Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions Picks & Betting Predictions
At betting sites, the Minnesota Vikings are solid 6.5-point road favorites in the NFL spreads to beat the Detroit Lions on Sunday. But could Week 13 of the NFL schedule be lucky No. 13 for the 0-10-1 Lions?
At home on Oct. 10, the 5-6 Vikings barely edged the Lions 19-17 on Greg Joseph’s 54-yard field goal as time expired. However, the flaw in wagering on the Lions on betting apps is that the Vikings have won eight in a row from Detroit.
Take a look at Lions vs. Vikings odds, injury report, betting lines and more.
Vikings vs Lions Key Matchups
Lions run game vs Vikings run defense: Minnesota is allowing opponents to gain 4.8 yards per carry on the ground. That’s the worst in the NFL. The problem for Detroit is that leading rusher D’Andre Swift (shoulder sprain) isn’t expected to play.
Kirk Cousins vs Lions pass rush: The performance of Vikings QB Cousins is affected greatly by opposition pass pressure. He doesn’t have the mobility to escape the rush. Fortunately for him, the Lions don’t have the ability to get to the QB. Detroit is last in the NFL in QB knockdowns (15) and second-last in sacks (16).
Vikings vs COVID-19: Vikings All-Pro CB Patrick Peterson has entered the NFL COVID-19 protocol. He joins DT Dalvin Tomlinson on the list and is an uncertain starter for Sunday.
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5 Key Vikings vs Lions Stats
2: TD passes thrown by Lions QB Jared Goff in last week’s 16-14 loss to the Bears. Goff had tossed one TD pass in his previous five games combined.
4: Number of consecutive wins posted by the Vikings at Ford Field.
0-16-1: Goff’s record without Sean McVay as his head coach. He was 0-7 in 2016 and is 0-9-1 this season.
7: Each of the Vikings' six losses this season have been by seven points or fewer. That’s the most one-possession losses in NFL.
5: Interceptions by Amani Oruwariye. That’s the most by a Detroit player in a season since Darius Slay (8) in 2017.
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Vikings vs Lions Player Props
Vikings QB Kirk Cousins over 271.5 passing yards
Cousins threw for 275 yards in Minny’s Week 5 victory over Detroit.
Lions QB Jared Goff under 232.5 passing yards
Minus injured RB D’Andre Swift, Goff will be throwing more. Unfortunately, Swift (449 yards) is also among his top pass catchers.
Vikings WR Justin Jefferson over 82.5 receiving yards
Jefferson snared 124 receiving yards earlier this season against the Lions.
Vikings vs Lions Moneyline
Overall, Minnesota is 8-0 straight up in the Vikings’ last eight games against the Lions. At Detroit, they’ve won four in a row and five of the last six games. However, the Vikings are a disappointing 2-4 on the road this season. They lost last week at San Francisco. And they will be playing without star running back Dalvin Cook.
However, Minnesota has other weapons in wide receivers Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. The Lions show nothing at the skill positions to overcome the dual threat of Swift. He’s third among NFL backs with 429 receiving yards. The Vikings should win but it isn’t worth the -305 price to play them in NFL betting markets.
Vikings vs Lions Point Spread
The average margin of victory by the Vikings during their eight-game winning streak against the Lions is 10.37 points. That’s well above the spread of 6.5 points being set for this game in NFL picks.
However, the average margin of victory in Minnesota’s last two victories over Detroit is exactly two points. The Lions are 0-2-1 in their last three games but the total difference on the scoreboard over those three games was five points. Detroit is 7-4 against the spread. That’s fifth-best in the NFL. The Vikings are 6-5 ATS. Take the points and the Lions.
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Vikings vs Lions Totals
Cook also was missing when the Vikings beat the Lions 19-17 earlier this season. Factor in the absence of Swift for the Lions and both of these offenses figure to be slowed. The Lions have gone 10 consecutive games in which they have scored fewer than 20 points. That’s the team’s longest stretch of this nature since 1942.
The total is 3-8 in Lions games this season and 6-5 in Vikings games. The total being offered at sportsbooks on this game is 46.5 points. Play the under here all day long and you’ll be smiling when it’s over.
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