By Jed Meshew | | 7 mins
Woodley vs Covington Odds, Tips & Picks for UFC Vegas 11
On Saturday, the UFC holds its final fight at the UFC APEX for some time and the organization is leaving Nevada with a bang. UFC Vegas 11 is one of the most-stacked events of the year, including pay-per-views. It’s headlined by a grudge match between former welterweight champion Tyron Woodley and former interim champion Colby Covington.
This fight has been in the works for more than two years and the two enemies will finally get to settle their score. After this card, the UFC betting action will head to Abu Dhabi for a string of events on Fight Island.
UFC Vegas 11 Odds & Betting Predictions
| Colby Covington by decision |
over Tyron Woodley
Bet it at FOX Bet
| Niko Price by KO/TKO |
over Donald Cerrone
Bet it at FanDuel
| Khamzat Chimaev by KO/TKO or sub |
over Gerald Meerschaert
Bet it at FanDuel
|Johnny Walker over Ryan Spann|| -125|
Bet it at BetAmerica
| Mackenzie Dern by submission |
over Randa Markos
Bet it at FOX Bet
Odds current as of publication
Covington vs Woodley Betting Tips
The money line on this fight has Covington listed as a prohibitive favorite over Woodley for good reason: Covington is a rough stylistic matchup for the former champion. Covington is durable, has endless cardio and works at an extremely high pace. All of that presents serious trouble for Woodley, who prefers to fight at a slower pace and have outbursts of fight-ending offense.
Even if this fight had taken place a few years ago, Covington should have been favored. But Woodley now appears to be over the hill, so this is pretty straightforward. Woodley is still tough so don’t expect Covington to get the finish. But we expect “Chaos” to get his hand raised. Bet on him at FOX Bet.
Price vs Cerrone Betting Tips
This is the front-runner for Fight of the Night. Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone is on a four-fight losing streak, three of which were by stoppage. He is 37 and looks like he might be on his last legs as an elite fighter. In Nik Price, he faces one of the most creative and dangerous offensive threats in the welterweight division. All that adds up to a bad night for Cowboy, so Price by KO at plus money is good value. If you agree, place the wager at FanDuel.
$1,000 No Sweat First Bet
Chimaev vs Meerschaert Betting Tips
Khamzat Chimaev is the latest darling of Dana White and the UFC. It’s easy to see why. Chimaev has had the kind of start to his career that portends big things. He’s 8-0 professionally, with all of his wins coming by way of first-round stoppage, including two inside the UFC. Even in his early career bouts, he wasn’t facing tomato cans. Chimaev is a force of nature and even moving up to middleweight shouldn’t be a huge concern.
That said, Gerald Meerschaert is likely the best opponent Chimaev has faced. But the styles don’t align well for the former RFA champion. He’s not a great defender of takedowns and Chimaev is going to tackle him to the floor. The only question is whether Chimaev will pound Meerschaert out or make him give up his neck and submit him. Take these odds on Chimaev at FanDuel.
Walker vs Spann Betting Tips
This is a fight between the new era of UFC light heavyweights. Not long ago, Johnny Walker was on the short list of possible opponents for Jon Jones and Ryan Spann is very quietly 4-0 in the UFC. But though Spann’s record is pristine, there does appear to be some fool’s gold in there. His opposition has not been stellar and he is coming off a narrow win over Sam Alvey.
Walker, meanwhile, has lost two in a row but has beaten better competition and is by far the more dangerous offensive fighter. It’s a close fight but Walker should be closer to -180, so there’s value in betting him here. Bet on Walker at BetAmerica.
Dern vs Markos Betting Tips
When Mackenzie Dern first came into the UFC, her grappling accolades inflated her betting lines to unreasonable heights. Now that she has suffered a loss and the expectations around her have come down, so too have her betting lines. In this instance, the line has come down by too much.
Randa Markos is a solid fighter, but much of her game revolves around physicality — that is waning at age 35 and it pales in comparison to Dern’s athleticism. Dern is still a work in progress on her feet but it won’t take long for her to drag Markos to the mat. Once that happens, this one will be over. Take Dern at FOX Bet.
UFC Vegas 11 Date, Time & TV Information
When is UFC Vegas 11?
UFC Vegas 11 is Saturday, Sept. 19, in Las Vegas, Nevada.
What Time is UFC Vegas 11?
The main card is schedule to begin at 8 p.m. ET.
Where Can I Watch UFC Vegas 11?
UFC Vegas 11 is available on ESPN+.