Bill Speros for Bookies.com

By Bill Speros | | 6 mins

NFL Coach Of The Year Odds: Bowles In, Arians Out In Tampa Bay

NFL Coach Of The Year Odds: Bowles In, Arians Out In Tampa Bay
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Tampa Bay head coach Bruce Arians is retiring and will be replaced by defensive coordinator Todd Bowles.

The Buccaneers are the 10th NFL team this season with a new head coach. Reports say Arians made the decision to retire once Tom Brady opted to return. All parties involved claim the move was simply a personal decision for Arians. The timing and what was public for all to see last season says otherwise.

In a sense, Brady may be considered the best player/coach/GM combo in NFL history.

There was obvious friction and frustration between Brady and Arians last season. It continued during Brady’s brief NFL hiatus.


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Anyone who watched or wagered upon the Buccaneers last season knew there was no way Brady and Arians could co-exist for another season.

If the Buccaneers indeed were left with a choice between Brady or Arians, keeping Brady was perhaps the biggest no-brainer in the history of mankind. That was reinforced by the fact there was positive movement on the Buccaneers' NFL odds to win the Super Bowl after Arians' announcement. The Buccaneers are now +700 at DraftKings. They were +750 before the Arians news.

NFL Projected Odds For Coach Of The Year

NFL Coach Of The Year Odds: Bowles In, Arians Out In Tampa Bay 1

Here’s a look at the 32 head coaches in the NFL for the upcoming NFL season, who was coaching their team on the final week of last season, and their projected odds from Bookies.com to be NFL Coach Of The Year in 2022.

Team 2022 Coach 2021 Coach COY Odds
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTodd BowlesBruce Arians+500
Buffalo Bills Sean McDermott Sean McDermott +600
Denver Broncos Nathaniel Hackett Vic Fangio+600
Green Bay Packers Matt LaFleur Matt LaFleur +750
Kansas City Chiefs Andy Reid Andy Reid+800
Los Angeles Rams Sean McVay Sean McVay+900
San Francisco 49ers Kyle Shanahan Kyle Shanahan+1000
Las Vegas Raiders Josh McDaniels Rich Bisaccia+1000
Los Angeles Chargers Brandon Staley Brandon Staley+1000
Dallas Cowboys Mike McCarthy Mike McCarthy+1200
Cleveland Browns Kevin Stefanski Kevin Stefanski +1500
Cincinnati Bengals Zac Taylor Zac Taylor +1500
Jacksonville Jaguars Doug Pedersen Darrell Bevell+1500
Indianapolis Colts Frank Reich Frank Reich +1800
Miami Dolphins Mike McDaniel Brian Flores +2000
Arizona Cardinals Kliff Kingsbury Kliff Kingsbury +2000
Baltimore Ravens John Harbaugh John Harbaugh +2200
Tennessee Titans Mike Vrabel Mike Vrabel +2200
New Orleans Saints Dennis Allen Sean Payton +2500
Minnesota Vikings Kevin O’Connell Mike Zimmer +3000
Philadelphia Eagles Nick Sirianni Nick Sirianni+3500
New England Patriots Bill Belichick Bill Belichick +4000
Pittsburgh Steelers Mike Tomlin Mike Tomlin +4500
Washington Commanders Ron Rivera Ron Rivera +5000
Detroit Lions Dan Campbell Dan Campbell+6000
New York Giants Brian Daboll Joe Judge+7500
Chicago Bears Matt Eberfus Matt Nagy+8000
Atlanta Falcons Arthur Smith Arthur Smith+10000
Carolina Panthers Matt Rhule Matt Rhule+15000
New York Jets Robert Saleh Robert Saleh +15000
Seattle Seahawks Pete Carroll Pete Carroll +20000
Houston Texans Lovie Smith David Culley+25000

Odds above are projected and do not reflect odds that may be available at legal sportsbooks or betting apps.

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NFL Coach Of The Year Betting Analysis

Bowles is the NFL betting favorite in our new projected NFL futures odds market for NFL Coach of The Year. The Buccaneers are primed to succeed. And given the circumstances of his hiring, he’ll be given real consideration by voters if Tampa Bay matches its regular season success from last year. Tampa Bay won 13 games, tied for the most in the NFL with Green Bay.

Bowles was head coach of the Jets for four seasons and went 24-40. He piloted Tampa Bay’s defense during their Super Bowl 56 run. The Buccaneers have consistently ranked in the top 10 in points allowed under Bowles.

Most of the key pieces from last season are back. Rob Gronkowksi remains a question mark. If Bowles can keep the Buccaneers on track and the team does as well as it did last year, he should get lots of attention here.


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The voting for NFL Coach of the Year is usually a balance between overall success and expectations. Mike Vrabel won it last year after the Tennessee Titans won 12 games and finished with the best record in the AFC. The Titans were projected to win only nine games at sportsbooks and betting apps last season. The last 12 COY winners had five or fewer losses. Winning a dozen games on a 17-game schedule is a must, unless someone like Doug Pedersen can take a team like the Jaguars and turn them into winners.

Coaches like Bill Belichick and Andy Reid rarely get considered despite their team’s longstanding success. Belichick’s only won it twice, while Reid just once.

Coach Of The Year Bets To Back

Bowles has an opportunity to write a special story this season. The sort of stuff COY voters love. Elsewhere, Hackett in Denver and Pederson in Jacksonville are two other names worth watching.

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.