Tampa Bay head coach Bruce Arians is retiring and will be replaced by defensive coordinator Todd Bowles.

The Buccaneers are the 10th NFL team this season with a new head coach. Reports say Arians made the decision to retire once Tom Brady opted to return. All parties involved claim the move was simply a personal decision for Arians. The timing and what was public for all to see last season says otherwise.

In a sense, Brady may be considered the best player/coach/GM combo in NFL history.

There was obvious friction and frustration between Brady and Arians last season. It continued during Brady’s brief NFL hiatus.

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Anyone who watched or wagered upon the Buccaneers last season knew there was no way Brady and Arians could co-exist for another season.

If the Buccaneers indeed were left with a choice between Brady or Arians, keeping Brady was perhaps the biggest no-brainer in the history of mankind. That was reinforced by the fact there was positive movement on the Buccaneers' NFL odds to win the Super Bowl after Arians' announcement. The Buccaneers are now +700 at DraftKings. They were +750 before the Arians news.

NFL Projected Odds For Coach Of The Year

Here’s a look at the 32 head coaches in the NFL for the upcoming NFL season, who was coaching their team on the final week of last season, and their projected odds from Bookies.com to be NFL Coach Of The Year in 2022.

Odds above are projected and do not reflect odds that may be available at legal sportsbooks or betting apps.

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NFL Coach Of The Year Betting Analysis

Bowles is the NFL betting favorite in our new projected NFL futures odds market for NFL Coach of The Year. The Buccaneers are primed to succeed. And given the circumstances of his hiring, he’ll be given real consideration by voters if Tampa Bay matches its regular season success from last year. Tampa Bay won 13 games, tied for the most in the NFL with Green Bay.

Bowles was head coach of the Jets for four seasons and went 24-40. He piloted Tampa Bay’s defense during their Super Bowl 56 run. The Buccaneers have consistently ranked in the top 10 in points allowed under Bowles.

Most of the key pieces from last season are back. Rob Gronkowksi remains a question mark. If Bowles can keep the Buccaneers on track and the team does as well as it did last year, he should get lots of attention here.

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The voting for NFL Coach of the Year is usually a balance between overall success and expectations. Mike Vrabel won it last year after the Tennessee Titans won 12 games and finished with the best record in the AFC. The Titans were projected to win only nine games at sportsbooks and betting apps last season. The last 12 COY winners had five or fewer losses. Winning a dozen games on a 17-game schedule is a must, unless someone like Doug Pedersen can take a team like the Jaguars and turn them into winners.

Coaches like Bill Belichick and Andy Reid rarely get considered despite their team’s longstanding success. Belichick’s only won it twice, while Reid just once.

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