Next NBA Coach To Be Fired Odds: Who Will Follow Willie Green?
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As the NBA season rolls on, teams at the bottom of the league table are tasked with deciding on their respective head coaches’ futures, with several bound to wind up out of a job before long. With that in mind, Bookies.com updated our hypothetical odds about which NBA coach is most likely to be fired next this season, factoring in current standings, team expectations, and league-wide hot-seat pressure.
Next NBA Coach To Be Fired Odds
| Coach / Team | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Doug Christie, Sacramento Kings | +250 | 28.6% |
| Doc Rivers, Milwaukee Bucks | +325 | 23.5% |
| Tyronn Lue, LA Clippers | +450 | 18.2% |
| Nick Nurse, Philadelphia 76ers | +750 | 11.8% |
| Billy Donovan, Chicago Bulls | +900 | 10.0% |
| Will Hardy, Utah Jazz | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Jason Kidd, Dallas Mavericks | +2000 | 4.8% |
| The Field | +550 | 15.4% |
These odds have been created by the Bookies.com team and are not representative of odds that may be available on legal betting apps.
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Atop our NBA firing odds board right now is the man who’s gone 5-17 (.227) this season, with second-year Sacramento Kings coach Doug Christie holding down the top spot, at +250.
Through 73 games in charge of the team he played with for five seasons, Christie has gone 32-41 (.438), speaking to the difficulty he’s had in elevating the club back to postseason contention, ultimately landing him atop our firing odds board.
Behind Christie are the men in charge of the NBA’s other bottom feeders, such as Doc Rivers of the 10-13 Milwaukee Bucks (+325) and Tyronn Lue of the Los Angeles Clippers (+450), who have crashed their way to a 6-16 (.273) start out West, with Lue and future Hall of Fame guard Chris Paul reaching an impasse that led to the latter’s abrupt dismissal this week.
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Who Else Could Get Fired?
Outside of the three men listed above, the other leading candidates to get the boot next in the NBA are names like Nick Nurse of the Philadelphia 76ers (+750), Billy Donovan of the Chicago Bulls (+900), Will Hardy of the Utah Jazz (+1200) and Dallas Mavericks’ head coach Jason Kidd (+2000).
Nurse’s tenure in Philly has been anything but memorable, with the NBA champion head coach going 82-102 (.446) in two-plus seasons, with a 35-67 mark over the last 102 games in the City of Brotherly Love after a solid 47-35 debut campaign in 2023-24.
Donovan’s time in the Windy City has been blustery, with a 204-217 (.485) mark over the course of six seasons with the Bulls, missing the postseason each year since getting knocked out in the first round in 2022.
Hardy’s time in the Beehive State has been mediocre at best, with zero winning seasons since taking over in 2022, with a 92-174 (.346) record leading what was once one of the NBA’s most successful franchises.
Finally, Kidd’s time in Dallas has followed a similar arc to the rest of the names on our list, going from winning the Western Conference in 2024 to missing the playoffs entirely during a trade-filled, 39-43 campaign last season and starting the year miserably, at 8-15 and 1.5 games out of the 10th and final spot in the NBA’s Play-In Round bracket.
For now, all of the above still hold onto their respective head coaching jobs, though the NBA’s win-now mindset means that any of them could be out of work before long, with men like Doug Christie and Doc Rivers being the most likely ones to get the boot first.
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