After back-to-back losses to the Saints and Washington Football Team, Tampa Bay looks to be back on track after wins against the Giants and Colts. The offense is the best in the NFL and they are starting to get healthy with Rob Gronkowski and hopefully Antonio Brown returning to the lineup.

Meanwhile, the Falcons have been a mess over the last month of the season. They did get a win over the Jaguars in Week 13, but they were shut down by the Cowboys and Patriots in consecutive weeks. With the NFC Wild Card race wide open, can the Falcons pull off the upset at home and get back to .500? Or will the Buccaneers show they are still the best team in the NFL?

To get you ready for this NFC South matchup, here is everything you need to know from an NFL betting perspective, along with our NFL picks going into Week 13.

Take a look at Falcons vs. Buccaneers odds, injury report, betting lines and more.

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Key Matchups

Buccaneers LT Donovan Smith vs. Falcons DE Dante Fowler Jr.: Fowler is the best pass rusher for the Falcons, but he’ll have a tough assignment in Week 13 against Donovan Smith.

Falcons TE Kyle Pitts vs. Buccaneers FS Antoine Winfield Jr.: Pitts has been quiet over the last month, totaling just 140 yards in his last five games. But the Buccaneers allow a ton of receiving yards to tight ends. Look for Winfield to be the man in charge of covering the rookie tight end on Sunday.

Buccaneers WR Mike Evans vs. Falcons CB A.J. Terrell: Terrell might be the league’s best cornerback this week and he’ll likely follow Evans in this NFC South matchup. The DraftKings Sportsbook is offering a plethora of player props for this game and new users who sign up with the DraftKings promo code will receive up to $100 when you wager just $1.

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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Stats

31.5: The Buccaneers have the No. 1 scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 31.5 points per game.

16-3: The Buccaneers are 16-3 in their last 19 games.

1-4: The Falcons are just 1-4 straight up in their last five home games.

1-5: The Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.

27.5: The Falcons have the No. 31-ranked scoring defense in the NFL, allowing 27.5 points per game.

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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Moneyline

The Buccaneers have been fantastic since the end of last year, winning 16 of their last 19 games. They’ve had a few games in which they have slipped up, but nothing to be overly concerned about. Meanwhile, the Falcons are just 5-11 in their last 16 games with their last win coming against the Jaguars in Week 12.

While the Falcons might be able to hang in this game, the Buccaneers should win with ease. Still, it’s not wise to bet on the moneyline here as there just isn’t any value on either side. Pass on the moneyline in this NFC South matchup in favor of the point spread.

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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Point Spread

In the previous meeting between these two teams, the Falcons were able to keep this game close going into the fourth quarter. In fact, it was only a three-point game with less than 10 minutes left in the final quarter. But Tampa Bay poured it on late and ended up winning by 23 points. That same thing could happen again on Sunday as the Buccaneers are 10.5-point favorites, which is one of the biggest NFL spreads of the week.

Don’t be surprised if this game is close for several quarters, but Tom Brady and Tampa Bay pull away late. Take the Buccaneers -10.5 (-110) on PointsBet or your favorite sports betting site and look for another two-touchdown win for the Super Bowl champions.

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Totals

The total for this NFC South matchup is set at 50.5 on most sportsbooks and betting apps, but that can differ from site to site. The smart play here is to take the under as the Falcons have really struggled on offense as they’ve scored just 24 points combined in their last three games.

While the Buccaneers haven’t been fantastic on defense this season, they should be able to pressure Matt Ryan and make him feel uncomfortable. Take the Under 50.5 (-110) on FanDuel and expect a 31-17 type of game in Atlanta.

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