By Joe Short | | 8 mins
FA Cup Final Betting Tips, Picks & Latest Odds For Chelsea vs. Liverpool
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This season Liverpool and Chelsea meet in this famous old cup final at Wembley Stadium. And the betting sites aren’t totally sure who to side with.
Often the FA Cup final pitches two teams of even stature against each other. This has arguably happened in four of the last five finals. And Saturday’s showdown is no different, with little to split Chelsea and Liverpool bar a slight unbalance in the soccer odds.
Liverpool is seeking an eighth FA Cup triumph, having last won this trophy back in 2006. As for Chelsea, the team has eyes on FA Cup number nine. Remarkably, the Blues have won the trophy five times in the 16 years since Liverpool last claimed it.
It all kicks off at 11:45 AM ET. Here's a look at the latest betting tips and updated odds for today’s showdown.
FA Cup Final Odds
Soccer odds are current at the current as of publication from FanDuel, Caesars & Bet365. For more information visit the Bet365 promo code page.
As the soccer odds show, Liverpool is the narrow favorite to win this contest. But the betting apps evidently aren’t sure what’s going to happen Saturday. These two teams have already met three times this season – and tied every single game. That includes the 0-0 tie in the EFL Cup final in February, which was finally settled in Liverpool’s favor on penalties.
Could we go into extra time and penalties once again here? Quite possibly, with bookmakers believing there is a 15% chance we’ll witness spot-kicks.
FA Cup Betting Tips
Most bettors will gravitate towards the moneyline markets when betting on the FA Cup. After all, it’s the result that matters more than anything else! But shrewd bettors can make far more discerning wagers that can improve your chances of nailing profit.
For a start, we need to remember that this game will be settled one way or the other on Saturday. If there is a tie, we go to 30 minutes extra time, and if the scores are still level then a penalty shootout will decide the winner.
Because of this, online sportsbooks will offer odds on both Liverpool and Chelsea to win the game in 90 minutes, and win the FA Cup overall. Those latter odds won’t be priced as kindly as the former, but they do eradicate the tie option.
There are also some FA Cup final stats you need to know. For one, no single player has scored three goals in a final since Stan Mortensen for Blackpool in 1953. Norman Whiteside is the youngest player to score in a final, when at 18 years and 19 days he netted in Manchester United’s 4-0 replay win over Brighton in 1983. And the fastest goal scored in an FA Cup final was set in 2009, when Louis Saha scored for Everton after just 25 seconds against Chelsea.
So, if you’re betting on goals in the FA Cup final then it’s perhaps smart to avoid early goals, hat tricks and young players. Instead, don’t be surprised if it takes until the second half for the opening goal here. After all, Liverpool and Chelsea know how to combat each others’ offenses.
Yellow card betting – There have been 22 yellow cards and two reds shown across the last five FA Cup finals. That’s an average of 4.4 yellows per game, which beats the Premier League average. Betting on +3.5 yellow cards this Saturday is therefore not a bad shout.
-2.5 goals – Liverpool and Chelsea each have amazing offensive players, but these teams have recently succeeded in limiting those talents. There has been an average 1.8 goals scored between Liverpool and Chelsea over their past five meetings. This could be another low-scoring game.
Mane as the first goalscorer – Sadio Mane boasts six career goals against Chelsea, which includes the opener in January’s 2-2 tie at Stamford Bridge. Mane is in excellent form and should start at Wembley. He is a smart pick to score first.
FA Cup Predictions & Best Bet
If you’re seeking one big bet for the FA Cup final this Saturday then look no further than Liverpool lifting the trophy at -200. Their squad depth is remarkable and boss Jurgen Klopp is balancing the team well in the final stages of the season. It’s not just having Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane to choose from, it’s the availability of Diogo Jota and Luis Diaz in offense, Virgil van Dijk at the back, and Thiago in midfield that makes this team such a threat.
Chelsea, by contrast, doesn’t boast that connected spine through the team. Romelu Lukaku’s form in a rollercoaster, Timo Werner has labored since moving to London, and N’Golo Kante’s powers are waning.
Chelsea couldn’t get past Liverpool in the EFL Cup final in February. And it’s hard to see them doing that now either.
FA Cup Pick: Liverpool lifting the trophy at -200 with Bet365
About the Author
Joe Short, a contributor to Bookies.com, is a freelance journalist and former editor at the Daily Express, covering various sports, including soccer, darts and tennis.