After Mercedes delivered a shock win in Brazil, the field returns to Abu Dhabi for the 2022 season finale. 

Red Bull may have already wrapped up the titles but, when it comes to the team standings, there’s still plenty to play for – and lots of money on the line…

Here are the race odds on sports betting sites and betting apps. 

2022 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Odds

Odds via BetMGM and accurate as of publication.

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Last time out, Mercedes produced a stunning performance to win in Brazil. In fact, that wasn’t the only shock of the weekend as Kevin Magnussen took his and Haas’ first Formula 1 pole position. Wet weather helped the outcome in qualifying while Mercedes nailed their set-up and capitalized on the fact that there was one fewer practice session thanks to the Sprint. 

In Abu Dhabi, things are back to normal without the Sprint race. It’s far more straightforward to make a call here as Yas Marina rarely hosts a shock when it comes to the winner.

Red Bull are still the favorites to win but Mercedes are a threat – while Ferrari are hanging on to their second-place status by 20 points from the sterling Silver Arrows. 

2022 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Betting Predictions

Qualifying was frantic in Brazil but here in Abu Dhabi, it’ll be between Red Bull and Ferrari, with Mercedes expected to be up to half a second off the pace by some estimates. Given Yas Marina Circuit has a long back straight that leads into a twisty low-speed second sector, I’d back Max Verstappen for pole once again, with his teammate second favorite and then Mercedes’ Lewis Hamilton third-favorite. 

BetMGM are offering +125 for Verstappen to take pole, +1200 for Perez to do so, and +650 for Hamilton to do it on Saturday, or if you want to play it safe, they’re offering +110 for Red Bull to take pole. But this depends on the outcome of Free Practice – which will give a clearer picture of the teams’ pace. 

Sunday’s race will be dry and Abu Dhabi holds little in the way of surprises. Since the first Abu Dhabi GP, only Kimi Raikkonen has won the race from behind the front row – in 2012. Since then, the race has been won from pole position seven times, which underlines just how crucial P1 on the grid really is here. 

With the average margin of pole position sitting at around 0.25s at Abu Dhabi, it’s worth taking up BetMGM's odds of +180 for pole to be won by 0.101-0.250s. 

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Red Bull have also been rapid in the pits this season and BetMGM's F1 betting odds are offering two lucrative price boosts: +175 for them to have the fastest pit stop once again in Abu Dhabi or, if you’d like to take more of a risk, +1400 for Verstappen to win by 10+ seconds, have the fastest lap and Red Bull to have the fastest pit stop. 

However, fastest lap might go to Charles Leclerc or Sergio Perez, with both drivers on equal points as they challenge for second in the drivers’ championship. Their teams will be doing everything to give their drivers an advantage. Odds for Leclerc to take fastest lap are +650, with Perez offered at +650 via Caesars Sportsbook.

Verstappen is once again favorite to win this race, with Caesars offering +130 for the Dutchman to do it here. It’s generally a straightforward Grand Prix – 2021’s controversy notwithstanding – in Abu Dhabi and the reigning champion should cruise to a win on Sunday. 

If you want to push the boat out, Hamilton is posted at +275 to win, Russell at +360, or Charles Leclerc at +1000. 

As this is normally a clean race with few retirements, head to BetMGM and place +150 on over 17.5 cars to be classified in the end result on Sunday. 

Finally, looking forward to 2023, BetMGM Sportsbook' is also offering +225 for Hamilton to be 2023 drivers’ champion. It’s a long shot, but if Mercedes turn up and deliver in pre-season testing or the season-opening Grand Prix, you might not get odds as lucrative as that…

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