By Adam Thompson | | 8 mins
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Pick & Other Top Props Bets
The 2020 NFL Draft is in the books. Optimism abounds for each player entering the fold, from Joe Burrow to D’Andre Swift. But how many will have immediate impacts worthy of Rookie of the Year consideration? Bookies.com breaks down the NFL futures prop bets for some of the top offensive rookies for the 2020 season and offers a pick for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.
2020 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds
|Joe Burrow, QB, Bengals||+215|
|Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Chiefs||+700|
|Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Dolphins||+700|
|Jonathan Taylor, RB, Colts||+1000|
|D’Andre Swift, RB, Lions||+1200|
|Justin Herbert, QB, Chargers||+1400|
|Jerry Jeudy, WR, Broncos||+1400|
|J.K. Dobbins, RB, Ravens||+1600|
|CeeDee Lamb, WR, Cowboys||+1800|
|Henry Ruggs III, WR, Raiders||+1800|
|Cam Akers, RB, Rams||+2000|
|Jalen Reagor, WR, Eagles||+2500|
Only one receiver has won this award in the last decade (Odell Beckham Jr., 2014). But four RBs have won it, along with five QBs.
New Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow is an obvious choice in terms of production potential and opportunity. He’ll be a starting NFL quarterback on Day One. It’s tough to go against such a situation. Putting a wager on Burrow is safe, then we can pick a dark horse to go with it. Tagovailoa is less likely to be on the field in Week 1 — Miami has other short-term options at QB.
When it comes to the WRs on the board, only Ruggs is likely in a spot to potentially be the No. 1 target on his team. He has great odds, but not a great QB to find him the ball.
There are five RBs but we can eliminate Dobbins, who will be behind Mark Ingram to start, and Akers, whose first-year potential is limited behind a shaky offensive line and a RB-by-committee logjam. Edwards-Helaire walks into a fantastic situation, but the Chiefs belong to Patrick Mahomes and every other viable target returns from last year’s Super Bowl team.
Jonathan Taylor and D’Andre Swift are both legit Offensive ROY contenders. Taylor gets the nod here — he can take carries away from incumbent Marlon Mack and will run behind one of the league’s top offensive lines. Swift will have to challenge Kerryon Johnson for carries. If one of these backs has more potential to pile up the stats in Year One, it’s Taylor.
PICKS: Take Burrow as the safe bet and Taylor as a strong darkhorse contender. Bet it at Unibet.
Other Top NFL Rookie Prop Bets
Note: Odds on All of the bets are -110. They are available at both Unibet and 888sport.
Jerry Jeudy, WR, Broncos — 850.5 Yards
Jeudy is heading into the midst of an offensive rebuild. Drew Lock will begin his first full season as the starting quarterback, Denver second-round pick K.J. Hamler will get considerable time as the No. 3 wideout, joining Courtland Sutton in the competition for targets. Melvin Gordon has been added to a crowded backfield situation.
Sutton gained 1,112 yards last year — more than double anyone else on the team. Jeudy and Hamler will see the ball, but Lock averaged a modest 204 passing yards per game in his three starts.
PICK: With so much talent at running back and a focus on the run game, Jeudy will likely be the No. 2 option in the pass game and may not see enough targets to hit this number. Bet the Under at 888sport.
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CeeDee Lamb, WR, Cowboys — 750.5 yards
Lamb surprisingly dropped to No. 17, where the Cowboys snapped him up despite wideout not being a glaring need. The rookie comes into an ideal situation when it comes to mentorship and style. Dak Prescott averaged more than 300 yards passing per game and Amari Cooper is one of the NFL’s premier wideouts. Coopers and Michael Gallup each had more than 110 targets and each finished with more than 1,100 receiving yards. Will there be enough balls for Lamb?
PICK: There should be. Lamb can assume the No. 3 spot from the departed Randall Cobb, who last season had 55 receptions for 828 yards. Jason Witten (63 for 529) won’t be back — Blake Jarwin may get more targets at tight end but there will receptions to spare elsewhere. Lamb should be in position for an 800-yard season. Bet the Over at Unibet.
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Henry Ruggs, WR, Raiders — 800.5 yards
Oddsmakers expected Ruggs to be the No. 3 receiver taken, but the Raiders made him the first WR off the board with the No. 12 overall pick. He’s a speedster but he also has sure hands and can project as the No. 1 WR for the Raiders this season if he has a solid camp.
There are targets to be had for a WR who can break out. No Raiders receiver had more than 49 receptions for last year, and none had more than 651 yards. Instead, Derek Carr found TE Darren Waller, who had a massive 2019 season (90 receptions, 1,145 yards). The question is, even if Ruggs gets open, will Carr look downfield for him?
PICK: This is Carr’s last chance to impressive coach Jon Gruden, and that means he’ll need to look at his WRs. If Carr doesn’t give Ruggs a pile of opportunities, backup QB Marcus Mariota will get a chance. Somebody is getting Ruggs the ball. Bet the Over at 888sport.
Justin Jefferson, WR, Vikings — 800.5 yards
The Vikings needed a WR who could secure a lot of passes, with Stefon Diggs traded away to Buffalo this offseason. They did that by nabbing Jefferson, who last year led the nation with 111 receptions for Burrow and LSU. He also finished in the top three in yards and TDs.
PICK: Adam Thielen will likely be WR1 on the depth chart, but he played in only 10 games last year and managed just three receptions per contest he played. Jefferson is slated to start in Week 1. If he stays healthy, he should get the ball often. Bet the Over at Unibet.
Jalen Reagor, WR, Eagles — 800.5 yards
The Eagles drastically needed help at the WR spot, and they found it in the first round. The Eagles’ top two receiving targets last year were tight ends. He’s likely to find a spot among the mix of Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson, who last year combined to play only 13 games.
PICK: It’s hard to assume health, especially with the banged-up history of Jeffery and Jackson. But if they each play more than they did, Reagor will be a cog in a four-WR set along with J.J. Arcega-Whiteside. With two legit TEs and a pass-catching RB also in the mix, look for a modest start from the TCU product. Bet the Under at Unibet.
Joe Burrow, QB, Bengals — 3,850 yards, 21.5 TDs
Burrow is coming off quite literally the best college football season in history (5,671 pass yards, 60 TDs, 76.2% completions). He’ll join a Bengals team that is obviously a work in progress, but he has a No. 1 target in tow in A.J. Green, and the team used its second-round pick on Tee Higgins, who is probably going to be a starter from the start.
PICKS: As Peyton Manning told Burrow, “The Bengals are drafting No. 1 for a reason.” Burrow is a special talent, and he’ll get opportunities to throw with a suspect ground game and vastly subpar defense. I think he’ll hit the Over on TDs (just 1.4 per game over 16 games), but come up short on yards as teams can focus all their energies on slowing him down. It’s hard to rely on Green playing a full season and on Higgins, a rookie, to carry a massive load on the other side.
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