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Chicago Bears NFL Draft 2023: Top Trade Partners For No. 1 Pick

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 

Chicago Bears NFL Draft 2023: Top Trade Partners For No. 1 Pick

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The Chicago Bears are on the clock, owners of the No. 1 pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. But will they be the selectors when the countdown hits 00:00 on draft night? ESPN insider Adam Schefter has reported that the Bears are "leaning toward" trading away the No. 1 pick, with several teams interested in moving up the board.

The Bears own the No. 1 pick for a reason. They went 3-14, ranked dead-last in the NFL in points allowed on defense and dead-last in passing on offense. It’s going to take more than one player to bounce into true contender status. 

If they want to trade away the No. 1 pick, there will be suitors. Many teams may want to snag the top QB in the draft – whether it’s Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud or someone else. If Chicago can get a king’s ransom for the top spot and still get an impact player later in the round, why not? 

Bookies.com oddsmaker Adam Thompson has used his resources of NFL contacts developed over 20 years covering the league to create his hypothetical NFL futures odds on which team will be drafting No. 1 on April 28. 

It's still most likely that Chicago will make the 1.01 selection but who are the top trade partners for the Bears? Let's find out...

NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Team Odds

Team Odds Implied Probability
Chicago Bears +110 47.6%
Indianapolis Colts +500 16.7%
Las Vegas Raiders +600 14.3%
Carolina Panthers +750 11.8%
Tennessee Titans +1100 8.3%
Houston Texans +1200 7.7%
Detroit Lions +1400 6.7%
The Field +1400 6.7%

Odds above are hypothetical and have been created by the Bookies.com team for entertainment purposes only. They are not widely available on legal betting apps or betting sites.

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The Bears have very important questions to answer before the NFL Draft. The first question, of course, is whether they believe Justin Fields can be the QB to lead the team to success. Fields is 5-20 as a starter in his two seasons since being drafted 11th overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. He has rushed for over 1,500 yards in that span, but has also thrown just 24 TDs with 21 INTs. 

As many as four quarterbacks are expected to be picked in the first nine picks of the draft. Right now, Chicago can take whichever one it wants. 


RELATED: Derek Carr Next Team Odds


If the Bears decide to roll with Fields, defense is the next logical pick. Two defensive players – Edge rusher Will Anderson Jr. of Alabama and DT Jalen Carter of Georgia – are considered immediate game-changers on that side of the ball. 

Bears Looking To Trade No. 1 Pick

As long as they stay close, Chicago could trade down and still get either one of those players, or one of the four QBs. 

If the Bears want to move the pick, they will get offers. 

The No. 1 overall pick has been dealt 12 times, with the last time being back in 2016. The Tennessee Titans shipped it to the Los Angeles Rams for six picks, including two first-rounders and two second-rounders. L.A. moved up from the 15th spot to select Jared Goff. 

The Indianapolis Colts have already indicated they are jettisoning the idea of adding another veteran QB and will look to the draft for their future at the position. With the No. 4 overall pick, they will have options. But their top option may not be there, with the Bears and the Houston Texans (No. 2) also looking at QB. 

There are other teams that could offer a package of picks and players to entice the Bears to move slightly further down the board. The Colts may need to move up to prevent getting jumped.

The Las Vegas Raiders (No. 7) and Carolina Panthers (No. 9) are also in the QB market. The Raiders have the players and the pick to make a legit offer, with DE Maxx Crosby and TE Darren Waller among the premier trade chips. The Panthers reportedly are considering No. 1 as well, with star DE Brian Burns part of a package. 

The Tennessee Titans (No. 11) have Ryan Tannehill (for the moment) and Malik Willis – whether that’s good or bad is up to management. But they allowed more pass yards than any team, a stat that doesn’t lead to success in today’s NFL. Anderson and Carter, as well as Texas Tech dynamic Edge rusher Tyree Wilson, are all slated to be long gone by the time the Titans pick. 

The Houston Texans are at No. 2, and all indications are they’re going quarterback. The question is, will they be all-in on one rookie or would they be OK with one of two? Trading with the Bears for No. 1 ensures another team doesn’t leapfrog them for their guy. 

The Detroit Lions improved from 3-13-1 in Dan Campbell’s first season to 9-8 in 2022. While the offense finished top five in both scoring and yards, the defense was bottom five, and no team allowed more yards. The Lions own the No. 6 and No. 18 overall picks and could create a package to move up, either for one of the two SEC star front-seven defenders or as a successor to Goff. 

The Field is wide open, but a few teams may kick the tires and see if No. 1 is attainable. Teams with draft capital and moveable standout players include the New York Jets, Washington Commanders, Atlanta Falcons and Seattle Seahawks

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
Long established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine & CBSSports.com. He specializes in the NFL and MLB, where he's hit on well over 60% of his picks the past five years. Adam's NBA and horse racing picks have also produced consistent, major winners over the years.