By Adam Thompson | | 5 mins
4 Denver Broncos Prop Bets Worth Playing This NFL Season
Quarterback Drew Lock got a taste of NFL action in 2019, starting the final five games of the season as a rookie.
It was a mixed bag for Lock and the Denver offense, but management spent the offseason adding weapons. If Lock makes expected strides for his sophomore season, the Broncos expect to improve upon last year’s 7-9 campaign.
|Jerry Jeudy — Under 800.5 Yards||-110 |
Bet it at Unibet
|Drew Lock — Over 20.5 TDs||-110 |
Bet it at 888sport
|AFC South — Second Place||+220 |
Bet it at BetMGM
|Broncos In the Playoffs — Yes||+165 |
Bet it at BetMGM
Odds current as of publication
Jerry Jeudy — Under 800.5 Yards (-110)
Jeudy was expected to be the No. 1 receiver taken in the 2020 NFL Draft, perhaps even inside the top 10. Instead, he was the second wideout off the board and he fell into the laps of the Broncos at 15. He’ll be an immediate contributor for a team that relied almost exclusively on WR Courtland Sutton in the passing game.
But expecting a huge season from the rookie might be too much to ask. Sutton is still the unquestioned No. 1 guy — he had 125 targets in 2019, 81 more than any other WR on the team. The team also added K.J. Hamler in the second round, taking potential receptions away from Jeudy.
We also can’t assume Lock is going to become a 4,000-yard passer in his first full season. And perhaps most important, the Broncos added Melvin Gordon to go along with Phillip Lindsay — the Broncos should be one of the premier rushing teams in the NFL and that will be the focus. Jeudy is going to be a good one, but there are too many targets in a limited pass game for 2020. Take the Under at Unibet.
Drew Lock — Over 20.5 TDs (-110)
Lock started the final five games for the Broncos as a rookie last year, and the kid gloves were on. He averaged just 200 yards passing per game with seven TDs and three INTs.
Weapons have been added in a big way, with the new rookie WRs and Gordon expected to immediately contribute. The playbook should be opened for Lock this year, but the gameplan may not suit a massive season. This will be a run-first team under coach Vic Fangio, with two 1,000-yard rushers in the backfield.
We can’t rely on Lock getting to the 3,350-yard total sportsbooks have posted for him. But 20.5 TDs seems very doable. He was on pace to do that last year despite being thrown into the fire and with few targets to count on. If Lock plays 14 or more games, it would be a surprise if he doesn’t throw for more than 20 scores. Take the Over at 888sport.
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AFC West — Second Place (+220)
The West should be competitive, with the Broncos, Chargers and Raiders all trending in the right direction. But can anyone see any of them overcoming the Chiefs in the division?
Fortunately, there are odds for which team takes second in the AFC West. The Raiders aren’t there yet, and while the Chargers are the team favored to finish runner-up, it can be argued the Broncos made the most strides this offseason, and they finished two games ahead of L.A. last season. Take Denver finishing No. 2 in the AFC West at BetMGM.
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Broncos In the Playoffs — Yes (+165)
There is a reason No is hovering around -200 at most books. No is the most-likely finish for 2020.
But it’s close enough to find value in Yes. The offense ranked 28th in scoring and 28th in passing but dramatically improved its weaponry. Lindsay and Gordon will make a formidable backfield duo. In other words, the offense should be much-improved. The defense last year was 10th in points allowed and added shutdown corner AJ Bouye, and it still has Bradley Chubb and Von Miller.
The schedule isn’t easy, however. A 9-7 record would be good, 8-8 wouldn’t be a surprise. Then again, neither would 10-6 if the ball bounces right and key injuries are avoided. This one will be close, and Denver is still on the outside looking in when it comes to a deep AFC field. But with the addition of a seventh playoff team to the conference, value is on the side of Yes. Lock it in at BetMGM.
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