By Adam Thompson | | 4 mins
5 Eagles-Packers Prop Bets & Betting Lines to Back on TNF
The Thursday Night Football schedule offers some lackluster matchups and others that are full of intrigue. This Thursday is one of the latter, as the Green Bay Packers host the Philadelphia Eagles in a showdown of Super Bowl contenders at historic Lambeau Field.
Let’s take a look at some of the best bets fans of NFL betting should consider:
Eagles-Packers Best Bets
|Packers -4.5|| -110 |
|Eagles – First team to turn the ball over||-124|
|Packers -3 First Half||-115 |
|Eagles ML Second Half|| +114|
|Green Bay – Most Punts||+140|
All odds current as of publication but subject to change.
PICK 1: Packers -4.5
The Packers have relied on the defense for their 3-0 start. Aaron Rodgers and the offense are averaging just 19.3 ppg, ranking 23rd in the league, and they rank in the bottom 10 in both passing and rushing yards. That said, the offense hasn’t had to take many risks with a defense that’s allowing just 11.7 ppg.
The banged-up Eagles get just three days between games and their gassed defense has allowed 26 ppg.
The Packers can jump out to a quick lead at home, but expect Carson Wentz and the Eagles’ offense to create opportunities and stay close. Look for Aaron Rodgers to make enough big plays down the stretch and Mason Crosby to make his kicks at home.
PICK 2: Packers -3 First Half
Few teams have come out of the gates better than the Packers, who are averaging 15 ppg in the first half. That compares favorably to the Eagles’ scant 7.6 ppg opening-half average.
The Packers have led at halftime 7-3, 21-10 and 17-10 in their three games, while the Eagles have trailed 20-7, 10-6 and 20-10 at the break.
PICK 3: Eagles Money Line Second Half
Conversely, that opens the possibility of the too-conservative Eagles offense opening up in the second half, a trend that would only continue from the opening three weeks. Philadelphia is averaging a solid 17.7 ppg in the second half, third-most in the NFL.
Meanwhile, the Packers have struggled to pull away, managing just 13 second-half points all year. Green Bay’s mediocre run game vs. Philadelphia’s second-ranked run defense should force enough punts and allowed Wentz to do his thing.
PICK 4: Eagles - First Team to Turn the Ball Over
No defense ball-hawks like Green Bay’s, which ranks first with eight turnovers forced and tied for first with five fumbles. That’s not good news for the Eagles, whose 11 RB fumbles since 2018 is the most in the league. Rookie RB Miles Sanders fumbled twice on Sunday and had a higher-than-normal ratio of putting the ball on the ground at Penn State. Philly’s receivers have struggled hauling in passes, offering chances for a tipped-ball INT.
Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers rarely gets picked off at home. Over the last five seasons, he’s thrown just 11 INTs at Lambeau Field (compared to 84 TDs).
CHECK OUT: NFL Week 4 Betting Power Rankings
PICK 5: Packers – Most Punts
The Packers have jumped out to strong leads in every game this season and then tried – and failed – to rely on the run game to keep the clock ticking.
Green Bay ranks 27th at 89.3 ground yards per game. Aaron Jones managed just 19 yards on 10 carries on Sunday against the Broncos. While the Eagles’ pass defense has struggled to get pressure, the run defense has been elite, allowing just 57 rushing yards per game.
Green Bay has punted 21 times this season – seven per game – while Philadelphia has punted only 10 times all year. If the Eagles are chasing late, they’ll look to convert fourth downs.
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