5 Patriots-Texans Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back On SNF

Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EST

Two of the premier division leaders in the AFC face off in prime time on Sunday Night Football when Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans play host to Tom Brady and the New England Patriots.

The Patriots have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 games, while the Texans are on a 1-6 ATS slide at home.

RELATED: Sunday Night Football Betting Preview: Patriots At Texans

Let’s take a look at some of the best bets fans of NFL betting should consider:

Patriots-Texans Best Bets

Pick Expired

OTHER BETS TO BACK

First Turnover | Texans -124 (William Hill)
Most Punts | Patriots +170 (William Hill)
First Quarter | Patriots ML (3-Way) +120 (888sport)

All odds current as of publication but subject to change. Check out the latest Patriots-Texans odds here.

PICK 1: Texans +3

Discounting both having humbling losses to the Ravens, the Patriots haven’t lost to anyone else and the Texans have won five of their last six.

There have been chinks in New England’s armor lately — the offense is averaging 15.8 ppg the last four weeks after averaging 31.3 the previous eight. And three of its four games with most yards allowed have been in the last four weeks. Twice the Texans have been +3 or +3.5 and in each instance they won straight up, over the Chiefs and Chargers.

5 Patriots-Texans Prop Bets & Betting Lines To Back On SNF — A home Texans crowd could help Houston cover at +3 against the Patriots.

PICK 2: Under 46 Points

New England’s offense has struggled for the last month, but the defense is still a top-tier unit. The last three Texans games have averaged 38 points and none of them included a Patriots-level D. The Under has hit in the last four Texans games and four of the last five Pats games, and eight of the last nine overall at Houston.

CHECK OUT: Bookies.com NFL Week 13 Betting Power Rankings

PICK 3: First Turnover — Texans

This one’s not hard to figure out. The Patriots have 20 INTs and a shocking plus-19 turnover ratio, nine better than any other team in the league. The Texans defense has intercepted just five passes while the offense has twice as many fumbles as New England.

PICK 4: Most Punts — Patriots

One would think the team with Brady and one of the elite defenses would win most punting battles. One would be incorrect. The Pats average a 5.6 punts per game, third-most in the league. The Texans average only 3.2, in part because the aggressive team is near the top of fourth-down attempts.

PICK 5: First Quarter — Patriots ML (3-Way)

The Patriots average 8.5 points in the first quarter and have allowed 20 points over 11 first quarters all season. The Texans average just 2.1 ppg in the opening 15 minutes and over the last three weeks have managed a combined three points.

About the Author

Adam Thompson

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Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.