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Anthony Richardson 2023 NFL Draft Odds: A Replacement for Lamar Jackson?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 5 mins

Anthony Richardson 2023 NFL Draft Odds: A Replacement for Lamar Jackson?

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Florida quarterback Anthony Richardson owns a combination of size, speed and athleticism to which no other QB in the 2023 NFL Draft can compare. Heck, maybe no other QB in NFL history can compare, given all the records he set at the 2023 NFL Combine.

That said, Richardson's play in 2022 was also quite inconsistent and his accuracy was questioned. Richardson's Gators lost 5 of 7 to end the season and included in that was an erratic display in a loss to rival Florida State.

In other words, there is a lot to like, but also a lot to question with Richardson, who might be vaulting up some NFL team draft boards, but not on others. ESPN's Dan Orlovsky's comp for Richardson is Bills star QB Josh Allen - that's mighty high praise. Which team might be getting a player with such an enormously high ceiling?

Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has used his resources of NFL contacts developed over 20 years covering the league and the NFL Draft to create his hypothetical NFL futures odds on which team will take Richardson in the 2023 NFL Draft. 

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Anthony Richardson 2023 NFL Draft Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
Las Vegas Raiders+30025.0%
Indianapolis Colts+35022.2%
Houston Texans+37521.1%
Carolina Panthers+45018.2%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+85010.5%
Washington Commanders+10009.1%
Baltimore Ravens+12007.7%
The Field+15006.3%

Odds are for entertainment purposes only and do not reflect odds that may be available on legal betting apps.

RELATED: Lamar Jackson Next Team Odds

Which Teams Will Leap at Chance to Draft Richardson?

At the turn of the new year, there were questions as to whether Richardson would be a flyer pick in the late first round, or drop into the second round. Fast-forward just two months, and now it’s a question of whether he’ll go No. 1 in the draft (his odds to go first overall have risen dramatically in NFL betting markets). He’ll certainly go Top 10. 

NFL scouts and GMs love measurables, and Richardson checks all the boxes. He’s 6-foot-4, 244 pounds and can run a 4.43 40. His other numbers at the NFL Combine popped, as well. 

According to NFL.com, he ranked No. 1 among all QBs in Athleticism Score, but only 11th in Production Score. Individual teams have him anywhere from their first QB to their fourth, with Bryce Young of Alabama, C.J. Stroud of Ohio State and Will Levis of Kentucky in the mix. 

With the Chicago Bears unlikely to take a quarterback with the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft, the Houston Texans at No. 2 should get their pick of the QB litter. There is almost no doubt the Texans will go QB with their selection. 

RELATED: Possible Trade Contenders For Chicago Bears No. 1 Overall Pick

Richardson is reportedly rising up Houston’s charts, though most pundits believe Stroud or Young go off the board first. 

The Indianapolis Colts, owners of the No. 4 overall pick, have been strongly linked to Richardson. With Chicago actively shopping the top overall pick, the Colts are considered the top contenders to jump to No. 1, in part to ensure another QB-hungry team doesn’t leapfrog them. 

The Las Vegas Raiders (No. 7 pick) and Carolina Panthers (No. 9) are also in the market for a new QB. It’s strongly believed Richardson won’t drop past Carolina. Insiders believe Raiders coach Josh McDaniels, considered a bit of a QB guru, is the right coach for someone with Richardson’s abilities. 

But that’s assuming Richardson, or any of the Big Four QBs, is still on the board. Several other teams currently outside the top 10 are in need, and any of them could make a draft-day move to acquire their target. 

The Baltimore Ravens (currently at No. 22) would be a solid fit for the athletic Richardson to take over for Lamar Jackson, if Jackson ends up somewhere else. Even if/when he ends up franchise tagged in Baltimore, Lamar could still be moved this offseason as the Ravens have struggled to agree terms on an extension. 

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (No. 19) have no immediate replacement for the (for now) retired Tom Brady aside from Richardson’s predecessor at Florida, Kyle Trask. The Washington Commanders (No. 16) have released Carson Wentz and don’t appear to be re-signing Taylor Heinicke, leaving second-year unknown Sam Howell atop the depth chart. 

The Field includes teams that have a solid QB for now, but could project Richardson as someone who could hit the ground running after a 1-2 seasons of tutelage behind a veteran. The Seattle Seahawks (who just inked Geno Smith to a three-year deal) and the Detroit Lions (who have Jared Goff for two more years and own the No. 6 overall pick) have both reportedly shown a liking to Richardson. 

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.