Toronto Maple Leafs Odds, Predictions & 2021-22 Betting Tips

The Toronto Maple Leafs have not won the Stanley Cup since 1967. They have not even made it to the Finals since that season.

That doesn’t mean fan interest, especially with Ontario sports betting on single events now legal, won’t be rabid in the Canadian province and for all Canada sports betting fans. Every single night, it’s a sellout in Toronto, and that figures to be the case again for the 2021-22 NHL season.

With betting sites eager to take action on Toronto, let’s talk about the Maple Leafs from an NHL betting perspective as the new season dawns.

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Maple Leafs Stanley Cup Odds

The Odds: +900 at DraftKings

The sportsbooks like Toronto’s chances. No, not as much as three other teams (Colorado, Vegas and Tampa Bay), but the Maple Leafs open the season have the fourth-best NHL futures for the next Stanley Cup.

Despite another first-round playoff flameout last spring to arch-rival Montreal, the sportsbooks aren’t overlooking Toronto’s high-end offensive talent, led by Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner. If I am laying down any kind of serious money on the Maple Leafs’ Stanley Cup odds, though, I still worry too much about their defense and goaltending.

Jack Campbell showed lots of good stuff in net for Toronto last season, but remains unproven in the postseason - as do most Leafs regulars.

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Maple Leafs Eastern Conference Odds

The Odds: +600 at FanDuel

Two-time defending champion Tampa Bay is the only team favored more by the oddsmakers than Toronto to win the Eastern Conference crown. With the NHL’s playoff format still consisting of division teams playing each other until the conference finals, Toronto likely will have to go through the Lightning to at least play for the conference title.

Unlike last season, Toronto will have to face teams outside of Canada in the regular season, and Tampa Bay is in its division (Atlantic). I still like Tampa Bay to win the next Cup, so I’d fade the Leafs’ NHL odds as a conference winner.

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Maple Leafs Division Odds

The Odds: +195 at BetMGM

The betting sites actually like the Maple Leafs to win the Atlantic Division more than they do to win the Eastern Conference. It’s hard to blame them, really, given all Toronto’s playoff futility of the last, gulp, 54 years.

Toronto is the favorite of the oddsmakers to take the Atlantic, though, and, hey, I’ll buy in with that at BetMgM sportsbook. Tampa Bay may pace itself more for the playoff run. I think Cup finalist Montreal will be a factor in this division race, as will the Florida Panthers. But I can see Toronto taking the division crown.

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Maple Leafs Player Props

Top NHL goal-scorer: Auston Matthews

The Odds: +350 at DraftKings

This is a very good prop bet, and I’d take the action here. Matthews, in fact, was the leading goal-scorer last season, with 41 in 52 games. The next closest player was Connor McDavid, with 33. He has one of the quickest, most accurate shots in the game. He can score in and around the net, and he can score with medium-to-long-range wrist and slap shots. He’s a natural scorer.

Hart Trophy (NHL MVP): Auston Matthews

The Odds: +900 at FanDuel

Again, not a bad bet at all here. At +900, that’s a nice return on a prop bet for a guy with truly elite talent and leadership traits. Matthews is rated lower only than McDavid and Nathan MacKinnon for this trophy.

Norris Trophy: Morgan Rielly

The Odds: +2000 at DraftKings

Don’t bet the ranch at all here, but usually the Norris Trophy goes to the highest-scoring defenseman, and Rielly has the talent to do that under the right circumstances. In 2018-19, he posted an astounding 72 points in 82 games as a blueliner. A longshot for the Norris, sure, but not unthinkable.