PGA Picks This Week: 2026 3M Open Predictions, Best Bets & Longshots
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Last Updated: July 22, 2026:
Here are expert 2026 3M Open picks, predictions and odds for the week of July 23–26, 2026.
The 3M Open returns to TPC Twin Cities with World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler in town and Kurt Kitayama as our defending champ.
This golf betting season, Bookies.com continues to provide analysis from a variety of experts across the space, including leans on first round leaders, longshots, top 20s, matchups and much more.
Check out insight from a variety of sources below before you head to your favorite U.S. sports betting app.
Now let's pick 'em!
Who Will Win the 2026 3M Open? Winner W/O Scheffler Outright Picks
(Bookies this week embraced the Winner W/O Scheffler market, with the four-time major champ simply being too popular among bettors).
Len Hochberg, RotoWire - Johnny Keefer +4600
The 2025 top Korn Ferry Tour player struggled in the early going but has come on strong, now 71st in points. If Keefer could putt even a lick, he could be a great player -- not good, great. He is ranked ninth on Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee -- he's 10th in driving distance -- and 15th in Approach. There's only one guy in this field better than that, and that's Scottie Scheffler.
Thomas Leary, Bookies - Jordan Smith +4400
Smith is a great iron player who doesn't win a whole lot (just two DPWT wins in a ton of chances). He's in good form heading to Minnesota, with T21 at the Genesis Scottish Open and T18 at the Open Championship. He also briefly led the Charles Schwab Challenge in June with opening rounds of 65-65.
Jared Kimble, Bookies - Doug Ghim +3800
Consistently in the mix on Tour with a game built on ball-striking and precision — the exact profile TPC Twin Cities rewards on approach. Has been trending toward his breakthrough PGA Tour win all season, and this is the tier of event where a player of his caliber can finally get over the line.
Bill Speros, Bookies - Maverick McNealy +1950
With or without Scottie Scheffler, Maverick McNealy contends this week and perhaps wins it. He’s been a consistent "birdie or better" player this season, hovering around some of the top performers on the PGA Tour in that category. Sure, he missed the cut here last year. But we prefer to focus on his T3 finish in 2024. And at this price, he’s worthy of a small investment.
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Who Will Top 20 at the 2026 3M Open?
Len Hochberg, RotoWire - Sam Stevens +233
Stevens has missed only four cuts all season and two came in the past two weeks in Scotland and England. Note to self: Links golf is not the best fit for Stevens. He is an outstanding driver -- both in terms of distance and accuracy. That's a good fit this week. That helps explain his runner-up here a year ago and a T10 three years back.
Thomas Leary, Bookies - Casey Jarvis +225
Coming off a T6 at the Open Championship, in line to get his 2027 PGA Tour card via the DPWT and a dark horse to make this year's International Presidents Cup team. The 22-year-old South African should be full of confidence after last week's major performance.
Jared Kimble, Bookies - Mac Meissner +192
Tees off at 8:07 AM in the morning wave and ranks 4th in total strokes gained projection for this event per DraftKings' model. Consistent ball-striker who has quietly built a solid 2026 with multiple made cuts and top-30 finishes, and TPC Twin Cities' setup fits his precision profile.
Bill Speros, Bookies - Matt Kuchar +470
Matt Kuchar is tanned, rested and ready to make a run at the second page of the leaderboard this week. He finished T3 here just two years ago. He’s flirting with the cut line in terms of FedExCup points and is on a mini roll of late, making the cut in 4 of his past 5 events – landing in the top 25 each time.
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See http://BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable and Expire in 7 Days. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.
2026 3M Open Longshot Picks
Len Hochberg, RotoWire - Ben Kohles +7400
Kohles has made only nine starts on the PGA Tour this season, splitting time on the Korn Ferry Tour. He has four top 25s., including his past three starts at the U.S. Open, John Deere and ISCO Championship. He almost won the Deere. He won on the KFT a little before that. Kohles is an outstanding iron player and gaining strokes in every strokes-gained metric.
Thomas Leary, Bookies - Aaron Wise +16500
Why not? After years away from the game, Wise was T3 at the ISCO in Kentucky two weeks ago and T15 at Corales last week.
Jared Kimble, Bookies - Taylor Pendrith +9200
Canadian long-hitter who profiles perfectly for the 7,468-yard TPC Twin Cities layout — proven PGA Tour winner (2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson) with multiple top-10s at 3M Open in recent years. Fits the "Midwest opposite-week course" profile that big-hitting players historically dominate. You're getting a proven PGA Tour winner with course pedigree at longshot pricing.
Bill Speros, Bookies - Tony Finau +7000
This field is chock full of longshots. Where else can you get Tony Finau at +7000. He won here in 2022 and followed that with a T7 and T12 before missing the cut last year thanks to a 77 in the second round. That’s the outlier here. Finau’s only had one top 10 finish this year, but this course is perfect for golfers who need a rebound.
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See http://BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable and Expire in 7 Days. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.
2026 3M Open First Round Leader Picks
Len Hochberg, RotoWire - Scottie Scheffler +1250
We weren't allowed to pick Scheffler to win. Is this a loophole? Yeah, probably. But you're getting roughly triple the odds here vs. an outright win. After some Thursday issues early in the season, Scheffler is now 19th in first-round scoring average. Following the Masters, he had been 87th. Spoiler alert: Scheffler is also good in the other three rounds
Thomas Leary, Bookies - Benjamin James +6100
The rookie has shot 68, 65 and 67 in his last three opening rounds. Will be more than comfortable taking it low on Thursday in Minnesota.
Jared Kimble, Bookies - Jake Knapp +4500
Tees off in the 8:18 AM morning wave and ranks as a top-4 total strokes gained projection in the field. Long hitter who fits TPC Twin Cities' distance premium, and his 2026 has been quietly consistent with multiple deep contentions. +4500 is FRL pricing typically reserved for guys with far less week-in, week-out form.
Bill Speros, Bookies - Kurt Kitayama +4000
Scottie Scheffler isn’t the free money he used to be. Kurt Kitayama returns to Minnesota as the defending champion. He closed last year with a 60 and a 65. Something in between should be good enough to give him the lead when the sun sets on Thursday night. And return a nifty payday.
2026 3M Open: Frequently Asked Questions
When is the 2026 3M Open?
The 2026 3M Open is played Thursday, July 23 through Sunday, July 26, 2026, at TPC Twin Cities. The opening two rounds run Thursday and Friday, the cut falls after Friday's play, and the final two rounds are contested over the weekend.
Where is the 2026 3M Open being played?
The 2026 3M Open is being played at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota, just north of Minneapolis. The par-71 Arnold Palmer–designed layout is water-heavy and typically yields low, birdie-friendly scoring.
Who won the 2025 3M Open?
Kurt Kitayama won the 2025 3M Open, closing at 23-under par for a one-shot victory over Sam Stevens at TPC Twin Cities. He returns in 2026 as defending champion.
Is Scottie Scheffler playing the 2026 3M Open?
Yes — world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is in the 2026 3M Open field, a rare start for him at a non-signature event and the headline storyline of the week. His presence makes him a heavy betting favorite over the rest of the field.
Who is the favorite to win the 2026 3M Open?
Scottie Scheffler is the betting favorite for the 2026 3M Open at around +275 (as of July 21, 2026). Defending champion Kurt Kitayama sits a distant second on the board.
What are the odds to win the 2026 3M Open?
The top of the 2026 3M Open odds board, as of July 21, 2026, is headed by Scottie Scheffler at roughly +275, with the rest of the field well behind, including defending champion Kurt Kitayama. Odds shift daily as money comes in, so confirm the latest numbers at your sportsbook before betting.
How much is the 2026 3M Open purse?
The 2026 3M Open features an $8.8 million purse, with a winner's share of roughly $1.58 million and 500 FedEx Cup points to the champion.
How can I watch the 2026 3M Open on TV?
In the United States, the 2026 3M Open is broadcast on Golf Channel and CBS, with streaming on PGA Tour Live via ESPN+ and a Paramount+ simulcast of the CBS windows. Golf Channel carries early-round coverage Thursday and Friday, with CBS airing the weekend windows Saturday and Sunday.
Past PGA Picks of 2026 Season
Who's Who In Bookies Golf Roundtable
Len Hochberg has covered golf for RotoWire since 2013. A veteran sports journalist, he was an editor and reporter at The Washington Post for nine years. Len is a three-time winner of the FSWA DFS Writer of the Year Award (2020, '22 and '23) and a five-time nominee (2019-23). He is also a writer and editor for MLB Advanced Media.
Josh Carpenter covers golf and sports media for Sports Business Journal, having been with the publication since 2012. Away from the office, Josh loves playing golf and spending time with his wife Amy and son, Walt. He is an avid supporter of the Carolina Hurricanes and Tennessee Volunteers.
Thomas Leary is our senior editor who works across a variety of the company's portfolios, including Bookies.com. Previously, Thomas spent over six years at Sports Business Journal where he helped launch the digital newsletter division. He is a Charlotte, NC native and long-suffering Hornets fan.
Jared Kimble is our media manager who oversees the group's North American digital PR efforts. Jared previously worked for the Orlando Magic. A Pennsylvania native, he is an Elon University graduate and currently resides in Charlotte, NC.
David Rumsey is a reporter at Front Office Sports, focusing on golf, college football, and the NFL. He has a B.A. in Communication Studies from Southern Adventist University in Chattanooga, Tenn. David is based in Charleston, S.C.
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.
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