Aaron Rodgers Next Team Odds: New York Jets Big Favorites To Land QB
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Few would argue that Aaron Rodgers is one of the best to ever throw a football. He owns a Super Bowl ring, four Most Valuable Player awards - including two of the last three - and his TD-to-INT ratio is a record that may never be broken.
He's also 39 years of age and just completed one of his worst pro seasons in 15 years, following offseason spats with management (plus the departure of his favorite target, Davante Adams) and on-field spats with coaches.
Meanwhile, Jordan Love waits in the wings in Green Bay.
Rodgers was a hot source of speculation prior to the 2022 season, but ultimately remained in Titletown and re-signed through 2026 with a cap hit that goes from $31.6 million next year to over $59 million by 2025. There is an out clause after 2023.
With a youth movement in the midst in Green Bay and the clock ticking on Love, it’s possible both Rodgers and Green Bay decide it’s time to move on. Rodgers may even call time on his NFL career. It's all up in the air for now, but it's also all on the table.
Projected Aaron Rodgers 2023 Team Odds
Here is a look at our NFL futures odds on Rodgers' next team, based on our review and analysis of current QB situations across the league. This market is for Rodgers' status ahead of Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season.
| 2023 Team | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| New York Jets | -150 | 60.0% |
| Green Bay Packers | +250 | 28.6% |
| Miami Dolphins | +750 | 11.8% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +900 | 10.0% |
| The Field | +1700 | 5.6% |
| Retirement | +2500 | 3.9% |
Odds above are for entertainment purposes and have been created by the Bookies team. You cannot wager on them currently.
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Will Rodgers Stay In Green Bay?
Rodgers finished the 2022 season with 26 TDs - he had 48 and 37 the previous two seasons - and 12 INTs - he had nine the last two years combined. The Packers missed the playoffs after falling at home to the Lions in Week 18. Rodgers still showed glimpses of the player that has terrorized defenses for more than a decade, and a completely revamped wide receiving corps and a struggling offensive line certainly didn't help Rodgers’ numbers or mindset.
Teams with a question at QB and a roster built to win would likely salivate over adding Rodgers, even at his advanced age and after a subpar (for him) 2022 campaign. The New York Jets lead the way in slobbery.
Jets management met with Rodgers in California to gauge his interest in wearing a different shade of green in 2023. How that meeting went is anyone's guess, but New York has made it very clear if it can get Rodgers, it wants Rodgers.
That's why the Packers are no longer the favorites in our betting market. They're still in the mix because they don't have to agree to any deal that doesn't make sense for them, and because Rodgers' contract may make it tough for teams to acquire him, regardless of interest. Perhaps ultimately, with one year remaining before an out clause, Rodgers prefers the opportunity to run it back in Green Bay before wrapping up his Hall of Fame career after 2023.
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Top Options Away from Green Bay
Peter King has reported that if Green Bay looks to move Rodgers, it would be to an AFC team. There are a few teams in that conference that would get a massive boost from adding A-Rod.
Pure want aside, the Jets make sense on various levels. They have made vast gains, jumping from 2-14 to 4-13 in Robert Saleh's first season, before improving again to 7-10 this past year. Quarterback remains the team's biggest question mark. Zach Wilson was benched and few believe Mike White is the QB1 of the future.
Jets owner Woody Johnson has made it clear he'll spend big to get a bona-fide veteran QB in the mix. If the Packers want two first-round picks for Rodgers as reported, Johnson will pay it.
The Raiders have moved on from Derek Carr, and are in a mode to win now. They could reunite Rodgers with former top target Davante Adams, and they have the cap space to make it work.
The Dolphins have a decision to make regarding Tua Tagovailoa, who was having a great season until concussions knocked him out of the lineup and Miami out of the playoffs. Almost every report says the team is dedicated to Tua, but some see Rodgers as a target. Miami has proved willing and able to make big deals to become a contender, including last offseason's addition of Tyreek Hill. The weaponry (and weather) could be enough to make Miami the top trade destination for Rodgers himself.
The Field includes several other teams may be interested in an under-center change of scenery, including the Titans. Ryan Tannehill’s dead cap number plummets from $57.4 million in 2022 to $18.8 million for the Titans. Despite his winning ways, the general sense has been he isn't the guy to take the Titans to that elusive next level, and rookie Malik Willis clearly isn't ready. This would be a huge win-now move for Tennessee as it chases Kansas City, Buffalo and Cincinnati in the AFC.
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