Coronation Stakes tips – Ryan filly to be crowned at a huge price

Coronation Stakes tips – Ryan filly to be crowned at a huge price

Ervedya

Ashadihan

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Betting Tip: Ashadihan @ 33/1 with coral

The Group 1 Coronation Stakes over 1m4f is often the next port of call for fillies who have previously contested the English, French or Irish 1000 Guineas and this year’s renewal is no exception.

Who’s favourite?

Adrian Keatley’s Jet Setting lowered the colours of dual Classic winner Minding in the Irish 100 Guineas and the pair had the race between them as there was a ten-length gap back to the third. Prior to that, she’d finished a well beaten ninth in the Newmarket version and it could be that she was seen to maximum effect at the Curragh, where she was given a well-judged ride with ground conditions in her favour, and few would argue that Minding ran below par on that occasion. She has her ground again here but, even so, she looks plenty short enough now at a best-priced 9/4.

Who else is fancied?

Her main challenger appears to be French raider Qemah, who showed she had trained on after a promising juvenile campaign when displaying a blistering turn of foot to win a Group 3 at Chantilly (1m, soft) on her reappearance, before failing to justify favouritism in the French 1000 Guineas, with the better ground a possible factor. Her trainer Jean-Claude Rouget nominated this race as her target afterwards and he knows what it takes to win having sent out Ervedya to score last year. He will have been delighted to see all the recent rain as his filly is particularly effective with cut in the ground.

The British challenge is headed by Jeremy Noseda’s Nemoralia, a Grade 1 third at the Breeders’ Cup (given a lot to do) and impressive when beating inferior rivals a Listed contest at York (1m, good to firm) on her reappearance, suggesting she has has come on again this year. This race looked the ideal target after that performance and her strong-travelling style and potent turn of foot make her a dangerous opponent. Her Keeneland run shows she handles some ease in the ground, although I’m not convinced it’s ideal for her.

John Gosden’s Nathra finished a head in front of Qemah when runner-up in the French Guineas, having run a creditable fifth in the Newmarket equivalent previously, and she goes particularly well on a soft surface. Besharah was one of last season’s best fillies but has come up short in her three runs this term.

Any decent outsiders?
Aidan O’Brien’s Alice Springs heads the remainder (10/1 and bigger) and she comes into the reckoning on her third behind Minding at Newmarket. However, she disappointed in the French version at Deauville and will need to bounce back with a career-best to prevail. Kevin Ryan’s’ Ashadihan is a more interesting outsider as she finished runner-up in last season’s Albany and proved she had trained on when scoring decisively over 7f at Lingfield on her reappearance, despite not handling the track and her regular rider Jamie Spencer putting up 1lb overweight.

Best bookie offer?
Paddy Power are refunding losing stakes as a free bet (up to £25) if your horse finishes second to the SP favourite, almost certainly Jet Setting.

Who’s going to win?

Jet Setting has the standout piece of form and her new owners the China Jockey Club, who paid a whopping £1.3m for her at the Goffs London Sale earlier this week, will be hopeful of an instant return. She may well win but 9/4 is no giveaway and I’d rather have a small each-way punt on ASHADIHAN. Connections have always held in her high regard (she holds an entry in the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes) and there was talk about the Irish 1000 Guineas following her reappearance win at Lingfield, where she would have won by a street but for almost stopping around the home bend. We know she handles this track and, while she has to prove she stays this far, it looks a chance worth taking at the odds and with her rider Jamie Spencer particularly adept at riding waiting races at this track.

SELECTION

Ashadihan 0.5pt each-way @ 33/1 Coral (¼ odds, 1.2.3)

Betting Tip: Ashadihan @ 33/1 with coral

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