US Presidential Election Odds 2020 Weekly Rundown: Dems Decline
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Just as impeachment is changing few minds regarding President Donald Trump, it’s also having little or no impact on his re-election odds. The race to replace him is similarly stable ahead of the first big primary contests.
2020 Presidential Election Odds
|Candidate||This Week||Last Week||Trend|
|Bernie Sanders||+525||+500||↓||Michael Bloomberg||+1400||+1200||↓|
Odds courtesy of 888Sport's UK-facing betting site and subject to change.
Remember to keep checking back each week as we track where the top candidates stand and point out trends in order to give you the best view of the 2020 U.S. Presidential betting market so far, and where it might be headed.
What Are The Odds Donald Trump Wins Re-Election?
President Trump remains a 3/4 shot (-133) to retain his office. A new poll shows that 75 percent of voters will not change their minds about Trump during the ongoing impeachment trial. His likely acquittal by the Senate lets oddsmakers look ahead to the old-fashioned way of removing a president.
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Trump’s approval rating remains in unflattering but survivable territory and statements by him and former campaign manager and staffer Kellyanne Conway suggest that Bernie Sanders’ rise in the Democratic primary might give him a favorable matchup.
Joe Biden 2020 Odds
Sen. Joe Biden drifts to 5/1 (+500) after being slightly closer than that at 19/4 (+475) last week. Biden is still the Democratic Party front-runner just a few weeks before the first primaries.
Bernie Sanders 2020 Odds
Sanders is just shy of Biden at 21/4 (+525), a very slight drift over the week from 5/1 (+500). A new CNN poll shows him not only at the top of the national Democratic primary, but convincingly so. While it's only one poll, it's a respected outlet and it gives Sanders his first head-to-head poll lead over Biden this cycle.
Sanders is also on the comeback trail in Iowa, site of the opening Feb. 3 caucuses. He also leads New Hampshire and California, of which are more reliable results. However, being Trump’s favorite opponent suggests that their internal polling isn't as friendly to Sanders, likely giving oddsmakers pause.
Michael Bloomberg 2020 Odds
Former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg remains at 14/1 (+1400) this week. His Super Bowl ad blitz is on the way, though.
Elizabeth Warren 2020 Odds
After a long slide, Sen. Elizabeth Warren has held steady for most of the past month at 20/1 (+2000). A new memo from her campaign manager downplayed the importance of the early states.
It outlined a basically credible strategy for pursuing the nomination through a contested convention. But, though fallout from her spat with Sanders appears to be contained, her campaign’s strategy shows how precarious the former front-runner's presidential bid has been.
Pete Buttigieg 2020 Odds
Former South Bend, Indiana, mayor Pete Buttigieg remains at 33/1 (+3300) despite some troublesome news. Sanders’ rise in Iowa threatens the launching board from which Buttigieg planned to get into the top tier. For his part, Buttigieg continues to focus major campaign moves on other states.
Andrew Yang 2020 Odds
Businessman Andrew Yang improved considerably from 50/1 to 33/1 (+3300), which was where he was through the much of the pre-primaries' later stages. He surged to fourth in a new Emerson poll this week, inspiring his following and perhaps suggesting he'll have a shot to maintain a long campaign.
It's good news, but he'll have to hope it's not too late.
Hillary Clinton 2020 Odds
Former Sen. Hillary Clinton, the 2016 Democratic nominee, remained at 50/1 (+5000). She found her way into the headlines this week after another tiff with Sanders and a lawsuit from Tulsi Gabbard, but Clinton hasn't shown any indication of running — and, again, she just took a job as chancellor of Queen’s University in Belfast, Northern Ireland.
Candidates with Longer Than 100/1 Odds
After a meteoric two-week rise from unlisted to 66/1, billionaire Tom Steyer drifts back into triple-digit territory at 100/1 (+10000).
Next Winning Party Odds
|Political Party||Odds to Win Presidency|
The Republican Party’s odds improved slightly, from 3/4 (-133) to 8/11 (-137); the Democrats drifted from 11/10 (+110) to 23/20 (+115). All other party odds are stable at 50/1 (+5000).
NOTE: Betting on politics is not legalized in the U.S. but heavily bet on in Europe. For more info on political betting in general as well as coverage of the latest news affecting the odds, be sure to check out our guide to betting on politics.