Ten weeks into the 2024 NFL season, it’s clear which teams are making bettors money and which ones aren’t. Generally speaking, backing the better teams has been the way to go. 

Six out of the 32 teams have covered at least 70% of the time. The Detroit Lions and Pittsburgh Steelers are each 7-2, with the Arizona Cardinals, Indianapolis Colts and Denver Broncos each at 7-3. The Washington Commanders are at 7-3-1. 

Since the start of the 2022 season, the Dan Campbell-coached Lions are 33-13 against the spread, a ridiculous 71.7% win rate that is by far tops I the league. 

Of the bottom-10 teams against the spread, all 10 of them have losing records overall, too. That’s not the case for the opposite. The Colts are only 4-6 overall but 7-3 ATS, the fourth-best mark in the league. 

On the flip side, the Tennessee Titans have covered the spread just one time all season, a 31-12 blowout win over the Tua-less Dolphins (at +2.5). The struggling Dallas Cowboys are only 2-7 ATS, 1-7 since Week 1. The New York Jets and Giants, and the Carolina Panthers are each at just 30% (3-7).

Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson has his finger on the pulse of the NFL. Thompson has hit on over 62% of his NFL best bets in each of the last three years. Here are his two parlays for Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season: 

Intriguing NFL Week 11 Parlays

Odds are current as of publication but subject to change. For the most updated NFL odds, please check the betting apps.

The “Defense First” Parlay

Leg 1: Browns-Saints Under 44.5 

The Browns have managed over 18 points just one time all year. The Saints have struggled to crack over 22 since Week 3 and won’t have Chris Olave to catch passes. Each team has a defense-first mindset. Points will be at a premium in the dome. 

Leg 2: Falcons-Broncos Under 44.5 

Denver has managed just 24 points in the last two weeks combined, while the defense has held the opposition to over 23 points just one time since Week 1. We know Atlanta can score, but it’s been a hit-or-miss proposition. The Under is 3-1 in the last four Falcons games. 

Leg 3: Ravens-Steelers Under 48.5

The Over has hit in nine out of 10 Ravens games, which are averaging a massive 57 ppg. The Over has been the trend in Steelers games too, but Pittsburgh scores by running to set up the pass. That’s not the best strategy against Baltimore. The Steelers have allowed over 20 points just twice all year, and never more than 27. 

The “Grab Them Points” Parlay

Leg 1: Patriots +5 over Rams 

The Pats aren’t crushing it but they are turning a bit of a corner, winning two of three and covering three straight. The Rams have struggled mightily in stopping the pass and in running the ball. New England is good enough now to hang against one-dimensional teams, especially at home against a West Coast opponent in the early time slot. 

Leg 2: Titans +6 over Vikings 

Tennessee has a league-low one cover on the season. But Will Levis looked better after an injury break, and the defense ranks No. 1 in the NFL vs. the pass, good timing with Justin Jefferson and Co. coming to Nashville. Minnesota hasn’t scored over 21 points in three weeks and is on a 1-3 ATS slide. 

Leg 3: Chiefs +2.5 over Bills

Patrick Mahomes is 13-1-1 ATS when getting points. His Chiefs haven’t lost a game since Christmas. Back that defense to keep it close and for Mahomes to do something Mahomesian at the end.