Steelers vs Packers Picks & Betting Predictions NFL Week 4
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It’s been a disappointing season so far for the Pittsburgh Steelers, but most of that can be placed squarely on their offseason. Following their season-opening loss, Aaron Rodgers and his Packers have been in full “R-E-L-A-X” mode, despite their defense not doing a bunch. Green Bay seems to be peaking as the Steelers seem to be stuck in a rut.
We see this in NFL betting all the time with two teams moving in the opposite direction. There’s little doubt that sportsbooks are well aware of Pittsburgh’s offensive line struggles, setting this line above a key number in 7.
The Steelers are reeling with two straight losses, this after a defensive effort stole a win in Buffalo. Their defense is going to have to stop one of the most prolific offenses in the league, while jumpstarting their own offense that’s been stagnant at best. Green Bay has things clicking with Rodgers and Davante Adams, but Aaron Jones has been just as valuable.
RELATED: NFL Week 4 Odds & Betting Lines For All 16 Games
Most NFL spreads have Green Bay as a -6.5 home favorite. The ML has the Packers favored at -280 with the Steelers as a +240 road dog. The total is set at 45.5 at Lambeau Field.
Check out the latest Packers vs. Steelers odds, betting lines, injury report and more.
Steelers vs. Packers Key Matchups
Steelers vs Health: Dionte Johnson missed the last game and is listed as questionable for Sunday. So is JuJu Smith-Schuster and Ben Roethlisberger. T.J. Watt has a Q tag but may miss another game. Injuries are huge when making NFL picks and the Steelers are decimated.
Davante Adams vs. Everybody: This is the best WR in the NFL, hands down. Nobody can dominate from the line of scrimmage through 40+ yards downfield like Adams. Rodgers isn’t afraid to throw to him every other play and Pittsburgh has no answer.
Aaron Jones vs. Steelers Run D: As bad as things are with Pittsburgh, their run defense is top 10 in the league. It could be a big problem for the Packers and Jones if they can’t establish the run.
RELATED: NFL Week 4 Picks & Best Bets To Make For Every Game
Steelers vs. Packers Key Stats
74: The Steelers are 10th in the NFL for rush defense but have the highest attempts against them in the top 10. This means they are the most battle-tested in stopping the run.
27.7: This is the average amount of points the Packers defense gave up through three weeks. As sharp as their offense looks, they give up points, to everyone.
11.5: The average losing margin for the Steelers in their two losses this year. They have enough strength on defense to keep games close. Sunday is going to be a true test as they try and slow down Rodgers.
6:0: Aaron Rodgers TD to INT ratio in the two wins, since losing the first week to the Saints. Rodgers is on fire right now.
18: The average amount of carries for Aaron Jones over the past two weeks – both wins. GB is going against the best run D they’ve faced so far, and Jones could be the pivotal factor in a Packers win or loss.
Steelers vs. Packers Player Props
Davante Adams, 100+ Receiving Yards
Odds: +100 at PointsBet
Most betting sites seem to favor a high number for Adams in the air, which makes sense with how well the Steelers defend the rush. I’ll take even money for a guy who should be targeted 12+ times.
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Aaron Rodgers, Over 0.5 Int
Odds: +205 at DraftKings
The return on this is simply too much to ignore. All we need is a bad bounce or Hail Mary at the end of the half.
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Najee Harris, Over 13.5 Carries
Odds: -110 at BetMGM
Harris has all the volume in this offense and seems to be the only back to touch the ball. Hit the over here!
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Steelers vs. Packers Moneyline
There’s no upset in Green Bay coming this Sunday so forget about piling on the ML for the Steelers. It’s not an easy single bet for a lot of people to lay the -280, so look to use this in a parlay – like with the KC ML – and increase your chances of an EV bet. The Packers will win this, and most likely cover the spread, so this is a great anchor play on your sports betting app.
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Steelers vs. Packers Point Spread
It’s hard to see how the Steelers can keep up with Green Bay, even if the Packers defense gives them opportunities. Roethlisberger has struggled and Najee Harris is stuck behind a non-existent offensive line.
This is an uphill battle for the Steelers offense every week, no matter their opponent. People will get caught in how bad the Packers have looked on defense, but anything below a touchdown for Green Bay is a gift. Bet the Packers -6.5 at BetMGM.
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Steelers vs. Packers Totals
Yes, the Steelers aren’t going to be able to keep up with Green Bay’s offense, but that doesn’t mean their defense won’t stand strong. This game should be tough for the Packers to just cruise or even pull away, as the Steelers have proven to be a tough out on D.
Rodgers and the Packers do just enough to establish an insurmountable lead, but that’s also because PIT’s offense is so inept. This has 27-13 written all over it. Take the U 45.5 at DraftKings (-110).
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