Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Chiefs At Chargers
Following up a strong preview of the NFC Championship is a game with mixed expectations in the AFC — the Kansas City Chiefs vs. the Los Angeles Chargers. There’s also the element of where the game is being played — Mexico City — site of last year’s turf debacle.
The Chiefs and Chargers were expected to battle for the AFC West title, and even deep into the playoffs. It looked like the Chargers were the only ones unable to uphold their half of the deal, until last weekend in Nashville. The Titans’ last-second defeat of the Chiefs spoiled Patrick Mahomes' return from injury. K.C. will have to get its defense back on track along with a consistent ground game as Mahomes putting up big numbers wasn’t enough.
The Chargers had three extra days to put behind their loss to the Raiders on the previous Thursday night. A last-ditch effort by Philip Rivers fell short and Los Angeles dropped to 4-6. Despite having Melvin Gordon and Hunter Henry back, the Chargers have struggled to find an identity. Rivers may be in for another easy day throwing the football, but will have to keep up with an even better arm to win.
DraftKings has the Chiefs -3.5 with 78% of the money on K.C. They also have the Chargers at +3.5 with 22% of the public money on LAC. The total sits at 52 points at SugarHouse, with 57% of the public money on the over. And 51% of the money is on the Chiefs to win on the ML (-190) at DraftKings.
You can compare the latest Chiefs-Chargers odds from top sportsbooks here.
Betting Chiefs-Chargers Against The Spread
It hasn’t been easy for the Chiefs on the field and with the books. At just 5-5 ATS it will not be an easy path to covering for K.C., mainly because its defense and run game are still in question.
Betting the Chiefs laying points on the road might seem risky. Consider the short line — with the Chiefs seemingly a tweak away on D — and it’s only a matter of time before they return to a contender. This could be a week where they pull away from the Chargers, who can’t afford to lose another divisional game.
The Chargers limp into this MNF matchup not only below .500 (4-6) but even worse ATS at 3-5-2 overall. They haven’t been consistent and might be without their best offensive lineman Monday. Russell Okung played just seven snaps against the Raiders. He is expected to be a game-time decision, and would provide necessary protection for Rivers to take advantage of K.C.
¡No podemos esperar más tiempo para estar en la Ciudad de México para el Monday Night Football! pic.twitter.com/GOcX5STzzN— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) November 14, 2019
Chiefs-Chargers Moneyline Betting
Kansas City isn’t full on healthy just with the return of Mahomes. Two key OL injuries may significantly impact the protection up front. The Chargers’ defensive front is dangerous, but the Chiefs can get the ball out fast.
Taking the Chiefs on the ML is a good bet if you prefer the odds over laying the points. Either way it’s a bet for K.C. to win outright. The Chiefs can move the ball consistently in the air and will look to run the ball often. It’s a way from keeping the Chargers from coming back, using both K.C. backs to bleed out the clock.
The Chargers have a big test in stopping one of the game’s best arms we have seen in decades. However, stopping the run game — if it even exists for K.C. — is rather easy. That’s the key to getting to the Chiefs — force them to run the ball and put pressure on their secondary.
Taking the Chargers without the points and on the ML isn’t that big of a risk. The Chiefs haven’t figured out their defensive identity, and it might be too late for that to happen this week. If Rivers is going to return to MVP form this season, the Chiefs defense would be a perfect fit.
Betting Chiefs-Chargers Over/Under
The biggest obstacle to this game hitting the over might be the location and playing surface. While it may not be as bad as last year at Azteca Stadium, even a subtle difference in altitude and playing surface can alter a game plan. The offense in this game could be provided by both teams, rather easily and quickly, if there are no surface issues.
Betting the under would focus more on the Chiefs’ defense finally clicking as expected. K.C. has not given up under 20 ppg in each of its last three games. The Chargers’ offense hasn’t blown off many doors, hovering around 20 ppg and rarely going heavy over that mark all season.
Chiefs-Chargers Notable Prop Bets
- Winning Margin 4-Way – 1-13 Points (+135)
- KC -13.5 (+280)
- Home Team Total Points Under 24 (-116)
- First To 25 Points – KC (-107)
- Total TD Over 6.5 (+140)