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NFL 2024 Next Coach Fired Odds: Brian Daboll Back On Top Of List

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 5 mins

NFL 2024 Next Coach Fired Odds: Brian Daboll Back On Top Of List

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Robert Saleh was the first NFL head coach to be fired this season. 

He won't be the last. 

But there are several teams whose coaches may find themselves in employment peril if their teams do not reverse their plight after early-season struggles. 

Eight NFL teams began the 2024 season with new coaches when compared to the start of the 2023 season. The Patriots “mutually agreed to part ways” with Bill Belichick this past January after 24 seasons and replaced him with first-year coach Jerod Mayo. The other seven spots were opened up when coaches were outright fired. 

The New York Jets fired Saleh on October 7 after the Jets fell to 2-3. He was caught in a web of intrigue between Aaron Rodgers and owner Woody Johnson. Elsewhere, there's just a lot of poor coaching and poor performing teams. 

So who's next on this list after Saleh?

Let’s take a look.

2024 NFL Next Coach Fired Odds

Here are our latest NFL odds on the Next Coach Fired. 

CoachTeamOddsImplied Probability
Brian DabollGiants+25028.6%
Doug PedersonJaguars+37521.1%
Mike McCarthyCowboys+45018.2%
Kevin StefanskiBrowns+60014.3%
Matt EberflusBears+65013.3%
Zac TaylorBengals+10009.1%
Nick SirianniEagles+15006.3%
Mike McDanielDolphins+15006.3%

Odds above have been created by Bookies.com Senior Handicapper Adam Thompson and do not reflect odds that may be available on legal betting apps.

Familiar Names Top List In 2024

Among the coaches expected to feel the heat during 2024 season are some familiar names from last season’s NFL futures list. Here's a breakdown of some names to watch. 

Brian Daboll, Giants (+250)

Buzz: Giants coach Brian Daboll led the “NFL First Head Coach Fired” in 2024 market for 3 weeks and he's back this week. His price has risen from +625 to +250 in 3 weeks. Giants ownership has publicly backed Daboll for next year. That won't mean much if the Giants finish in last place in the NFC East. Big Blue has opted to run it back one more time with Daniel Jones. Daboll was under fire late last season as the Giants churned through QBs. 


Doug Pederson, Jaguars (+375)

Buzz: Doug Pederson and the 2-6 Jaguars scored a backdoor cover against the Packers but fell short 30-27. But the team has continued to underperform against expectations. Going back to last December, the Jaguars are 3-11 in their past 14 games. That's simply unsustainable for any head coach. 


Mike McCarthy, Cowboys (+450)

Buzz: The best job security Mike McCarthy has these days is a cantankerous Jerry Jones. The more Jones is asked about his coach, the more defensive and angry he gets. Good for McCarthy. Dallas hasn't won at home this season. The Cowboys were fed to the Lions 47-9 in Week 6. Dallas then sputtered in a 30-24 loss at San Francisco in Week 8 after the bye. Bill Belichick's crooning across multiple media platforms further inflames the situation with each Dallas loss. 


Kevin Stefanski, Browns (+600)

Buzz: Kevin Stefanski and the Browns had lost 5 straight but then Jameis Winston was brought in to save the day and deliver an upset win over the Ravens by throwing for 334 yards and 3 TDs. That significantly lowered the temperature for Stefanski and his price tumbled from +200 to +600. Deshaun Watson was knocked out for the season with a ruptured Achilles in the Brown's Week 7 loss to the Bengals. His contract has become the worst in football. But dumping him would incur a $90 million cap hit. Stefanski could still end up being the fall guy in Cleveland. 


Matt Eberflus, Bears (+650)

Buzz: Matt Eberflus and the Bears were enjoying a stellar rookie season from Caleb Williams and riding a defense that had the Bears square in the middle of the NFC playoff discussion. Then, it all fell apart with one second to play at Washington. That loss landed Eberflus on our list. The Bears, their players, and their fans may or may not recover from Jayden Daniels' spectacular last-second "Hail Mary."  The Bears are still 4-3 after that crushing 18-15 loss to the Commanders. But some losses hurt far more than others.


Zac Taylor, Bengals (+1000)

Buzz: Zac Taylor's price skipped up after the Bengals routed 37-17 by the Eagles. Cincinnati is now 3-5 and the playoffs are fading away.  Hopes were high along the Ohio River before the season. Taylor remains on a very short leash.

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About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.