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Nobel Peace Prize Odds: WHO, Navalny Among 2021 Favorites
Michael Kates | 8 mins
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The Nobel Peace will be awarded on October 8, 2021, and the Nobel Committee has plenty of candidates to consider. There are 329 total candidates (234 individuals; 95 organizations), the third-most ever but only slightly more than last year.
The World Health Organization (including COVAX and GAVI) remains the strong favorite to win, with odds of +175 at British bookmaker Ladbrokes, slightly worse than the even-money odds it was fetching in the spring. Reports Without Borders, which was +2000 in the spring, is now +1000.
The winner gets $1 million and is picked by a five-member panel appointed by the Norwegian parliament.
Just like with political odds, you can’t bet on Nobel Peace Prize odds at sportsbooks and the best mobile sports betting apps in the United States. But you can in Europe.
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Nobel Peace Prize Odds 2021
| Nobel Peace Prize Nominee | Odds |
|---|---|
| World Health Organization (including COVAX and GAVI) | 7/4 (+175) |
| Reporters Without Borders | 10/1 (+1000) |
| Alexei Navalny | 12/1 (+1200) |
| Greta Thunberg | 12/1 (+1200) |
| Svitlana Tsikhanouskaya | 12/1 (+1200) |
| UNFCCC | 12/1 (+1200) |
| Nathan Law Kwun-chung | 16/1 (+1600) |
| Palestinian Centre for Human Rights | 16/1 (+1600) |
| Bill Gates | 20/1 (+2000) |
| Joe Biden | 20/1 (+2000) |
Odds current as of publication and subject to change
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Who Is Favored To Win Nobel Prize 2021?
WHO (Including COVAX & GAVI)
This global project, spearheaded by the World Health Organization and the Gavi “vaccine alliance” aims to "ensure rapid and equitable access to COVID-19 vaccines for all countries, regardless of income level" through manufacturing and supply assistance. The initiative says it is on track to deliver at least two billion doses by the end of 2021, including more than half (1.3 billion) to 92 lower-income economies.
Reporters With Borders
The media watchdog group is based in Paris, which fights for freedom of t he press, is considered by some experts as a likely choice, Henrik Urdal, director of the Peace Research Institute Oslo, told Reuters."It resonates with the large debate about the importance of independent reporting and the fighting of fake news for democratic governance," he told the news agency.
Russian Dissident Alexei Navalny
Navalny has emerged as the leading opposition figure to Russian Vladimir Putin and was nearly killed in an attack involving a military-grade nerve agent last August. He returned to Russia after receiving treatment in Germany and was promptly arrested. Massive rallies and protests have sprung up around the nation with others jumping into his movement and protesting his arrest. He is seen as perhaps the greatest threat to date to Putin’s stranglehold on Russia.
Climate Activist Greta Thunberg
The 18-year-old Swedish environmentalist has been on the international stage for several years and was among the favorites to win the 2020 award but did not. Her forthright calls to world leaders and the masses to do more to tackle the threat climate change poses has won her a massive following.
Belarusian Dissident Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
Belarus has one of the most oppressive governments in the word, and Svitlana Tsikhanouskaya has led the opposition to president Alexander Lukashenko. Last year she fled the country after what her followers said was a rigged presidential election. "That would be a prize that resonates worldwide and would also be seen as a general reaction to what we now see as a bit of an autocratic backsliding in many countries," Urdal told Reuters.
Nobel Peace Prize FAQs
Who has been nominated for Nobel Peace Prize 2021?
Among the nominees for the Nobel Peace Prize 2021 are: The COVAX program (led by the World Health Organization and the Gavi “vaccine alliance”); Russian dissident Alexei Navalny; 18-year-old climate activist Greta Thunberg; Georgia voting rights activist Stacy Abrams; Black Lives Matter; Donald Trump; and the Committee to Protect Journalists.
Who was selected for the Nobel Peace Prize 2020?
World Food Programme was selected for Nobel Peace Prize 2020 "for its efforts to combat hunger, for its contribution to bettering conditions for peace in conflict-affected areas and for acting as a driving force in efforts to prevent the use of hunger as a weapon of war and conflict."
When is the Nobel Peace Prize awarded?
The Nobel Peace Prize will be awarded Oct. 8, 2021.
How do you win a Nobel Peace Prize?
To win a Nobel Peace Prize, you must first be nominated. A nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize may be submitted by any person who meets the nomination criteria. It is to be awarded to a person or organization who "shall have done the most or the best work for fraternity between nations, for the abolition or reduction of standing armies and for the holding and promotion of peace congresses.” Nominees are winnowed down to about 20-30 candidates by the Nobel Committee. They are then considered by the Nobel Institute’s permanent advisors, which issues reports back to the committee, who makes the ultimate decision.
Who is the youngest Nobel Prize winner?
Malala Yousafzai at 17 was the youngest Nobel Prize winner, receiving the 2014 award along with Indian children's rights activist Kailash Satyarthi. She had been blogging for the BBC since 2009 about her experiences during the Taliban's growing influence in the region of Pakistan where she lived. In 2012, the Taliban attempted to assassinate her on the bus home from school.
Did Greta Thunberg win a Nobel Peace Prize?
No, the young Swedish climate change activist has not won a Nobel Peace Prize.
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