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Washington Commanders 2024 NFL Draft Odds: Who Will Lead Them In 2024?

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 4 mins

Washington Commanders 2024 NFL Draft Odds: Who Will Lead Them In 2024?

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The Washington Commanders went from an 8-8-1 team in 2022 to a 4-13 squad in 2023. Suffice it to say, changes were needed, and they started with head coach Ron Rivera, gone after four seasons. Dan Quinn, who guided the Falcons to their lone Super Bowl appearance, is now the man in charge. 

Quarterback Sam Howell is also out, traded to the Seahawks. There is no heir to the QB spot, and none were acquired in free agency, so the Commanders’ top priority in the 2024 NFL Draft is to find a new QB to lead a franchise resurgence. 

Good thing for Washington, it owns the No. 2 spot in a QB-heavy draft. 

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has used his resources of NFL contacts developed over 20 years covering the league and the NFL Draft to create his hypothetical NFL futures odds on who gets selected second by the Washington Commanders in the 2024 NFL Draft. 

Washington Commanders NFL Draft Odds (No. 2)

PlayerOddsImplied Probability
Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU-75088.2%
Drake Maye, QB, UNC+60014.3%
J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan+20004.8%

This market is for entertainment purposes only and has been created by the Bookies.com team. It is not currently available on betting apps. Percentages will not add up to 100% most time because these are designed to simulate odds a sportsbook would set.

Top 2024 NFL Draft Commanders Prospects

The Commanders “earned” the No. 2 overall pick by finishing dead-last in the NFL in points and yards allowed. It brought in the defense-minded Quinn to force a 180 in direction for that side of the ball. 

Meanwhile, free agency was working on improving an offense that was bottom-10 in both yards and points. The Commanders have a solid receiving corps and added to it RB Austin Ekeler and TE Zach Ertz. Two new O-linemen were brought on, too. 

There is still much work to be done with the roster, especially on the defensive side. But the team needs a quarterback, one that can quickly take over from veteran Marcus Mariota, who may start Week 1 but ideally won’t be by Week 4. 

All reports indicate the Chicago Bears will use the No. 1 overall pick on USC’s Caleb Williams. That leaves Washington with choices. 


RELATED: Seattle Seahawks 2024 NFL Draft Odds: Who Is Better For The Seahawks?


North Carolina’s Drake Maye and LSU’s Jayden Daniels are considered the next two QBs off the board, one to the Commanders and one to the Patriots at No. 3 – barring a trade, that is. J.J. McCarthy of Michigan has skyrocketed up the ladder, to the point that some believe he could be a trade target at No. 4, if the Arizona Cardinals wish to move back. 

In Daniels, Washington would get a five-year starter with extreme levels of proven production and athleticism, leading the nation in rushing yards for a QB. He won the Heisman Trophy and pretty much all the QB awards. 

In Maye, the Commanders would get a less-known commodity, someone who dominated the ACC as a freshman in 2022 and has all the physical tools to be a Josh Allen type. But he’s also someone who was only a second-team All-ACC QB as a sophomore, and lacks the experience or strength of schedule of Daniels. 


RELATED: Minnesota Vikings 2024 NFL Draft Odds: Quinyon Mitchell, J.J. McCarthy & More


Maye is a major boom-or-bust prospect, one who could flourish at the next level or not – similar to the last UNC quarterback to get drafted. His name was Sam Howell. 

That makes Daniels the favorite to go No. 2, a notion that's only strengthened as draft day looms. 

McCarthy is a bit of a wild card, due to his accuracy and toughness under the toughest of circumstances. While as athletic as Daniels or Maye, he lacks the big-time arm and height (6-foot-2, compared to 6-4 of the others). His potential to go No. 4 may have more to do with the desperation of teams outside the Top 3. 

Washington Commanders NFL Draft Picks 2024

  • Round 1 (Pick 2)
  • Round 2 (Pick 36)
  • Round 2 (Pick 40 from CHI)
  • Round 3 (Pick 67)
  • Round 3 (Pick 78 from SEA)
  • Round 3 (Pick 100 from SF)
  • Round 5 (Pick 139)
  • Round 5 (Pick 152 from SEA)
  • Round 7 (Pick 222)

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.