Big 12 Tournament Odds, 2020 Betting Guide & Value Pick
It’s Kansas, Baylor and everyone else as the Big 12 Tournament tips off Wednesday with opening-round games and picks up with four quarterfinal matchups on Thursday.
Or is it?
As March Madness betting picks up steam, the Jayhawks and Bears are projected No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament, splitting their regular-season matchups. But as many as four other teams in the conference tournament field could advance to the Big Dance, and another could shock the world and get the automatic bid by taking the Big 12 postseason crown.
2020 Big 12 Tournament Odds
Kansas is a solid favorite, with Baylor not far behind. West Virginia (+400) and Texas Tech (+800) are within “contender” distance, but after that it goes down quick. Only one other team has better odds than +4000.
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Big 12 Tournament Favorites
It’s hard for college basketball bettors to find much fault in Kansas, the No. 1 team in the nation. The Jayhawks lost one Big 12 game, and that was back on Jan. 11. They dropped just three games all year, and all were against elite competition (Duke by two in a season opener, Villanova by one on the road, and Baylor).
If there is a dent in the armor, perhaps KU is subtly coming down to earth a little. Of the team’s last five wins, three have been by four points or less. Only two of their previous 23 wins were less than nine points. Baylor won 24 of its first 25 games, but enters the Big 12 Tournament having lost three of five – at home to Kansas, at middling TCU and at West Virginia (by 12).
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Darkhorses To Consider
Oklahoma, Texas, Texas Tech and West Virginia each finished 9-9 and in a four-way tie for third place in the Big 12. Oklahoma (the No. 3 seed) and West Virginia (No.6) face off in the quarterfinals – the Sooners pounded the Mountaineers twice in the regular season. Texas (No.4) and Texas Tech (No. 5) also face off – they split, each winning on the road.
If we’re going to back a darkhorse, it needs to be a team that’s at least been competitive with Kansas and Baylor. Only one of those four has consistently been in the hunt. Texas Tech went 0-4 vs. the Jayhawks and Bears, but all four defeats were by five points or less, with one going to overtime.
Big 12 Tournament Picks
It’s hard to go with Baylor over Kansas at this point. You’re not going to win much by backing the Jayhawks, but your chances of winning are probably better than 50 percent. So, despite the low odds, going KU remains sensible.
Texas Tech is the only other team to have shown a consistent ability to give Kansas or Baylor a game. Remember, this is a team that got hot at the end of last year and advanced to the national championship game. The Red Raiders have reason to be confident.
Backing Kansas isn’t going to pay out much. Backing Texas Tech as a legit underdog will.