Super Bowl Spread In History
The San Francisco 49ers beat the San Diego Chargers 49-26 in Super Bowl 29 as 18.5-point favorites. The New York Jets, meanwhile, upset the Baltimore Colts as 18-point underdogs in Super Bowl III. That marks the largest upset in the game's history. The Jets have not played in a Super Bowl since.
What Is The Smallest Super Bowl Spread In History
Super Bowl 49 between the Patriots and Seahawks closed as a pick 'em at kickoff. Both teams, in addition, were favored at various points in the lead-up to the game. Additionally, the 49ers beat the Bengals 26-21 as 1-point favorites in Super Bowl 16.
How Often Does Super Bowl Total Go Over & Under?
It's a dead heat. Of the 58 Super Bowls with a documented betting total, the over and under has each hit 29 times, for a perfect 50%. Philadelphia beat Kansas City 40-22 in Super Bowl 59, easily eclipsing the closing total of 49.5. Additionally, that marked the 16th time the total landed between 48 and 52 points, according to FanDuel. In those games, the total has gone over 10 times, or 62.5%.
What's The Highest Total in Super Bowl History?
Super Bowl 51 closed with a 57.5-point total. The Patriots, meanwhile, erased a 28-3 deficit to beat the Falcons 34-28 in overtime. James White's rushing TD, subsequently, Tom Brady's 5th ring, along with the over and cover on New England (-3).
In addition, in the nine Super Bowls with a total of 50 points or greater this century, the number has gone under seven times.
What's The Lowest Total In Super Bowl History?
The lowest point total in Super Bowl history is 33 points. That number was shared in Super Bowls 7, 8 and 9. The under, however, landed in all three. The Miami Dolphins beat Washington 14-7 in Super Bowl 7, icing their 17-0 season. The Dolphins repeated with a 24-7 win over Minnesota the following year. The Steelers began their dynastic run during the 1970s with a 16-6 win over the Vikings the next season.
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Super Bowl Odds & Betting History
Below, you’ll find a historical table of Super Bowl winners, including the most recent champion, with closing totals listed in parentheses — a snapshot of how spreads, totals, and results have evolved over time.
Super Bowl Game-By-Game Betting Results
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