NCAA Tournament Projected No. 1 Seeds & Bubble Watch Odds

By Dan Kilbridge Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EDT

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March Madness is in full swing and Selection Sunday is less than a week away. Several teams have emerged as clear-cut No. 1 seeds for the NCAA Tournament, but overall the field remains as wide open as it’s been in years. A lack of dominant teams and recent uptick in March Madness upsets should provide the drama for one of the most unpredictable road to the Final Fours of all time.

Let’s look at the current national championship betting odds, projected No. 1 seeds for the NCAA Tournament, bubble teams and more.

College Basketball 2020 National Championship Odds

Odds are current as of publication, and you can bet them here:

Projected 2020 NCAA Tournament No. 1 Seeds

Kansas

Current title odds: +625

Conference tournament impact: Kansas survived a 66-62 win at Texas Tech in the season finale to preserve a 16-game winning streak entering the Big 12 Tournament. The Jayhawks first play the winner of Oklahoma State-Iowa State, with a potential rematch against No. 4 Baylor in the semifinals. Kansas already has a No. 1 seed locked up, but a decisive title run this week would likely drop their National Championship odds considering the competition.

Gonzaga

Current title odds: +850

Conference tournament impact: Gonzaga is finally back in action Monday night after more than a week off, taking on San Francisco in a WCC Tournament semifinal. The Bulldogs should roll the Dons for a third time this season and cruise to their seventh title in eight years. Those +850 odds don’t look juicy enough for a team that, like Dayton and San Diego State, have faced lackluster competition all year. But the Bulldogs are definitely on track to snag a No. 1 seed for the second straight season.

Baylor

Current title odds: +1000

Conference tournament impact: The Bears lost three of their last five and are still considered a shoo-in for a No. 1 seed. It’s been that kind of season. Baylor gets the winner of TCU-Kansas State to start the Big 12 Tournament and will be hoping to see the Jayhawks in the semis after splitting two games in the regular season. This will be the Bears’ first time as a top seed in school history – Just a little added pressure for a team that hasn’t reached the Final Four since 1950.

Dayton

Current title odds: +1100

Conference tournament impact: The Flyers finished the regular season on a 20-game win streak and face the winner of UMass-VCU Friday. Wooden Award betting favorite Obi Toppin should carry them to their first conference tournament title since 2003. There’s also no reason to think Dayton can’t compete with the blue bloods in the NCAA Tournament. The only losses this year are to Colorado and No. 1 Kansas, both in overtime. This is the year to ignore conference and prestige when looking at college basketball futures, especially when said team has maybe the best player in the country.

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Projected 1-4 Seeds By Region For 2020 NCAA Tournament

The top seeds seem pretty much set at this point. It gets a bit unpredictable from there with so many teams boasting similar resumes fighting for No. 2-4 seeds. Conference tournament results could carry more weight than usual as a result. Other teams like Creighton made their moves recently, with the Bluejays earning a share of the Big East title by topping No. 8 Seton Hall over the weekend. It’s setting up for some wild college basketball betting.

Midwest Regional (Indianapolis)

• 1. Kansas, +625
• 2. Kentucky, +1500
• 3. Florida State, +1500
• 4. Villanova, +2500

West Regional (Los Angeles)

• 1. Gonzaga, +850
• 2. San Diego State, +1500
• 3. Louisville, +1500
• 4. Oregon, +2500

South Regional (Houston)

• 1. Baylor, +1000
• 2. Creighton, +2500
• 3. Michigan State, +1500
• 4. Auburn, +2500

East Regional (New York)

• 1. Dayton, +1100
• 2. Duke, +1500
• 3. Maryland, +2000
• 4. Seton Hall, N/A

2020 NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch

We’re looking at a few Big East teams that have crashed and burned in recent weeks to put their spots in jeopardy. The good news for all these bubble teams now is that things are simple – win the first conference tournament game in front of you and go from there. And in a season like this, teams that end up watching from home won’t have any right to complain.

Last Four In

• Marquette, +6000
• Indiana, +15000
• UCLA, +10000
• Purdue, +7000

Last Four Out

• Stanford, +10000
• Xavier, +9000
• Texas, +20000
• Mississippi State, +15000

About the Author

Dan Kilbridge

More About Dan

Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.