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Premier League Top Scorer Odds 2023/24

Mark Fordham for Bookies.com

Mark Fordham  | 11 mins

Premier League Top Scorer Odds 2023/24

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Football betting sites already think Erling Haaland is a banker to be top scorer in the Premier League once again this season. The 23-year-old scored 36 goals in the Premier League last season, and he's on course for a similar tally after pilfering seven goals in the opening five matches.

The Manchester City forward looks like a sure thing to finish Premier League top scorer unless an injury occurs. However, the bookmakers are offering each-way betting, and that brings a number of players into sharp focus. Mohamed Salah, Heung-Min Son and Evan Ferguson could be capable of running into a place, with Darwin Nunez and Alexander Isak also looking to achieve a sizeable total this term.

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Haaland is sure to top the Premier League scoring charts, but it might even be that club team-mate Julian Alvarez ends up finishing runner-up behind him. Marcus Rashford could also come to life for Manchester United as per last season, and we might yet see Rasmus Hojland get on the goal trail.

Premier League - Top Goalscorer
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Erling Braut Haaland
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Can Anyone Stop Haaland Topping the Scoring Charts?

Betting apps were offering odds-against prices that Erling Haaland would finish top scorer in the Premier League last season.

However, they quickly had to slash those prices as the Norwegian scored goals in a hurry during the early part of the campaign. Consecutive hat-tricks came against Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest in what turned out to be a record-breaking season.

Another three goals came against Manchester United in early October as Haaland set his standards high. Haaland wasted little time getting off the mark in Manchester City's 2023/24 opener, scoring in the fourth minute. A brace against Burnley suggested the 23-year-old could be ready to surpass last season's tally of 36 goals, and that has been followed by a goal against Sheffield United before three more at home to Fulham. 

As things stand, Liverpool's Mohamed Salah is regarded as the biggest threat to Haaland's chances and the Egyptian has been largely prolific for the Reds since arriving from Roma. 

Salah's team-mate Darwin Nunez is also among the favourites, with the Uruguayan coming off the bench at Newcastle to fire home a brace, although there's a big question mark over how much game time he's going to receive with so much competition for places. 

Perhaps Heung-Min Son will emerge as Haaland's main challenger; the South Korean has previously won this award, with Tottenham looking like a free-scoring team under Ange Postecoglou. 

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Haaland Back on the Goal Trail For New Season

Five games played, seven goals scored. Erling Haaland continues to make it look easy when it comes to finding the net and the bookmakers have effectively crowned him top scorer for the second season running at this early juncture. 

One factor that will might Erling Haaland's end-of-season tally will be how much Pep Guardiola rotates his squad as the season progresses. However, Haaland played the lion's share of the EPL matches last term and should be able to finish comfortably clear of the pack, especially after Harry Kane left Tottenham for Bayern Munich last summer. 

The only threat to Haaland in his pursuit of another Golden Boot looks to be injury and the other leading strikers are competing for second right now. Manchester United will once again put their faith in Marcus Rashford to fire home the goals, while Rasmus Hojlund will hope to get up to speed quickly. 

Liverpool forward Mohamed Salah is regarded as the sternest challenger to Haaland although the Egyptian is proving to be an assist-maker at the moment and has just two top-flight goals to his name this term. 

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Who Are the Best Each-Way Bets for Top Scorer?

The majority of football betting sites are offering 1/4 odds for the first three places when it comes to each-way betting. Therefore, customers can eschew the idea of backing Haaland and instead find a player to go well at bigger odds.

Indeed, you can make a guaranteed profit if you can identify a player to finish in the top four places, and Evan Ferguson could fit the bill. The Brighton forward was able to score a recent hat-trick against Newcastle and the Seagulls are averaging three goals per game right now which means that the Irishman might be able to fill his boots on a regular basis.

Bryan Mbuemo is looking to deputise for the suspended Ivan Toney, with the Brentford forward having scored four goals this season, and he's on spot kicks for the Bees. There are enormous odds of up to 100/1 if you think he can remain in the places, although Mohamed Salah has a stronger track record and the Liverpool man might be capable of going above 20 goals. 

Previous Premier League Top Scorers

Prior to Haaland's runaway success last season, Son and Salah were tied on 23 goals at the end of the 2021-22 season. While the South Korean was declared the winner (by scoring the most non-penalties), most new betting sites deemed it a dead heat, meaning bets on both players were settled as a winner, with the stake halved.

Harry Kane obliged at odds of 6/1 the season before, although Bruno Fernandes ran into third at 33/1, and Leeds United striker Patrick Bamford was able to land a joint-fourth position at 150/1. This serves to highlight that there can be excellent value betting on an outsider on an each-way basis.

The 2019-20 Premier League season saw a 20/1 winner in the form of Jamie Vardy, with the Leicester City striker able to score 23 goals, while Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Danny Ings were able to notch 22 goals. The latter was priced at 250/1, and it’s generally the case that a player of this price runs into the places.

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How Many Goals Are Needed to be Premier League Top Scorer?

In the previous three seasons before the 2022/23 campaign, the winner(s) had scored 23 goals. Haaland's tally of 36 was an outlier, and it's usually been a far more modest number to win the top scorer prize. Two seasons ago, Salah and Son were five goals clear of Cristiano Ronaldo, while Salah and Kane were the only players to pass 20 goals the season before.

Vardy, Aubameyang, Ings and Raheem Sterling were all able to score 20 goals or more in the 2019-20 season, with Salah and then-Liverpool team-mate Sadio Mane dead-heating 12 months previously along with Aubameyang when the trio all managed to score 22 goals.

About the Author

Mark Fordham for Bookies.com
Mark Fordham
Mark spent over a decade as a sports reporter and editor with Goal.com and Bleacher Report. He is now a Content Editor at Bookies.com covering all manner of sports from the Premier League and cricket to the NBA and NFL.