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US Open Day 6 Picks, & Best Bets, Including Alcaraz, Mmoh, Pegula & More

Isla Knightley for Bookies.com

Isla Knightley  | 14 mins

US Open Day 6 Picks, & Best Bets, Including Alcaraz, Mmoh, Pegula & More

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The third round of the US Open wraps up on Saturday, with the bottom half of the women’s draw and the top half of the men’s draw providing a mouth-watering bill of fare on Day 6 of the US Open. 

Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz, two former US Open champions— Stanislas Wawrinka and Daniil Medvedev—and American hopeful Michael Mmoh highlight the men’s field, as players vie for a spot in the R16. 

Meanwhile, things are heating up on the women’s front, with Aryna Sabalenka, Marketa Vondrousova, Ons Jabeur and home favorites Jessica Pegula and Madison Keys looking to keep their title hopes alive. Who will advance into the second week of the tournament, and who will be heading for the exit sign?

As ever, we here at Bookies.com will be covering the action, cherry-picking the best matches on the day’s slate to spot for your daily tennis picks. So without further ado, let’s take a deep dive into Saturday’s action and spot the best bets with our US Open Day 6 predictions, complete with tennis odds from the most trusted betting apps.

US Open Day 6 Best Bets 

MatchupPickOdds
Jack Draper vs Michael MmohOver 37.5 -110 at Caesars  
Stanislas Wawrinka vs Jannik SinnnerWawrinka to win +550 at FanDuel
Alexander Zverev vs Grigor Dimitrov5 Sets +225 at bet365
Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniel EvansAlcaraz -9.5 +100 at FanDuel
Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison KeysSamsonova to win +104 at FanDuel
Jessica Pegula vs Elina SvitolinaPegula to win in straight sets +100 at bet365
Ons Jabeur vs Marie BouzkovaOver 21.5 -110 at DraftKings

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Jack Draper vs Michael Mmoh

Britain’s Jack Draper delivered one of the tournament’s big upsets in the R64 as he dismissed 17th seed Hubert Hurkacz in straight sets. American Michael Mmoh showed terrific character as he rallied from two sets down to take the win in five and send his veteran compatriot John Isner into retirement. 

To date, the pair have only met at the Challenger level, where Draper rallied from a set down to take the win in the Forli 5 (indoor hard court) tournament last year.. 

Arguably, both players are enjoying a better run at the US Open than they might have expected when the draw first came out. For that reason, it’s a wide open proposition between them as they look to advance into the fourth round.

Yes, Draper is widely considered to be the better talent, the player with more upside. And yes, he probably should win this match. However, Mmoh is likely to make him work for it. He credited the raucous crowd for his comeback against Isner, and that home advantage is sure to be a bigger factor against his British opposite. 

US Open Best Bet: Over 37.5 -110 at Caesars  

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Stanislas Wawrinka vs Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner, the Canada Open champion and a dark horse title contender in New York, is through to the R32 without breaking a sweat. The 22-year-old Italian dispatched Yannik Hanfmann 6-3, 6-1, 6-1 and then compatriot Lorenzo Sonego 6-4, 6-2, 6-4. 

Hoping to halt his forward progress is former US Open champion Stanislas Wawrinka, who is enjoying an inspired run into the third round. Rolling back the years, the 38-year-old Swiss didn’t drop a set in his tournament opener against Yoshito Nishioka and then overcame Tomas Martin Etcheverry in four sets. 

Wawrinka trails 2-3 against Sinner lifetime, but the young gun has won three in a row since 2019, including two straight-set wins in 2023—in Rotterdam and Indian Wells. Given the fact that it’s been four years since Wawrinka got the measure of Sinner, the odds are against him doing so here. 

Nevertheless, the Swiss is in great form right now and with his confidence growing, he should give it a shot. Fortune favors the brave, as they say. 

US Open Best Bet: Wawrinka to win +550 at FanDuel

Alexander Zverev vs Grigor Dimitrov

After surviving a first-round scare, Dimitrov was surprisingly sprite in a straight set win over Andy Murray. However, the 32-year-old Bulgarian should find things more complicated again when he takes on Alexander Zverev, who owns their head-to-head series 5-1 after winning five on the trot. 

Zverev arrived in New York on the back of a semi-final appearance in Cincinnati, and he’s carried that momentum through the early rounds of the US Open, beating Aleksandar Vukic and Daniel Altmaier to reach the third round.

Predictably, Zverev is favored over Dimitrov to win, but with their matchup nestled on a 3.5 games handicap, this promises to be a right tussle between them that could go the distance. In which case, the winner would be a total tossup. The safer bet might be to back the match to go to five sets, though a bet on Dimitrov to finally snap the losing trend against Zverev would be worth an interest as well. 

US Open Best Bet: Match to Go 5 Sets +225 at bet365

Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniel Evans

Alcaraz will be looking to continue his title defense campaign with another commanding display in his R32 clash with Daniel Evans. The 20-year-old Spaniard has looked brilliant so far, but he’s barely been tested through his first two matches.

Evans kicked off his US Open series this summer in fine style, winning the title in Washington on the back of upsets over Frances Tiafoe and Grigor Dimitrov, respectively, through the rounds. However, the 33-year-old Briton failed to carry the momentum into his next two tournaments and fell at the first hurdle in Toronto and Cincinnati.

The two have met twice, with Alcaraz taking both meetings in straight sets, including a 6-2, 6-2 win during his title-winning run in Barcelona (clay) this spring. Evans is a dangerous floater, a wily veteran that can shake things up on a good day. He’s done well to capitalize on a good section of the draw, but it’s hard to see him going any further in New York at the expense of Alcaraz. 

US Open Best Bet: Alcaraz -9.5 +100 at FanDuel

Ons Jabeur vs Marie Bouzkova

Last year’s finalist Jabeur is through to the third round on the back of two hard-fought victories. She defeated Camille Osorio in two tight sets while battling a virus as well. Then, she eked out the three-set victory over Czech teenager Linda Noskova.

Another Czech, Maria Bouzkova, is next on Jabeur’s path into the second week. Bouzkova is a dangerous floater that will give Jabeur a run for her money, if not pull off the upset. 

US Open Best Bet: Over 21.5 -120 at DraftKings

Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison Keys

The clash between Liudmila Samsonova and Madison Keys promises to be a right cracker that could go the distance and/or serve up the surprise. 

Samsonova went on a giant-killing spree in Canada, taking down Elena Rybakina, Belinda Bencic and Aryna Sabalenka on route to a runner-up finish (l. to Pegula). For that reason, b betting on the upset is worth a flutter here.

The pair have met twice and split both meetings with Samsonova winning in Berlin in 2021 and Keys in Adelaide in 2022.  Interestingly, in both meetings, the player that won the first set won the match. 

US Open Best Bet:  Samsonova to win +104 at FanDuel

Jessica Pegula vs Elina Svitolina

Top American Pegula will take on fan favorite Elina Svitolina for a spot in the fourth round. Svitolina is playing some of the best tennis of her career and has reached the semifinals of the last two grand slams. That is going to make her a tough out.

But Pegula has the 3-1 head-to-head edge, having won three straight including a come-from-behind win in Washington, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4.

Pegula is one of the most consistent players on the WTA Tour who knows how to play within herself. Add to that a boisterous New York crowd that is sure to be behind her, and she should roll into the fourth round.

US Open Best Bet: Pegula to win in straight sets +100 at bet365

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About the Author

Isla Knightley for Bookies.com
Isla Knightley
Isla, a sports journalist and betting expert, covers several sports, including the NFL, as well politics. She joined Bookies.com in 2021 after contributing to other betting sites.