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ATP Monte-Carlo Masters Final Odds, Picks & Predictions

Isla Knightley for Bookies.com

Isla Knightley  | 4 mins

ATP Monte-Carlo Masters Final Odds, Picks & Predictions

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The Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters final is set! The much-anticipated finale will take place on Sunday, with defending champion Stefanos Tsitsipas squaring up to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who reaches his maiden ATP Masters 1000 final in the French principality.

Here at Bookies.com, we strive to bring you the best betting tips and picks, so let’s take a deep dive into Sunday's tennis betting card and make some predictions.

Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters Final Best Bets

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (+350) vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (-475)

Date: Sunday, April 17, 2022

Time: 8:30 AM ET

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina booked his place in the final following a three-set win over Grigor Dimitrov, coming through as the slight favorite on the tennis odds board. The 22-year-old won his fifth match of the week and third straight three-setter as he overcame the Bulgarian and rallied from a break down in the final set to clinch the 6-4, 6-7(2), 6-3 victory.

Stefanos Tsitsipas joined Davidovich Fokina in the final after he dismissed Alexander Zverev in straight sets, 6-4, 6-2. The Greek was in fine form Saturday, recovering brilliantly from the previous day’s topsy-turvy quarterfinal match with Diego Schwartzman that very nearly brought a premature end to his sojourn in the Mediterranean haven.

Across multiple betting sites, Tsitsipas is being installed as the firm favorite to win. Bet365 prices the Greek at -500 while BetMGM has a Tsitsipas win priced at -455. The best price available currently is with FanDuel where Tsitsipas is trading as low as -440 to win.

Davidovich Fokina quite rightly assumes the role of the underdog in his first-ever Masters 1000 final. Bet365 prices the Spaniard as the +333 bet to win. FanDuel prices Davidovich Fokina on +330 odds while DraftKings Sportsbook goes as high as +350. By contrast, Caesars Sportsbook is offering the lowest odds of +310 for the upset.

Adding to the weight of Davidovich Fokina’s hefty odds is the challenge that Tsitsipas presents, both as the defending champion and the 2021 Roland Garros finalist. Tsitsipas is one of several clay-court gurus that betting apps are touting as a contender for this year’s French Open. How he performs here will go a long way to determining his value as a potential threat to Rafael Nadal’s domination over the Parisienne event and, equally, Novak Djokovic’s defense campaign this summer.

Interestingly, this final is a reprisal of last year’s meeting in the Monte-Carlo quarterfinals. Then, Tsitsipas took the first set 7-5 before Davidovich Fokina was forced to retire. It was their first meeting. Earlier this year, they met for the second time in Rotterdam. Tsitsipas took the victory 7-5, 6-7(1), 6-4.

Tsitsipas would appear to be the smart bet to win a second-straight Monte-Carlo Masters and cement his place among the top contenders for this year’s French Open. However, Davidovich Fokina is essentially playing with house money and he’s captured the imagination of tennis betting fans. Few expected he would go deep in the tournament after he fell into the same section of the draw as Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz. But he rose to the occasion and dismissed Djokovic in three sets in the R32. He then dismissed two more Masters 1000 champions, beating Taylor Fritz (R16) and Dimitrov. What’s to say he won’t cap off a stellar, coming-of-age week with a championship?

Best Bet: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win at +350 with DraftKings

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About the Author

Isla Knightley for Bookies.com
Isla Knightley
Isla, a sports journalist and betting expert, covers several sports, including the NFL, as well politics. She joined Bookies.com in 2021 after contributing to other betting sites.