Bookies.com New Year’s Six & College Bowl Projections 2019
Finally, a little chaos in the College Football Playoff rankings picture. Alabama is out and Georgia is in following LSU’s win over the Crimson Tide. Pac-12 contenders Oregon and Utah are still fighting for respect and a seat at the CFP discussion. And the potential for a bunch of one-loss teams sparking the biggest CFP debate yet is seriously in play. The National Championship picture is wide open, meaning serious betting darkhorses such as Oregon (+4000) and Baylor (+15000) are still very much in play with the release of the latest CFP rankings.
Given the current CFP title odds, which you can check out on our NCAA Football futures page, this is what the New Year’s Six games would look like, plus a complete list of 2019 bowl projections.
2019 New Year’s Six Bowl Projections
|Peach Bowl: CFP Semi 1||Ohio State (+225) vs. Georgia (+1200)|
|Fiesta Bowl: CFP Semi 2||Clemson (+225) vs. LSU (+275)|
|Sugar Bowl||Alabama (+1200) vs. Oklahoma (+2500)|
|Rose Bowl||Oregon (+4000) vs. Minnesota (+10000)|
|Orange Bowl||Florida (+10000) vs. Virginia (+100000)|
|Cotton Bowl||Baylor (+15000) vs. Cincinnati (N/A)|
CFP Semifinal 1: No. 1 Ohio State vs. No. 4 Georgia
OSU is a co-favorite to win the national championship for the first time this season, sliding into Alabama’s spot after a 73-14 win over Maryland. The Buckeyes are now 8-1 against the spread and looking to cover a 52-point spot this week at Rutgers. Only Clemson has an easier path to the CFP, and the Buckeyes have looked like the better team for most of the season.
Georgia is somehow back in the picture after a home loss to South Carolina. Their betting odds (+1200) don’t really reflect it, but there’s value on the Bulldogs since the CFP committee is giving them a free pass due to wins over Notre Dame and Florida. The Bulldogs still need to win out and beat LSU in the SEC title game, but it’s not that far-fetched.
CFP Semifinal 2: No. 2 Clemson vs. No. 3 LSU
The CFP committee seems hung up on Clemson’s near-loss to North Carolina, but rankings don’t matter for the Tigers. They just need to win three more games against inferior teams, including the ACC Championship, and they’re all set. Can they take out a team like LSU and make good on +225 odds in the natty? If anyone has the horses to hang with LSU offensively, it’s Clemson.
LSU is still +275 after the win at Alabama and should cruise to the SEC title game. Georgia will probably be waiting, but the Tigers still get in as a 12-1 team with a good loss and three very high-quality wins. We think they’re just as safe a bet to make the CFP as OSU and Clemson.
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Oklahoma
We understand the Crimson Tide just lost and need a miracle to get to the SEC title game. But they have a chance for a quality win against Auburn in the Iron Bowl and the committee put a one-loss Tide team in the CFP just two years ago. They won it all. The decision-makers will consider Tagovailoa’s ankle injury too. All we’re saying is the +1200 National Championship odds are worth a look.
As for the Sooners, the one-point home win over Iowa State last week won’t help. They need unbeaten Baylor or Minnesota to lose, they need Georgia to lose the SEC title game and they need to hope the committee doesn’t get too high on Oregon or Utah. That’s a long road, even with long odds at +2500.
Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Minnesota
How ‘bout those Gophers? They made the committee look bad by beating a Penn State team ranked No. 4 in the debut CFP standings, but only moved up to No. 8. They’re still +10000 to win it all and that’s understandable with a likely Big Ten title clash against Ohio State on deck. But at 9-0, they still figure to have a better shot than Florida (+10000) or Penn State (+5000).
The Ducks are No. 6 in the CFP rankings and need to hope Utah is still a one-loss team should they play in the Pac-12 Championship. That would give Oregon at least one high-quality win with a lone loss against Auburn in Week 1. Not a bad argument and solid odds at +4000.
Orange Bowl: Florida vs. Virginia
Forget about the ACC in the CFP picture. This would be a nice reward for the Cavaliers, but it’s the ceiling for anyone in conference other than Clemson.
Florida is interesting and there are a few crazy scenarios where UF maybe gets a look considering its two losses are against the No. 1 and No. 4 teams in the CFP standings. Those scenarios are too outlandish right now to give any consideration to the Gators’ +10000 odds.
Cotton Bowl: Baylor vs. Cincinnati
The Bears continue to live dangerously with a triple-overtime win over TCU. But they’re 9-0 and have a chance to get serious respect with a home win this week over Oklahoma. That gets the Sooners out of the CFP entirely and puts Baylor in a different discussion, one which would cause a big drop in the +15000 title odds.
Cincinnati’s only loss came at Ohio State and the Bearcats checked in at No. 17 in the latest CFP rankings. That’s one spot ahead of Memphis and good enough to give them the edge over the Tigers for now on an at-large bid.
Complete 2019 Bowl Projections
- BAHAMAS BOWL (Dec. 20): Western Michigan vs Florida Atlantic
- FRISCO BOWL (Dec. 20): SMU vs Buffalo
- NEW MEXICO BOWL (Dec. 21): San Diego State vs Marshall
- CURE BOWL (Dec. 21): Temple vs Georgia Southern
- BOCA RATON BOWL (Dec. 21): Tulane vs Central Michigan
- CAMELLIA BOWL (Dec. 21): Ohio vs Louisiana
- LAS VEGAS BOWL (Dec. 21): California vs Boise State
- NEW ORLEANS BOWL (Dec. 21): Appalachian State vs UAB
- GASPARILLA BOWL (Dec. 23): UCF vs Louisiana Tech
- HAWAI’I BOWL (Dec. 24): BYU vs Hawaii
- INDEPENDENCE BOWL (Dec. 26): North Carolina vs Western Kentucky
- QUICK LANE BOWL (Dec. 26): Illinois vs Florida State
- MILITARY BOWL (Dec. 27): Miami vs Navy
- PINSTRIPE BOWL (Dec. 27): Michigan State vs Louisville
- TEXAS BOWL (Dec. 27): Oklahoma State vs Liberty
- HOLIDAY BOWL (Dec. 27): Washington vs Michigan
- CHEEZ-IT BOWL (Dec. 27): Iowa State vs UCLA
- CAMPING WORLD BOWL (Dec. 28): Kansas State vs Notre Dame
- REDBOX BOWL (Dec. 30): Iowa vs USC
- SERVPRO FIRST RESPONDER BOWL (Dec. 30): Nevada vs Southern Mississippi
- MUSIC CITY BOWL (Dec. 30): Kentucky vs Wake Forest
- BELK BOWL (Dec. 31): Tennessee vs Virginia Tech
- SUN BOWL (Dec. 31): Arizona State vs Pittsburgh
- LIBERTY BOWL (Dec. 31): TCU vs Mississippi State
- ARIZONA BOWL (Dec. 31): Fresno State vs Arkansas State
- ALAMO BOWL (Dec. 31): Texas vs Utah
- OUTBACK BOWL (Jan. 1): Penn State vs Texas A&M
- CITRUS BOWL (Jan. 1): Wisconsin vs Auburn
- BIRMINGHAM BOWL (Jan. 2): Memphis vs Duke
- GATOR BOWL (Jan. 2): Indiana vs Missouri
- FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL (Jan. 3): Toledo vs Wyoming
- ARMED FORCES BOWL (Jan. 4): Air Force vs Washington State
- MOBILE ALABAMA BOWL (Jan. 1): Miami (Ohio) vs Georgia State