Michael Kates for Bookies.com

By Michael Kates | | 3 mins

Texas Governor Odds: Matthew McConaughey & Beto Tied, Trail Abbott

Texas Governor Odds: Matthew McConaughey & Beto Tied, Trail Abbott

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It is more than a year out from the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election, but early buzz is forming around potential candidates to unseat two-term governor Greg Abbott. Some of the usual Texas Democratic names have surfaced, including Beto O’Rourke. However, much like in California with Caitlyn Jenner, a celebrity challenger is sucking up some of the oxygen.

Will Matthew McConaughey run and could he unseat Abbott? In a hypothetical poll released this spring, the actor was leading Abbott 45% to 33%, with 22% saying they would vote for someone else. That has some Democrats proclaiming: “Alright, alright, alright.”

They might want to tap the brakes. According to British bookmaker Ladbrokes, McConaughey is tied for second choice among potential candidates at +500, even with O’Rourke, but still trailing the heavy favorite, Abbott (-250). McConaughey has told the Austin American-Statesman that he “would be a fool not to consider the position” but won’t say which party he would affiliate with – if any.

Political betting is not legal in the United States, but it is over in Europe. Just because US sports betting sites didn’t offer odds in 2020, that didn’t stop many networks from citing the betting markets leading up to and throughout 2020 Election Night (and the days that followed).

2022 Texas Governor Odds

Greg Abbott-250
Beto O’Rourke+500
Matthew McConaughey +500
Joaquin Castro+2000
Julián Castro+2000
Wendy Davis+2000

Odds current as of June 18, 2021

Potential Candidates

Greg Abbott: To say the incumbent Republican governor is polarizing in the Lone Star State would be an understatement. An unabashed conservative and Donald Trump supporter, Abbott has signed legislation allowing Texans to carry handguns without permits (which goes into effect Sept. 1) and a bill that outlaws abortions if Roe v Wade is overturned. He also signed a bill outlawing abortions from as early as six weeks, well before many women know they are pregnant. He also announced that Texas would put up $250 million to build a border wall, prompting questions from Democrats about a lack of spending on the state’s infrastructure.

Beto O’Rourke: Best know for his surprisingly tight 2018 US Senate race that nearly unseated Republican Ted Cruz, the Democrat fizzled in his bid for the 2020 Democratic nomination. The former congressman has been hailed for his energetic campaigning and willingness to go into GOP strongholds to campaign.

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Matthew McConaughey: He’s a beloved home-state star actor who has been teasing a potential run to unseat Abbott. Cruz has said the “Texas Buyers Club” and “Dazed and Confused” star would be a formidable foe for Abbott, though it is unclear if he will actually run (he has said he would be a “fool” not to consider it).

Joaquin Castro: He just won reelection to the US House of Representatives and is popular among the Democratic faithful, but he lacks some of the national appeal and fundraising capabilities of his identical twin brother, Julián.

Julián Castro: The former San Antonio mayor, congressman and member of Barack Obama’s cabinet has said he doesn’t plan on running in 2022. He failed in his bid in 2020 to become the Democratic presidential nominee.

Wendy Davis: The former Texas legislator lost to Abbott in 2014, when he won his first term as governor, by more than 900,000 votes. More recently, she lost in the 2020 general election to Republican Chip Roy for a US House seat (Texas District 21).

About the Author

Michael Kates for Bookies.com
Michael Kates
Michael Kates is Managing Editor at Bookies.com. Previously, Mike was the Managing Editor at FanRag Sports and Associate Sports Editor at the Chicago Tribune.