The Octagon heads back to the UFC Apex on Saturday for UFC Vegas 89: Ribas vs. Namajunas. The card features 13 fights in total, including a five-round women’s flyweight bout in the headliner between Amanda Ribas and Rose Namajunas. We will give our pick for the headliner and two other bouts in this week’s edition of the Bookies.com UFC best bets.

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UFC Vegas 89 Main Event Odds: Namajunas vs. Ribas

UFC Vegas 89 Main Event Best Bet

UFC Vegas 89 Main Event Odds: Rose Namajunas (-180) vs. Amanda Ribas (+150)

The main event of UFC Vegas 89 sees Rose Namajunas take on Amanda Ribas in a five-round women’s flyweight bout. Namajunas is a -180 favorite, and I like her to win this fight.

Namajunas is 31 and she is 9-5 in the UFC. The American is a two-time UFC women’s strawweight champion and she has been one of the best in the world ever since entering the Octagon a decade ago. Five of her nine UFC wins have come by stoppage, and she has fought the best women on the planet consistently for a decade now. She has great striking and a slick submission game, and she has proven time and time again she can go five hard rounds. 

That being said, Namajunas has lost her last two fights heading into this, so she is at a crossroads in her career. This is a huge fight for her, and she needs to win to turn her career around.

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Ribas is 30 and she is 7-3 in the UFC. The Brazilian made her UFC debut in 2019 and she has done well since then at both 115 lbs and 125 lbs, scoring three finishes in the Octagon while fighting solid competition throughout. She has a great ground game that was her calling card when she came into the Octagon, and she has also improved her striking throughout the years as well. 

That being said, her striking defense is a question mark with two knockout losses in the Octagon. Against Namajunas, her best path to win is to take this fight to the ground. While she can hold her own on the feet, it feels like she’ll be outgunned there, so the takedown will be key.

Namajunas shouldn’t be written off just because she lost to two great fighters by close decisions in her last two fights. She is still one of the best UFC women’s fighters of all time, and I like her to bounce back here with a win over Ribas. Even though Ribas is coming off a nice knockout win in her last fight, Namajunas is the far superior striker, and if she keeps this fight standing, she should be able to shine in this fight. 

Ribas doesn’t move her head, and Namajunas should be able to outland her opponent for as long as the fight lasts. Given it’s a 25-minute fight, and Ribas has been knocked out in three of her last four losses, a knockout seems likely here. Go with Namajunas as a -180 favorite to win, and take her to win this fight by knockout for a prop.

UFC Vegas 89 Best Bet: Rose Namajunas wins at -180 with DraftKings

UFC Vegas 89 Best Prop Bet: Rose Namajunas wins via TKO with DraftKings

UFC Vegas 89 Best Bets

UFC Vegas 89 Odds: Fernando Padilla (-180) vs. Luis Pajuelo (+150)

Opening up the main card is a featherweight bout between Fernando Padilla and Luis Pajuelo. Although Pajuelo is a +150 betting underdog, I like him to pull off the upset in this fight.

Padilla is 27 and he is 1-1 in the UFC. The Mexican had a great UFC debut when he knocked out veteran Julian Erosa in an upset but lost to Kyle Nelson despite being a big favorite in his sophomore UFC fight. Padilla is an exciting fighter who has won 13 fights by stoppage in his career, and he can finish his opponents both on the feet and on the ground. 

He is tough, having lost all five of his losses via decision. However, he hasn’t fought someone who is as heavy-handed as Pajuelo is. This should be a war, and Padilla’s chin will be tested here.

Pajuelo is 29 and the Peruvian is making his UFC debut. He won via knockout on Dana White’s Contender Series last year against top prospect Robbie Ring to earn a UFC deal, his fifth win in a row overall. 

He is a devastating knockout artist who can take his fights into deep water and hurt his opponents throughout the 15 minutes. He is also very durable, having never lost via stoppage in his career, making for an entertaining fight against a fellow striker in Padilla.

This should be a dogfight between two fighters who will stand and trade for the fans. In my opinion, the difference between these two fighters is Pajuelo’s willingness to come forward and do more damage throughout the fight. A

lthough Padilla has never been finished, I think this is the fight where it finally happens as Pajuelo is a true finisher. Go with Pajuelo to win this fight as a +150 underdog, and take him to win this fight by TKO for a prop bet.

UFC Vegas 89 Best Bet: Luis Pajuelo wins at +150 DraftKings

UFC Vegas 89 Best Prop Bet: Luis Pajuelo wins via decision with DraftKings

UFC Vegas 89 Odds: Steven Nguyen (-198) vs. Jarno Errens (+164)

On the prelims is a featherweight bout between Steven Nguyen and Jarno Errens. Nguyen is a -198 betting favorite, and I like him to get the win here in his UFC debut.

Nguyen is 30 and he is making his UFC debut here. The American fought three times on Dana White’s Contender Series, losing his first fight on the show but then winning his next two fights on the show to get a UFC deal. He is a very good striker who has big power, and he also has submissions as well. He is a fighter who has been waiting a long time to make his UFC debut, and he should be able to come into the Octagon and put on a great show for the fans here.

Errens is 29 and the Dutchman is 0-2 in the UFC. He lost a hard-fought majority decision to William Gomis in his UFC debut and then lost another decision to Seung Woo Choi in his next fight. 

He is a well-rounded fighter who is solid in all areas of the game, but he doesn’t specialize anywhere. This is likely a must-win fight for him to stick around the UFC, but the matchmakers are not doing him any favors by matching him up with an opponent who is so dangerous.

Nguyen is the superior striker and grappler in this fight, and he should be able to mix in all his MMA skills to get the win. Since Errens has never been finished by strikes before, I favor the fight to go the distance, with Nguyen getting his hand raised. Go with Nguyen to win this fight as a -198 favorite, and take him to win by decision for a prop.

UFC Vegas 89 Best Bet: Steven Nguyen wins at -198 DraftKings

UFC Vegas 89 Best Prop Bet: Steven Nguyen wins via decision with DraftKings