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New York Jets At Miami Dolphins Free Picks & Betting Predictions

Adam Walford for Bookies.com

Adam Walford  | 8 mins

New York Jets At Miami Dolphins Free Picks & Betting Predictions

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The 3-10 Jets were finally officially ruled out of the playoffs this week. This weekend they take a trip down to Miami to take on the 6-7 Dolphins coming off their bye week on the back of a five-game win streak.

The Dolphins are now only one win behind in the race for the final wild-card spot and sportsbooks think they should beat the Jets on Sunday.

With COVID impacting the league in a big way this week, keep an eye on team news as the Dolphins could be without all three of the RBs on their current starting roster. This week will be tough for NFL betting fans to navigate.

Let’s see what the betting sites think of the matchup this weekend:

Take a look at Dolphins vs. Jets odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Jets vs Dolphins key matchups

Zach Wilson vs Miami’s defense: It’s been rough year for the rookie, with a QBR of just 24. The Miami defense has been the main reason for their recent run and should have their way with the Jets.

Miami RBs vs Jets run defense: At this moment in time we don’t know who will be playing at RB for the Dolphins, it could be Duke Johnson or rookie Gerrid Doaks, but they will be hoping Myles Gaskin or Salvon Ahmed make it back and it’s a brilliant matchup for whomever plays.

Tua Tagovailoa vs Jets pass defense: Tua has been outstanding in recent weeks, finishing November with the best completion percentage of any QB. Now he's coming up against the worst defense in the league.

RELATED: NFL Week 15 Odds & Betting Lines For All Games

Key Jets vs Dolphins stats

8-1-1: Given the lack of success for the Jets in recent years, it’s no real shock to see that the Dolphins record against the spread in the last 10 games between the two teams.

1-4: Over/Under record in the Dolphins' recent five-game winning streak.

-171: The point differential for the Jets this season, second-worst in the league, with the Texans just eight points worse. It's not been a fun season for New York sports betting backers.

2: With Elijah Moore and Corey Davis on IR for the rest of the season, the most receiving touchdowns scored this year by players expected to be active.

6.6: Average receptions per game for rookie Jaylen Waddle this season, good for 5th in the league, that rises to 7.6 during their recent win streak.

Jets vs. Dolphins Weather Forecast

Miami in December, it’s hot and humid. 80f, and a slight chance of rain.

RELATED: NFL Week 15 Picks & Best Bets For Every Game

Jets vs Dolphins Player Props

Myles Gaskin Anytime TD

Odds: +140 at DraftKings

Gaskin and Ahmed have come off the COVID list and shouldn't have any limits. He scored a few weeks ago against the Jets and has a standout price at DraftKings.

Mike Gesicki Anytime TD

Odds: +180 at TwinSpires

With Jaylen Waddle likely out, Tagovailoa will have to move those targets somewhere, and he loves Gesicki nearly as much as former Alabama teammate Waddle.

Jets vs Dolphins Moneyline

A quick look at betting apps shows that the Dolphins are quite rightly a very short-priced favorite to continue their winning streak against the woeful Jets. The best price available at the moment is -430 at FanDuel.

Of course it should happen, but I can’t recommend a price that short especially with COVID issues cropping up by the day. Keep an eye on that through the week, it seems like keeping on the news is going to be vital for any bet you place this weekend. If the week goes badly for the Dolphins, an upset is available at +350 with DraftKings.

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Jets vs Dolphins Point Spread

It’s a big spread for the Dolphins to cover as they have been 8.5-point favorites just twice in the last 15 years. They could go off longer than that on Sunday night depending on news, but they won’t make the 11.5 points they were favored by in 1996. They have covered their NFL spreads in each of their wins this season, including in New York just two games ago when they were fancied to win by 4.

The betting sites have the Dolphins -9.5, best priced at -110 at BetMGM. It’s a high line but the stats suggest the Dolphins will cover it.

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Jets vs Dolphins Totals

The resurgence of the Dolphins has been based on their defense finding its form after a tough start to the season on that side of the ball. The Jets average 17.4 points per game, the Dolphins 19.5, add them up and you’re looking at 37, so despite the line being low at 42.5 there’s only one way I can look in my NFL picks here, and that’s the under. It is best priced at -110 with DraftKings.

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About the Author

Adam Walford for Bookies.com
Adam Walford
Adam Walford, who covers the NFL and gambling from across the pond, joined Bookies.com in 2021 after having written for several other betting websites.