Day 14 of the US Open gets underway on Sunday, September 11, with the Men's final between Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz. Who will win this tight matchup to claim the US Open title?

As ever, we’re bringing you daily predictions and US Open odds and picks here. So, join us as we dive into Sunday's tennis betting card and spot the best bets for the US Open Men's final.

Sunday US Open Men's Final Odds & Best Bets

Ruud vs. Alcaraz Betting Analysis

Alcaraz enters Sunday’s final as the player to beat as we look at the latest tennis odds across various top-rated sportsbooks. 

The teenage phenom started as one of the top four favorites to win the title. He was tipped behind defending champion Daniil Medvedev and compatriot Rafael Nadal, and a smidge ahead of Nick Kyrgios in pre-tournament US Open futures. But with both Medvedev and Nadal faltering in the R16 and then Kyrgios stumbling in the quarterfinals, Alcaraz was the last of the original Fab Four left standing. And it’s been his title to win or lose ever since.

Alcaraz’s run into the title-match was by no means straightforward or simple. He’s been tested every step of the way, including the last three rounds that saw him go the distance in each of his matches. Alcaraz needed five sets to dismiss former US Open winner Marin Cilic in the R16. He won an epic five-set quarterfinal match over Jannik Sinner, which lasted five hours and 15 minutes and ended at 2:50 a.m. ET. And then, on Friday night, he was forced to go the distance to defeat American Frances Tiafoe, 6-7 (6), 6-3, 6-1, 6-7(5), 6-3. 

Alcaraz is the odds-on favorite to win the US Open title with the best price of -222 available at BetMGM. But given how much effort he’s expended already to reach this stage it raises the valid question: Does he have enough gas left in the tank? 

While all the attention was on the Fab Four – Medvedev, Nadal, Kyrgios and Alcaraz – Casper Ruud quietly went about his business without any distractions or the glare of the media. In hindsight, that might have been the best thing to happen for the unassuming Norwegian as he emerges as the surprise finalist at the US Open. To illustrate just how surprising his run is, one only needs to look back at the pre-tournament tennis betting markets, where Ruud opened at +6600 to win.

Ruud’s path to the final was littered with stumbling blocks. American Tommy Paul pushed him to five sets in the third round, while Tim Rijthoven (R64), Matteo Berrettini (quarters) and Karen Khachanov (semis) all took sets off Ruud. However, Ruud persevered and advanced past these challengers to book his place in Sunday’s final. It marks his second major final this year after finishing runner-up to Rafael Nadal at the French Open. 

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Ruud vs. Alcaraz Betting Prediction

Ruud has never beaten Alcaraz in two previous meetings. He lost to the Spanish teenager last year in Barcelona (clay) and then earlier this year in the ATP Miami Masters final. Clearly, to win his maiden grand slam title, he’ll have to do something he’s never done before – beat Alcaraz. 

The French Open final experience will be invaluable for the 23-year-old Ruud here. It might give him the edge over his 19-year-old counterpart, who - let’s face it - will be feeling the pressure and the weight of expectations on him. So, one can’t disregard Ruud’s very real chance of winning this title. 

Having said that, Alcaraz’s game is mesmerizing and his feats are almost supernatural. Alcaraz first broke out at the 2021 US Open, where he made his maiden grand slam quarterfinal. It’s somewhat fitting that he’s poised for his biggest breakthrough yet on the very same hallowed grounds of Arthur Ashe stadium.

Best Bet: Alcaraz -3.5 (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook

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