Best NFL Week 7 Parlays: Jets, Broncos & More

By Adam Thompson Oct 16th, 2025 2:07 PM EDT

New York Jets quarterback Justin Fields (7) Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Fading the public is a strategy that some sports better use in their NFL betting strategies. Whichever team is most-backed by the majority, go the opposite way.

Never has that idea been more profitable than in 2025. There have been 51 teams getting 60% or more of public bets this season. Only 15 of them have covered the spread – just 29.4%.

According to the Action Network, that’s the lowest mark in the 23-year history of its records. Teams getting 70% of public action are 4-16 ATS (20%).

Overall, across lines, home teams and away teams are an identical 46-46-1. The highest percentage among blanket categories ATS is for away favorites, but they’re just 21-19, 52.5%.

Bookies.com NFL handicapper Adam Thompson has his finger on the pulse of the NFL. Thompson has hit on a whopping 60.2% of his NFL best bets five years, including in 2025. Here are his two NFL parlays to back on the best betting apps for Week 7 of the 2025 NFL season:

Intriguing NFL Week 7 Parlays

NFL Parlay	NFL Odds
Fade The Public	+596 at Caesars
Ground and Pound	+542 at Draftkings

Odds are current as of publication but subject to change. For the most updated NFL odds, please check the betting apps.

Tap for Promo Visit site

$1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets If You Don't Win
Promo Code: BOOKIES

Used 56 Times Today

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR) 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

The “Fade The Public” Parlay

Leg 1: Jets +1.5 over Panthers

Carolina is 3-0 at home but 0-3 on the road and the splits, especially on defense, are huge. Half of the Jets’ losses have been by two points, to the Steelers, Buccaneers and Broncos. If the Jets are to win a game, this might be it.

Leg 2: Broncos -7 over Giants

Cam Skattebo won’t find it easy in the altitude against a defense that’s 8th in rush yards per attempt. Jaxson Dart is beating team with his legs, but Denver allows under 8 ypg rushing to QBs. Bo Nix can work over a Giants defense that’s 28th vs. the pass.

Leg 3: Lions -5.5 over Buccaneers

The Liongs got worked over by the Chiefs last week, and no coach rebounds his team better than Dan Campbell. Baker Mayfield is playing at an MVP level but might be without every viable weapon for this one, making it tough to keep up.

The “Fly High” Parlay

Leg 1: Sam Darnold, Over 235.5 Pass Yards

Darnold averages 257 ypg on the season. Houston allows just 194, the fifth-lowest in the NFL. But the Texans rank 28th in yards per attempt on play-action passes, and Darnold leads the NFL in yards per attempt and QB Rating using play-action.

Leg 2: Patrick Mahomes, Over 256.5 Pass Yards

After a pair of lackluster games, Mahomes and the offense have found it. Now they get WR1 Rashee Rice back from suspension. Mahomes has thrown for 257-plus yards in four of six games, and in 10 of 12 career games vs. the rival Raiders.

Leg 3: Courtland Sutton, Over 4.5 Receptions

Sutton has five-plus receptions in four of six games for the Broncos and, oddly, just one reception in the other two games. According to PFF, Sutton gets far more targets vs. man coverage, which should mean the higher trend is the way here against a Giants team that ranks No. 1 in man coverage percentage

Tap for Promo Visit site

Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 20 Bets
Promo Code: BOOKIES20X

Used 49 Times Today

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Terms and conditions apply. Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. This promotional offer is not available in Mississippi, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

About the Author

Adam Thompson

More About Adam

Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.