NFL Week 11 Picks, Betting Predictions & Best Bets To Back: Return Of Flex Time
Bill Speros | 26 mins
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Week 11 of the NFL betting season was so lacking in primetime punch that The Shield called an audible. The NFL flexed out the scheduled Sunday night game between the Steelers and Bengals in favor of an AFC West rematch between the Chiefs and Chargers.
The NFL and NBC swapped out a potentially unwatchable Sunday night affair for a rematch of a tight contest from Week 2. The Chiefs extracted a 24-27 win over the Chargers at Arrowhead. But Bolts backers settled for a backdoor cover on the 4-point line. The lead in the AFC West could hinge on the outcome this week.
There are a few other games on the schedule that would have been suitable for the Sunday night slot. The New York Jets kept all the receipts after losing to New England 22-17 in Week 8. The Jets toppled Buffalo in Week 9 and injured Josh Allen in the process. Every team in the AFC East was over .500 entering Week 10, with the Patriots in last place at 5-4.
RELATED: All NFL Head Coaches Ranked Against the Spread
Playoff Preview In Minnesota?
In the NFC, the Dallas Cowboys play host to the Minnesota Vikings in a game that could well be repeated in the playoffs.
The NFL offers its final international game of the season Monday night, when the 49ers and Cardinals meet in Mexico City.
Week 11 begins with the Titans playing the Packers at Lambeau Field Thursday night. Sunday, the Octo Box returns in the 1 p.m. slot. The Cowboys-Vikings and Bengals-Steelers compete for the nation's eyeballs in the 4:25 p.m. slot on CBS.
The Jaguars, Dolphins, Seahawks and Buccaneers are on the bye.
NFL 2022 Season Week 11 Picks
Now it’s on to our Week 11 NFL picks to back on your sports betting app.
Oddsmakers on betting apps have now set betting lines on all these Week 11 games. Let's take a look at the schedule for our NFL Week 11 picks and best bets:
2022 NFL Week 11 Best Bets To Back Today
Tennessee Titans at Green Bay Packers, Thursday, 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)
Aaron Rodgers has done the unthinkable and turned the Packers into a 1-point favorite at home. The Titans have become sneaky good. Malik Willis may not throw a pass in this game. And it might not matter.
Best Bet: Titans Moneyline (-105) with Caesars Sportsbook ➜
Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons, Sunday, 1 p.m. (FOX)
The Falcons are in the hunt to win the NFC South and have a chance to gain ground with Tampa Bay on the bye. The Bears remain stuck on that really steep part of the learning curve with Justin Fields.
Best Bet: Under 48.5 Points (-110) with Caesars Sportsbook ➜
Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. (FOX)
Baltimore is a wise bet for anyone looking for value in the Super Bowl futures market. They are a tempting +1300. Lamar Jackson is playing like an MVP wannabe. The Panthers are running out of quarterbacks. This is the sort of Respect-Us Spread a team needs to beat if it wants to enter the championship conversation.
Best Bet: Ravens -12.5 (-110) with Caesars Sportsbook ➜
Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills, 1 p.m. (CBS)
Josh Allen doesn’t need to be 100% to beat the Browns. Or cover in this case. The Browns are just trying to keep themselves occupied until Deshaun Watson makes his debut Week 13. Kevin Stefanski may or may not be Cleveland’s head coach by then.
Best Bet: Bills -6.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook ➜
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Washington Commanders at Houston Texans, 1 p.m. (FOX)
The Texans are making a run at the No. 1 overall pick. They will not let the Commanders get in their way. Washington will be rebounding from a Monday night game against the Eagles. A trip to Title Town will be the perfect elixir.
Best Bet: Commanders -2.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook ➜
Philadelphia Eagles at the Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. (CBS)
A Tale Of Two Franchises. The Eagles and Colts were both +2500 to win Super Bowl 57 before the season began. The Eagles remain undefeated after Election Day and the Colts are on their second head coach of the season.
The “Jalen Hurts vs. Sam Ehlinger” matchup needs a Parental Advisory Label. The Eagles are facing their fourth-straight double-digit spread in this one. The books are giving you a break on Philly’s juice this week.
Best Bet: Eagles -10 (-105) with DraftKings Sportsbook ➜
New York Jets at New England Patriots, 1 p.m. (CBS)
The Jets pulled off a stunner in Week 9 by beating the Bills. They get a quick rematch against their other long-time nemesis in the New England Patriots. Bill Belichick’s defense Man-Boyed Zach Wilson in Week 8 by forcing him into three picks. Wilson did throw for 355 yards in a 22-17 loss.
The Patriots and Mac Jones appear to have regressed this season on offense. The seat remains warm for Josh McDaniels. Never mind Tom Brady. The Patriots, meanwhile, have won 13 straight games in this series using three different starting quarterbacks.
Best Bet: Patriots -4.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook ➜
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints, 1 p.m. (FOX)
Matthew Stafford was placed in concussion protocol prior to the Rams' Week 10 game at home against Arizona. Despite the news, this game remained a pick’em on the board. The Rams have been terrible offensively this season. Jameis Winston should get the call for the Saints at quarterback. Andy Dalton might not make it to Thanksgiving in one piece if the Saints keep rolling him out there.
Best Bet: Saints Pick ‘Em (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook ➜
Detroit Lions at New York Giants, 1 p.m. (FOX)
Big Blue and Gang Green have taken Gotham by storm this season. Fans in the Tri-State Area can dream about the first-ever "Subway Super Bowl." Or in this case, the first "MetLife Locker Room Swap Super Bowl."
Through the first nine weeks of the season, the Giants were tied with Dallas and Tennessee for the NFL’s best record ATS at 6-2. This is just the second time this season the Giants have been favored in consecutive weeks. They are still a value.
Best Bet: Giants -4 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook ➜
RELATED: Odell Beckham Jr. Next Team Odds
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos, 4:05 p.m. (FOX)
Las Vegas coach Josh McDaniels has rolled snake-eyes in his first season in Sin City. Denver’s Nathaniel Hackett may be a Mile High but his offense is barely an inch deep. The Raiders have blown three 17-0 leads this season. The Broncos have sputtered despite (or because) of the fact they dealt for Russell Wilson.
Maybe it will snow to make this one look appealing.
Best Bet: Under 43.5 Points (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook ➜
Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings, 4:25 p.m. (CBS)
This could/should be the CBS national telecast. Tony Romo always brings extra spice when he calls a Cowboys game. This is a big test for Mike McCarthy and Dak Prescott. The Cowboys will be on the road amid a raucous indoor atmosphere against a first-place team. This same matchup and setting could be replicated in the playoffs, as well.
The Vikings have sailed beneath the national NFL spotlight all season – at least until their Week 10 visit to Buffalo. They led the Packers by five games in the NFC North halfway through the season. The Vikings were a modest +275 to win the division before the season began but are now -2500.
Best Bet: Vikings Moneyline (+110) with DraftKings Sportsbook ➜
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers, 4:25 p.m. (CBS)
This AFC North Rivalry will be on hiatus until further notice. Just ask the NFL. This game was flexed out of its original Sunday night spot since NBC wanted to get at least 15 viewers outside Pennsylvania and Ohio. The Bengals have worked themselves back into form as an AFC contender.
Best Bet: Bengals -5.5 (-110) with FanDuel Sportsbook ➜
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers, 8:20 p.m. (NBC)
Patrick Mahomes II has the Chiefs on track to make another deep playoff run. Mahomes is 6-2 against the Chargers. More importantly here, he’s never lost to the Chargers on the road. The Chargers continue their quest to escape mediocrity.
No wonder the NFL swapped this game into the primetime spotlight instead of the Steelers-Bengals affair. The Chiefs beat the Chargers 27-24 in Week 2 at home. LA scored a backdoor cover on the 4-point line.
Best Bet: Chargers +5.5 (-110) with FanDuel Sportsbook ➜
San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals (Mexico City), 8:15 p.m. (ESPN)
Will Kliff Kingsbury’s last stand take place South Of The Border? The Cardinals will be in Week 2 of their in-season run on HBO's "Hard Knocks.” But only Kingsbury is in danger of being canceled. The 49ers dream of winning the NFC West. They need a win here if that is going to manifest itself into reality.
Best Bet: 49ers -5.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook ➜