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Top 25 Prop Bets for Super Bowl 2025

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 

Top 25 Prop Bets for Super Bowl 2025

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There is no bigger sports betting date on the calendar than Super Bowl Sunday. Thousands of props will be available for the Feb. 9 matchup at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans between Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs against Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles. 

With more access to legal, online sports betting options, Super Bowl 59 is likely to be the most bet-on sports event in U.S. gaming history. Sportsbooks have embraced the phenomenon, creating a seemingly countless amount of prop bets to go along with the usual spread, total, and money line wagers.

Bookies.com veteran NFL handicapper Adam Thompson hit on over 60% of his NFL picks over the last four seasons. In addition to his game picks, he has scoured piles of props at all available betting apps.

Here are his favorite 25 props for Super Bowl 2025. 

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1. Star Spangled Banner Length – Over 105.5 Seconds (-115 at DraftKings)

Jazz musician and New Orleans native Jon Batiste has performed the national anthem at notable events in the past, including when the NBA resumed play following the pandemic, via piano at a festival in Aspen at the 2017 NBA All-Star Game. Those three renditions went 121, 115 and 148 seconds. Nobody speeds it up in their one opportunity at the Super Bowl. 

2. Opening Kick – Returned (+186 at FanDuel)

This is usually a doomed pick, but this year’s rule, this year’s teams and this year’s Super Bowl kickers could buck the trends. Roughly 65% of kickoffs this season were touchbacks, both no two teams returned more kickoffs than the Eagles (52.8%) and the Chiefs (47.5%). The kickers ranked 14th and 15th in touchback percentage (69% and 65%)

3. Eagles First Drive – Touchdown (+200 at BetMGM)

The Eagles have scored opening-drive TDs in five of their last six games, including all three in the postseason. The Chiefs’ defense has given up only one opening-drive TD in the last nine games, but prior to that gave up five in 10 games. 

4. Chiefs Opening Drive – Score (-105 at DraftKings)

KC hits games running. The Chiefs have scored some points on their opening drive in 11 out of 18 meaningful games (61.1%). Each team scored TDs in their opening drive in Super Bowl 57. 

5. Third Quarter – Eagles +0.5 (-148 at Caesars)

The Chiefs ranked 28th in third-quarter scoring all season, averaging just 3.1 points. They have yet to score in either third quarter in the postseason, too. The Eagles rank 7th in both scoring and points allowed in the third. 

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6. Highest Scoring Quarter – Fourth Quarter (+170 at Caesars)

The last two Super Bowls, both including the Chiefs, the first vs. these Eagles, featured a high-scoring fourth quarter that outpaced the opening 45 minutes. The second and fourth quarters feature nearly identical splits for both teams, on offense and defense, with the tiebreaker recent Super Bowl trends. 

7. Have 10+ Rush Yards in Each Quarter – Saquon Barkley (-150 at DraftKings)

Barkley averaged 24.6 yards per first quarter, and 22.9, 41.7 and 36.1 for the following three quarters. So it would need to have less than half his usual to finish under 10 yards in any quarter. Seemingly, only injury is keeping him from these totals. The Chiefs rushing D is allowing 41 rush yards per quarter over KC’s last four games. 

8. Longest Field Goal Made – Under 47.5 Yards (-115 at Caesars)

Harrison Butker and Jake Elliott have been good for a long time. But both showed some age this season. Butker was just 2-for-5 on field goal attempts of 50-plus yards, Elliott was 1-of-7, and neither has connected on a 50-yarder since Week 3. It would be nice if this number were a little higher, or the game was outdoors. But we’ll still fade the big leg. 

9. Isiah Pacheco, Over 5.5 Rush Attempts (-115 at DraftKings)

Pacheco is clearly the RB2 now behind Kareem Hunt. But the belief is that KC wants to establish the run game first. Pacheco has received five carries in each of the first two postseason games, and has that playoff moxie that Andy Reid could lean a little harder on.

10. Patrick Mahomes, Under 252.5 Pass Yards (-110 at BetMGM)

Mahomes has been The Man in four prior Super Bowl appearances, throwing for 333, 182, 270 and 286 yards. But the 182 total was against these Eagles, and Mahomes has historically had issues with Vic Fangio-led defense, averaging just 229 ypg in eight matchups (vs. the Broncos and Dolphins). Philly gave up 192.1 ypg through the air all year (second-fewest in the NFL) adds to the idea that KC will run more to set up better pass opportunities. 

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11. Patrick Mahomes, Under 36.5 Pass Attempts (-125 at BetMGM)

See above. More running means less passing – as long as the Eagles don’t build a huge lead and Reid is forced to abandon Plan A. 

12. DeAndre Hopkins, Over 13.5 Receiving Yards (-110 at DraftKings)

Hopkins had gained at least 29 yards in 12 of 13 games but had just one reception for 11 yards in two postseason games. The veteran was brought onto this team for this moment; expect Reid to set D-Hop for a couple of opportunities. It’ll likely take just two, if not one. 

13. Dallas Goedert, Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Goedert missed seven games in the regular season but returned for the finale and gained 55 yards on four receptions. In the playoffs, he’s gained 47, 56, and 85 yards with solid target numbers. That should work against the Chiefs, who allowed more receiving yards to tight ends than any team in the NFL, especially if a linebacker is stuck spying on Hurts. 

14. Most Receiving Yards – Travis Kelce (+290 at DraftKings)

Mahomes leans on Kelce in the biggest of games, and Kelce has delivered in those spots. In the last three Super Bowls, he’s managed only one TD but gained 133, 81, and 93 yards. He led all receivers at last year’s Super Bowl. Two years ago he led KC but DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown each had more. One big change: The Eagles didn’t have Saquon back then. 

15. Brandon Graham, Record a Sack (+250 at DraftKings)

Graham hasn’t played since Week 12 when he tore his triceps, and this bet is voided if Graham doesn’t play. But he’s logging practices, he’s using that arm, and he had 2.5 sacks in the final three games before his injury. Graham is two years removed from an 11-sack season. 

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16. Patrick Mahomes & Jalen Hurts, Longest 20+ Yards (+1000 at BetMGM)

My favorite longshot. Hurts had runs of 20-plus yards in eight games this season. Mahomes had one in just two games but had a double-digit scamper in eight of them. He’s also had a 20-plus run in the last two Super Bowls, and a 20-plus run in 8 of his last 18 postseason games (44.4%). These odds have an implied probability of 9.1%. 

17. Anytime TD – Saquon Barkley (-190 at Caesars)

If Barkley doesn’t score a TD, the Eagles are likely in huge trouble. He has 20 TDs in 19 games so far, including five in the last two playoff games. KC has done a solid job keeping opposing RBs out of the end zone, but Barkley is built differently. 

18. Two Touchdowns – Saquon Barkley (+290 at Caesars)

When it rains, it pours for Barkley. In his 19 games, he’s scored zero TDs in nine of them, and just one TD in two others. That means he’s reached the end zone two or more times a ridiculous eight times, a 42.1% rate that, if used for implied probability, works out to +138 odds. 

19. Anytime TD – Jalen Hurts (-105 at BetMGM)

Hurts has scored a rushing TD in 12 out of 18 games this season, a massive 66.7% success rate. The Chiefs allowed a modest four TDs to opposing QBs, but also the fifth-most rush attempts and the seventh-most yards. Hurts is likely to sneak away a few times, and we’ve got the Tush Push on our side, too. 

20. Anytime TD – Kareem Hunt (+130 at Caesars)

Hunt’s carries have gone down in the latter half of the season, but he is the clear focus in the red zone. He’s scored a touchdown in four straight games for the Chiefs. It’s very difficult to score on the ground vs. Philly, but Mahomes will keep the defense on its toes. 

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21. Highest Red Zone TD Percentage – Eagles (-125 at DraftKings)

The Eagles ranked 12th in the NFL in TDs scored inside the 20, converting 58% of the time, compared to 53.9% for the Chiefs. When it comes to red zone defense, Philly was better there, too, stopping 51.7% of opponents, compared to only 46.7% by Kansas City. 

22. Chiefs Players with a Reception, Under 8.5 (-175 at DraftKings)

Mahomes like to spread the ball around, but this seems high. Nine players have a catch this postseason for KC, but five of those have 1 or 2. Mahomes was 34-of-46 in last year’s Super Bowl and eight players caught balls. The previous year, seven caught passes. In KC’s last six games, eight players have caught balls in five of them, with only four in the other. Root against Justin Watson, who has three receptions in the last six games, or RB Samaje Perine, who has three over the last three. 

23. Super Bowl MVP Position – Tight End (+1500 at FanDuel)

A tight end has never won MVP, and it’s not likely to happen here; that’s why the odds are so high. But Travis Kelce has come close, and Dallas Goedert has been a big part of the Eagles offense in the playoffs and here faces the NFL’s worst team at covering TEs. Worth a sprinkle. 

24. Super Bowl MVP Position – Non-QB (+145 at FanDuel)

Mahomes has won three Super Bowl MVPs despite throwing for 201 and 182 yards in two of those games. But we have a lot of other viable options, especially if the Eagles can win. Saquon Barkley and A.J. Brown notably have chances for big games, and the tight ends are set up for success. 

25. A Score On Final Play – Yes (+980 at FanDuel)

The Chiefs are famously 12-0 in games decided by one score. Included in that are eight games decided by a field goal of less. In five of those games, KC kicked the game-winner with under 10 seconds to play, in three of them on the final play. There’s a good chance this is a fun, close game. We’ll win big if one team plays for a game-winner to secure the Lombardi Trophy. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.