By Dan Kilbridge | | 21 mins
3M Open Odds, Betting Tips & Expert Picks at TPC Twin Cities
The PGA Tour heads back stateside this week for the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota.
The tournament is now in its third year and the golf betting board includes two of the top 10 players in the world, as well as a handful of other big names like Bubba Watson, Sergio Garcia and Rickie Fowler. Most of the A-listers are en route to Tokyo for the Summer Olympics after last week’s British Open at Royal St. George’s.
World No. 2 Dustin Johnson is the golf odds favorite this week at +700 with DraftKings , coming off a T-8 finish at the British Open. Louis Oosthuizen, who finished T-3 last week, is next at +1100 while Tony Finau is third at +1400 (both also at DraftKings ).
Patrick Reed (+1600) and Cameron Tringale (+2500) round out the top five on the sports betting board in Minnesota.
Top 2021 3M Open Odds
|Player||Win||Top 5||Top 10|
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3M Open Expert Pick
Doug Ghim Top-10 Finish
Odds: +500 at DraftKings
Ghim continues to improve in his first full season on Tour, and we expect him to thrive this week in his second appearance at the 3M Open.
The course seems like a great fit for his game and we saw it last year as Ghim bounced out of a big funk. He came to TPC Twin Cities having missed seven of his last eight cuts and played solid all week for a T-18 finish. He has more confidence now and will be familiar with the layout. He’s also been trending up in recent starts.
Ghim has made four of his last five cuts, improving on a T-32 at the Rocket Mortgage with a T-18 in his most recent start at the John Deere Classic. He’s pure with the irons and plays a great tee-to-green game for a course like this, with tons of water and potential trouble – Ghim ranks 11th on Tour in greens in regulation and 29th in driving accuracy.
On top of all that, we’re expecting low scores and Ghim ranks 33rd on Tour in birdie average. He’s also well-rested after a week off, unlike the British Open participants in the field. On the betting apps, we’re on Ghim for a top-10 finish.
For more great PGA Tour picks for the 3M Open from our team of handicappers, sign up for bookiesEDGE.
3M Open Betting Tips
This isn’t a short golf course by any means, but the 3M Open isn’t a great week for the bomb-and-gauge crowd. The course has hazards everywhere with water coming into play on 12 holes. And while the fairways are relatively generous, the big miss off the tee will usually find serious trouble.
There’s not a whole lot to the green complexes, so it’s fine to take average to below-average putters who are hitting it great tee-to-green. Distance off the tee is certainly helpful this week, but accuracy is more important than you usually see at events that yield winning scores around 20-under-par. Those in control of their golf ball should be able to score with ease, but all the water means you don’t want to pick scrambling wizards who tend to spray it around.
If you're thinking about a wager or heading to a sportsbook, our advice is to mostly forget about putting stats for the week and focus on players who tend to hit it flush and keep it on the fairways.
3M Open, Date & TV
When: Thursday-Sunday, July 22-25
Where: TPC Twin Cities, Blaine, Minnesota
TV: Golf Channel (Thursday-Friday, 2:30 p.m.-6:30 p.m. ET, Saturday-Sunday 1 p.m.-3 p.m.) CBS (Saturday-Sunday, 3 p.m.-6 p.m.)