NFL 2025 First Coach Fired Odds: Brian Daboll's Seat Feels Warm

By Bill Speros Jul 9th, 2025 4:16 PM EDT

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Robert Saleh of the New York Jets was the first NFL head coach fired during the 2024 season.

Could his former next-door neighbor at Met-Life Stadium be the first to go in 2025?

The New York Giants begin the post-Daniel Jones era with a razor-thin margin for error in the top-heavy NFC East. That leaves Brian Daboll with perhaps a year — or just a few weeks — to deliver a winner for Big Blue.

Eight NFL teams entered the 2025 season with new head coaches compared to the end of 2024. The most high-profile departure? Mike McCarthy, finally chloroformed in Dallas. Jerry Jones promoted former offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer as his next talk-radio lightning rod.

Meanwhile, after having just one head coach throughout the entire 21st century until 2024, the New England Patriots are now on their third in three seasons. Mike Vrabel replaces Jerod Mayo, who lasted just one year after taking over for Bill Belichick.

Belichick — along with his main squeeze, Jordon Hudson — is now on to Chapel Hill.

Other NFL teams with new head coaches in 2025:

• Jets (Aaron Glenn)
• Jaguars (Liam Coen)
• Raiders (Pete Carroll)
• Saints (Kellen Moore)
• Bears (Ben Johnson)

The Jets fired Saleh last season after a 2-3 start. He was caught in a swirl of drama between Aaron Rodgers (now with Pittsburgh) and team owner Woody Johnson.

So who’s first to get the boot in 2025?

Let’s take a look.

2025 NFL First Coach Fired Odds

Here are our latest NFL odds on the Next Coach Fired. 

Odds above have been created by Bookies.com Senior Handicapper Adam Thompson and do not reflect odds that may be available on legal betting apps.

Familiar Names Top List In 2025

Several returning coaches from last season’s hot seat are again facing intense pressure. Here’s a breakdown:

Brian Daboll, Giants (+375)

Buzz: Giants coach Brian Daboll led the “NFL First Head Coach Fired” in 2024 market for 4 weeks and he's beigns the 2025 season back on top of the list at +375. Giants ownership has publicly backed Daboll ahead of the season. That won't mean much if the Giants slip early in the stacked NFC East. Daboll was under fire late last season as the Giants churned through QBs following an injury to Daniel Jones that ended his run in New York. QB Russell Wilson remains the only real barrier between Daboll and NFL unemployment.

Zac Taylor, Bengals (+450)

Buzz: The Bengals started 4-7 in 2024 but fought until the final week for playoff contention. Zac Taylor enters 2025 needing a healthy and focused Joe Burrow to avoid midseason unemployment.

Mike McDaniel, Dolphins (+500)

Buzz: Miami hasn’t won a playoff game since Dec. 30, 2000. Two straight first-round exits have led many to wonder whether Mike McDaniel has taken this version of the Dolphins — with Tua Tagovailoa under center — as far as it can go.

Kevin Stefanski, Browns (+550)

Buzz: Kevin Stefanski lost QB Deshaun Watson to a ruptured Achilles in Week 7 of 2024. The Browns scrambled through a QB carousel for the rest of the season, yet Stefanski survived the offseason. A rough start in 2025 could finally make him the fall guy in Cleveland.

Todd Bowles, Buccaneers (+800)

Buzz: Tampa Bay rides a five-year playoff streak into 2025, including the last two seasons with Baker Mayfield at QB. But the loss of OC Liam Coen — now Jaguars head coach — stung. Coen was reportedly in line to succeed Todd Bowles in Tampa before heading to Jacksonville. The pressure is on Bowles and the Bucs' offense to produce in the Florida heat and humidity.

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About the Author

Bill Speros

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Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.