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Mbappe Next Club Odds: Real Madrid In The Lead

Joe Short for Bookies.com

Joe Short  | 6 mins

Mbappe Next Club Odds: Real Madrid In The Lead

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Betting sites expect Kylian Mbappe to join Real Madrid this summer rather than stay at Paris Saint-Germain and believe Manchester United are best positioned to rival Real for the France international.

Mbappe will not trigger his contract extension this summer as had been expected, which means he now has just one year remaining on his current deal.

Under the 'Bosman' ruling, Mbappe could negotiate a free transfer with another club as soon as January, which means PSG must act fast to cash in on their superstar this summer or risk losing him for nothing 12 months down the line.

It has emerged that the 24-year-old isn’t interested in triggering a one-year extension on his current contract. Negotiations with PSG over a new contract – and raised wages – are ongoing, but by no means concluded.

This has opened up the possibility of Mbappe leaving Paris after five years in the French capital and moving to another European giant.

And U.K. betting sites expect the former Monaco ace to complete a move to Spain before the transfer window closes on Friday, September 1.

Kylian Mbappe Next Club Odds

Real Madrid-138
Manchester United+800
Manchester City+2000
Newcastle United+2000
Bayern Munich+3300

Odds via SkyBet and accurate as of publication.

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Where is Mbappe Headed?

So, assuming Mbappe will move club this summer, sportsbooks have acted swiftly to draw up a list of viable destinations. On the one hand, European soccer is open to wherever Mbappe wants to play. The World Cup winner would be welcome at any club. However, his salary will be an issue.

Mbappe earns a base annual salary at PSG of around $54 million. This doesn’t include endorsements or the reported $194 million he earned as a “signing-on fee." Finding a club that can match those finances will be difficult, if not impossible.

Remember, PSG are owned by the Qatari government and are flush with cash. Money might not be the driving factor behind Mbappe’s decision to leave, but it will help shape where he ends up.

Here, we look at the viable clubs Mbappe could join this summer.

Real Madrid

This looks like the obvious choice. Real Madrid are one of the few clubs in world football that can offer Mbappe the contract and the glory he craves. He would be their latest Galactico and there’s a place for him in their offensive line now that Karim Benzema has departed for Saudi Arabia.

Real failed to win the Champions League and La Liga last season, so there is demand to spend big on returning them to the top of European soccer. Mbappe has been coveted at the Bernabeu for years and a deal may well be struck this summer.

Stay at PSG

Sportsbooks think it’s more likely Mbappe moves to Real Madrid than remain at PSG. But they still believe there’s a possibility things will be smoothed over in Paris. Mbappe really is now the main man following Lionel Messi’s transfer to MLS

He and Neymar lead the line now, but there’s a feeling Mbappe has accomplished all he can from his stay in Paris. After all, PSG are serial Ligue 1 winners and the domestic campaign can be a bore compared to the Champions League. 

The club still hasn’t won European football’s biggest prize, but perhaps Mbappe sees Real as a better stepping stone to the trophy.PSG will have to negotiate hard to get Mbappe to stay. 

What’s more, they’ll probably need to fork out another $150m to $200m as a signing-on fee and increase his annual salary past $54m. That’s a lot of money just to keep a player happy.

Manchester United

The alternative to France or Spain is for Mbappe to move to England and supercharge his fame. The Premier League already has Erling Haaland, Mohamed Salah, Kevin De Bruyne, and Harry Kane. Why not add another world-class forward into the mix?

Mbappe joining Manchester United this summer would be a strange move unless United are sold to the Qataris. If Qatar's Sheikh Jassim wins in his $5bn battle for the club, then United will throw cash around this summer.

Mbappe would probably fit in at Old Trafford. He plays fast, expansive football that United fans were used to under Sir Alex Ferguson, but have been crying out for this past decade. Teaming up with Marcus Rashford, Anthony Martial, Bruno Fernandes, and Jadon Sancho would suit him. United would become one of the most deadly offenses in the world – and they’d have the money to fund it.

Manchester City

The only reason Manchester City are priced wider than United in the Mbappe betting odds is because they already have a settled roster. Where would Mbappe fit into a forward unit comprising of Erling Haaland, Jack Grealish, Kevin De Bruyne, Phil Foden, Bernardo Silva, Julian Alvarez, and Riyad Mahrez? 

Head coach Pep Guardiola would have to transfer out someone to get Mbappe into his squad.City, remarkably, don’t need Mbappe. That’s why sportsbooks have them at +2000 to sign him. The club has the funds to buy anyone they like, but not the need.

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Newcastle United

Another club where funds aren’t an issue is Newcastle United. Now owned by Saudi Arabia, Newcastle are expected to splash the cash this summer. They’re competing in the Champions League next season and there is already hope that they can challenge for the Premier League title.

Signing Mbappe would be a huge coup for the Saudis, who have already lured Messi away from Qatar-owned PSG. But Financial Fair Play might be a problem here. Mbappe’s contract is huge and Newcastle don’t yet have the legitimate income to avoid breaching FFP rules.

Give them a year or two, when their St James’ Park stadium is rebranded and their $31m annual shirt sponsorship deal with Sela (a Saudi company) is greatly bumped up, and they’ll be able to prove to the accountants that they’re not spending beyond their means. But for now, Mbappe appears out of reach.

Best of the Rest

The only two viable options for Mbappe, according to the transfer odds, are Liverpool and Bayern Munich. Liverpool appears too far a stretch, considering the team is in need of a wide-ranging overhaul and money must be channeled into that instead of a vanity project.

Bayern also feels a long way off. They have the money to rival Europe’s elite but aren’t stupid. Throwing hundreds of millions of dollars at Mbappe just to win the Bundesliga yet again, and perhaps win the Champions League / European Cup for a seventh time isn’t worth it.

All eyes are therefore on Real Madrid and Manchester United. One club is ready to sign Mbappe, the other could swoop if their ownership changes hands.

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About the Author

Joe Short, a contributor to Bookies.com, is a freelance journalist and former editor at the Daily Express, covering various sports, including soccer, darts and tennis.