Just weeks removed from the most unexpected triumph of his career, Phil Mickelson is ready to tee off at the tournament associated with his most spectacular close calls.

The reigning PGA Championship winner and future Hall of Famer has been one U.S. Open title short of the career grand slam ever since he won the 2013 British Open at Muirfield. At age 51 and clearly in strong form after his longshot victory at Kiawah Island, this year’s national championship at Torrey Pines might just be Mickelson’s last legitimate chance to capture the title he wants the most.

Mickelson is listed at +8000 at sportsbooks to win his second consecutive major after true believers cashed in big time on his +25000 PGA Championship betting line. His long, complicated U.S. Open history includes six runner-up finishes, most notably the 2006 tournament at Winged Foot in which he made double bogey on the 72nd hole to blow a one-shot lead.

While this venue would seem like a great hometown course for the San Diego native – he even played matches here back in high school - Mickelson’s history with Torrey Pines is more complicated, and the golf odds reflect that. He has three wins here but none since 2001, the same year Rees Jones conducted a thorough redesign of the South Course on which all four U.S. Open rounds will be played.

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Mickelson hasn’t exactly praised Jones’ work, and he was further slighted when his Phil Mickelson Design group was denied a bid on a proposed redesign on the North Course in 2015. Considering his critical view of the local municipal lately and emotionally-draining victory last month in South Carolina, it’s hard to gauge from a golf betting perspective what to expect from Mickelson as he tees it up this week searching for career major No. 7. But we’ll give it a shot.

Intriguing Phil Mickelson U.S. Open Odds to Consider

US Open odds current as of publication

Mickelson To Win, +8000

While he hasn’t had much success at the annual Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines since the South Course overhaul, it wouldn’t get much sweeter than knocking off the final leg of the career grand slam at the site of his first professional victory back in 1993.

Mickelson’s odds to win are still pretty juicy at +8000, but he’s getting much more respect from the bookmakers and betting public than when he went off at +25000 at last month’s PGA Championship. The 51-year-old has so many near-misses in this tournament over the years, but it’s been a while since he’s played his way into the mix. His last runner-up came in 2013 at Merion and Mickelson hasn’t placed better than T-28 since. We found him at +8000 early in the week at PointsBet sportsbook.

Mickelson To Make The Cut, -137

This might be the most intriguing Mickelson prop all week over at DraftKings sportsbook. The odds to make the cut are longer than one might think, especially given the fact that he’s only missed the cut twice in his last nine major appearances. But the U.S. Open is a different beast and requires more brute strength than the others. That should be especially true this week given the thick rough surrounding typically-skinny U.S. Open fairways.

Mickelson did miss the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge three weeks ago, his only start since the PGA Championship.

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Mickelson Top Left-Handed Player, +340

If the +8000 to-win odds at sports betting sites aren’t to your liking, this prop whittles down the field to just four additional contenders. Brian Harman and Garrick Higo are the favorite lefties at +275, while Mickelson is third at +340 at FanDuel (check out the FanDuel sportsbook review).

The 22-year-old Higgo is coming off a win at last week’s Palmetto Championship, while Harman has finished T-18 or better in five of his last six starts. However, Higgo finished T-64 in his major debut at last month’s PGA Championship and Harman has just one top-10 in 20 career major appearances.

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Mickelson To Break 70 In Any Round, -175

This is an interesting one that will likely need to hit early in the week. Mickelson has broken 70 at the U.S. Open six times in Rounds 1-2 since 2010. He’s only done it once in Rounds 3-4, a Sunday 69 in 2018 at Shinnecock coming off an embarrassing 81 on Saturday.

While it’s possible the course could play much easier than expected and Mickelson could still miss the cut while breaking 70 on Thursday or Friday, the sub-70 rounds just haven’t been out there on the weekend at the U.S. Open over the past decade. Check out our PointsBet review to see all of your options.

Mickelson Top Former Arizona State Player, +500

Another fun prop bet with juicy odds here. Jon Rahm is the U.S. Open betting favorite at +1050 , and the former Sun Devil is also -120 to beat the rest of the Arizona State alums. Paul Casey is second at +335 and Mickelson is third at +500 .

Rahm is in peak form and almost certainly would have won the Memorial Tournament two weeks ago had he not been forced to withdraw with a six-shot lead entering the final round. But we don’t know how his game will look coming off an extended quarantine due to the positive COVID-19 test.

Casey is coming off a T-4 at the PGA Championship, but he has just one top-10 finish in 17 career U.S. Open starts and nothing better than T-16 since 2007.

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