Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

By Adam Thompson | | 4 mins

Arch Manning Futures Odds: College Football, Heisman & More

Arch Manning Futures Odds: College Football, Heisman & More

There aren’t many high school football players whose reach extends past the mainstream recruiting sites. Arch Manning is the exception.

Manning is the grandson of legend Archie Manning and nephew to Super Bowl winners Peyton and Eli Manning. He is not just the consensus No. 1 quarterback in the Class of 2023, but the No. 1 overall player regardless of position.

Since 2008, only two other QBs have been overall No. 1’s: Trevor Lawrence (2018), who went on to be the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft; and Quinn Ewers (2021), who will play at Texas next fall.

After a stellar junior year at Isidore Newman in New Orleans – the same school all the Mannings have attended over the years – the nation’s top college programs are already salivating hoping to get him in the doors and on the field as a freshman. Expectations are sky high – and those lofty expectations can give us a possible peak into future success at each level.

Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has studied the history and lineage of past players in Arch’s position, creating projected odds for milestone moments.

All odds shown in this article are projected and are not available at legal betting sites. They are for entertainment purposes only.

Where Will Arch Manning Play College Football?

TeamOdds
Georgia+200
Texas+250
Alabama+350
Ole Miss+500
LSU+2000
Florida+3000
Ohio State+3000
Tennessee+3500
The Field+2800

These are projected odds and they are not currently available at legal betting sites or betting apps.

The Bulldogs and Longhorns have been the consensus leaders for a while; one just took the national championship, the other will be joining the SEC and is the flagship school in a flagship football state (and is pretty close to home). Manning was reportedly impressed with perennial college football betting favorite Alabama at a recent visit as well.

While Ole Miss is a slight outlier, Manning has the biggest connection to that school. That’s where his grandpa and uncle Eli starred, and his father Cooper went there as well.

LSU is up the road from the Mannings and could pull off a big upset. Florida and Ohio State are expected to heavily pursue as well.

Will Arch Manning Win The Heisman Trophy?

YesNo
+250-200

These are projected college football odds and are not currently available at legal betting sites.

The Heisman goes to college football’s top player at the end of each season. Ten of the last 12 Heismans have gone to quarterbacks. Of those 10, only three of them were from SEC schools. That said, the last two were Alabama’s Bryce Young and LSU’s Joe Burrow.

Being a five-star recruit doesn’t mean much when it comes to the Heisman. Of those ten modern QBs who won the award, just three were consensus five-star guys – Young, Kyler Murray and Jameis Winston.

It’s tough to know what the future holds here and how you'd play it on college football futures markets, but a one-in-three chance seems realistic. He has the pedigree and background to be in the mix, and the team he’ll be going to should be successful and talent-laden.

Will Arch Manning Win The Super Bowl?

YesNo
+300-400

These are projected odds and are not currently available at legal betting sites.

Manning is already projected to be the No. 1 overall pick in whatever NFL Draft he decides to enter. But does being drafted early mean Super Bowl success? After all, if you’re drafted No. 1, the team drafting No. 1 is likely doing so because they stink.

As it turns out, many QBs taken in that spot have eventually earned that ring. Of the last eleven Super Bowl winning quarterbacks, three of them were No. 1 overall picks. That includes both his uncles, Peyton and Eli, as well as the 2022 Super Bowl winner Matthew Stafford.

Six of those 11 were first-round picks and all but Tom Brady was at least a third-rounder. A lot of great QBs never won a Super Bowl.

Of the 25 QBs taken No. 1 overall since 1970, 11 of them (44%) took their team to the Super Bowl, with nine of them (36%) winning.

About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com.