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NFL 2024 First Coach Fired Odds: Doug Pederson Tops The List

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 5 mins

NFL 2024 First Coach Fired Odds: Doug Pederson Tops The List

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The NFL Coaching Hot Seat is unplugged, for now. 

But there are several teams whose coaches may find themselves in employment peril if their teams do not get off to successful starts early this season. 

Eight NFL teams begin the 2024 season with new coaches when compared to the start of the 2023 season. The Patriots “mutually agreed to part ways” with Bill Belichick this past January after 24 seasons and replaced him with first-year coach Jerod Mayo. The other seven spots were opened up when coaches were outright fired. 

Josh McDaniels was the “First NFL Coach Fired” in 2023. He was removed as head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders on November 1, after just 8 games into his second season with the team. 

Who will follow in McDaniels’ footsteps for the 2024 First NFL Coach Fired honors?

Let’s take a look.

2024 NFL First Coach Fired Odds

Here are our latest NFL odds on the First Coach Fired. 

CoachTeamOddsImplied Probability
Doug PedersonJaguars+27526.7%
Robert SalehJets+40020.0%
Brian DabollGiants+40020.0%
Mike McCarthyCowboys+60014.3%
Nick SirianniEagles+70012.5%
Zac TaylorBengals+75011.8%
Kevin StefanskiBrowns+85010.5%
Matt Eberflus Bears+10009.1%

Odds above have been created by Bookies.com Senior Handicapper Adam Thompson and do not reflect odds that may be available on legal betting apps.

Familiar Names Return To List In 2024

Among the coaches expected to feel the heat early into the 2024 season are some familiar names from last season’s NFL futures list. Here's a breakdown of some names to watch. 

Doug Pederson, Jaguars (+275)

The Jaguars continued their free-fall that began last season in Week 4. Since going 8-3 to start the 2023 season, Jacksonville is 1-9 in its past 10 games. That includes an 0-4 start in 2024. Things are so bad for the Jaguars that their plane had trouble leaving New York after their Week 3 rout in Buffalo.  Doug Pederson might not make it to Thanksgiving at this rate. His numbers here continue to soar, moving from +400 to +275 this week. 


Robert Saleh, Jets (+400)

The Jets collapsed at home in an embarrassing, mistake-filled loss to the Denver Broncos Sunday. Things got cool in the postgame when Aaron Rodgers contradicted coach Robert Saleh's post-game analysis. Their relationship appears to be headed in the wrong direction. Rodgers' holds the fate of the Saleh regime in his hands. And it would not be surprising if Rodgers would lobby in-season to have owner Woody Johnson dump his coach. Every Jets coach has been on the hot seat since Weeb Eubank led Gang Green to its lone Super Bowl win 45 years ago. Saleh will suffer the same fate as most of his predecessors (at least the ones who were fired) sooner rather than later if the Jets stumble further. Especially with Bill Belichick looming. 


Brian Daboll, Giants (+400)

Giants coach Brian Daboll was the “NFL First Head Coach Fired” in 2024 for 3 weeks in a row. His price slide to +400 this week, despite a tough loss to the Cowboys. This market was drive more by the stuggles of the Jets and Jaguars. Big Blue lost running back Saquon Barkley this offseason to, of all teams, the Eagles. The Giants used 3 different starting QBs last season. This season, they’ve opted to run it back one more time with Daniel Jones. Daboll was under fire late last season as the Giants churned through QBs. But the ownership wasn’t quite ready to dump him after just two seasons. The temperature is a bit lower this week. But not much lower. 


Mike McCarthy, Cowboys (+600)

The most intriguing name on the list is Dallas head coach Mike McCarthy. A win over the Giants in Week 3 only temporarily lowered the temperature on McCarthy's throne. Dak Prescott and the Dallas offense will have a major opportunity to show flash against Pittsburgh Sunday night. The 2-2 Cowboys will need to score early to get the jump on Pittsburgh's defense. Bill Belichick's crooning across multiple media platforms will only further inflame the situation with another Dallas loss.


Nick Sirianni, Eagles (+700)

Nick Sirianni’s name is another one to watch. The Eagles crashed last season due to injuries and the traditional post-Super Bowl-loss hangover. And the 2-2 Eagles fell flat again in Week 4, this time at Tampa Bay. This is another team who must win a playoff game for the coach's job to be secure. Any further deterioration in the relationship between Jalen Hurts and Saleh will only speed up this timetable.   


Zac Taylor, Bengals (+750)

Zac Taylor's name is a newcomer to this list.  The Bengals grabbed their first win of the season Sunday, but it came against the Panthers. Have Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase finally rediscovered their rhythm? For Taylor's sake, let's hope so. Hopes were high along the Ohio River before the season. Taylor remains on a very short leash. 


Kevin Stefanski, Browns (+850)

Kevin Stefanski and the Browns fizzled at home against the Giants and then lost on the road to the Raiders. Deshaun Watson has yet to demonstrate his ability to control a game with his arm or legs. His contract is fast becoming the worst in football. But dumping him would incur a $90 million cap hit. Stefanski may end up being the fall guy in Cleveland.

About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.