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NFL Week 11 Picks, Betting Predictions & Bets To Back: Super Bowl Redux

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 25 mins

NFL Week 11 Picks, Betting Predictions & Bets To Back: Super Bowl Redux

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A Super Bowl 57 rematch?

Or both?

Week 11 of NFL betting delivers the latest “Biggest Game Of The Season” matchup on Monday night when the Philadelphia Eagles visit Kansas City. 

The Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35 in Super Bowl 57 this past February. They are the odds-on favorite matchup in Super Bowl 58, as well. Both teams enjoyed success in the first half of the NFL season. The Eagles won 6 of their first 7 games. The Chiefs held the opposing defense under 20 points in their first six victories.

The arrival of Taylor Swift on the WAG front has given the NFL another jolt in terms of publicity. She appears to be in a serious relationship with Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce

Given this game’s pedigree, talent on both sides of the ball, and potential Super Bowl implications, it could be the most-bet game of the season. 


RELATED: Super Bowl 58 Odds


The week begins on Thursday night with a key AFC North showdown between the Bengals and Ravens. Both teams are coming off upset losses in Week 10.

The CBS national game at 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday might be worth watching just to see what happens. The Jets visit Buffalo. Throw out the records when these teams meet. The Vikings and Broncos are currently scheduled for Sunday night, but that game is likely to flexed out. We’ll update when necessary. 

The Octo-Box returns to NFL RedZone this week with 8 games in the 1 p.m. Sunday slot. 

Bye Week: Atlanta, Indianapolis, New England, and New Orleans.

2023 NFL Week 11 Picks 

Now it’s on to our Week 11 NFL picks to back on your favorite sports betting app. 

DateMatchupWeek 11 Picks
Thursday, Nov. 16 Bengals @ Ravens Over Points Total
Sunday, Nov. 19Cowboys @ Panthers Cowboys ATS
Sunday, Nov. 19Steelers @ Browns Steelers ATS
Sunday, Nov. 19Bears @ Lions Lions ATS
Sunday, Nov. 19Chargers @ Packers Chargers ATS
Sunday, Nov. 19Cardinals @ Texans Texans ATS
Sunday, Nov. 19Titans @ Jaguars Under Points Total
Sunday, Nov. 19Raiders @ Dolphins Dolphins ATS
Sunday, Nov. 19Giants @ Commanders Under Points Total
Sunday, Nov. 19Buccaneers @ 49ers Buccaneers ATS
Sunday, Nov. 19Jets @ Bills Jets ATS
Sunday, Nov. 19Seahawks @ Rams Seahawks ATS
Sunday, Nov. 19Vikings @ Broncos Broncos ATS
Monday, Nov. 20Eagles @ Chiefs Chiefs ATS

Week 11 picks are subject to change. Use the BetMGM promo code BOOKIESPICKS to get a $1,000 risk-free bet for your NFL Week 11 picks.

2023 NFL Week 11 Best Bets To Back Today

Thursday, November 16

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens, 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)

Could be the best Thursday night game of the season since Opening Night. Theses teams are bookending the AFC North after each suffered upset losses late. The Ravens (7-3) are in first place while the 5-4 Bengals are in the basement. Neither team could hold off their underdog opponents at home in the final minutes Sunday and lost to underdogs on walk-off field goals. But they combined for 58 points in defeat. The Bengals are currently out of the playoff picture. This one is approaching must-win territory for Joe Burrow. The overs began making a comeback in Week 10. We like this total here as well. 

Best Bet: Over 43.5 Points (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Sunday, November 19

Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. (FOX)

Plenty of Cowboys-clad fans in white and blue will dot Bank of America stadium in Charlotte. The Cowboys demolished Big Blue Sunday in Dallas. They'll do the same with Little Blue in Carolina. The Panthers are an NFL worst 1-6-2 ATS this season. Dallas has another opportunity to keep improving its offense. 

Best Bet: Cowboys -11 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. (CBS)

“Let the hate flow through you.” Both of these teams are in the midst of the AFC Playoff picture and will be in the playoffs if they're able to keep their current pace. This line has widened from when it opened in the preseaon at Cleveland -1.5. The number is just too much for a game that will likely come down to a last-second or overtime field goal. Never mind potentially end up in the 20s in terms of the total. 

Best Bet: Steelers +3.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. (FOX)

Lions and Bears. Oh my! The Lions - to the surprise of no one paying attention - have the best record in the NFL ATS at 7-2. The Bears, not so much, at 3-5-2. Detroit is the best team overall ATS since the start of the 2021 season. They Lions will be home against a long-time rival that is pondering what to do with potentially two of the top five picks the draft. The possible return of Justin Fields won't matter here. The Lions put up 41 points on the "road" at SoFi on Sunday. They could match that here. 

Best Bet: Lions -9 (-110)   with DraftKings Sportsbook


RELATED: Best NFL Same Game Parlay To Back Today


Los Angeles Chargers at Green Bay Packers, 1 p.m. (FOX)

Root for bad weather to make it interesting. The Chargers are 3-point road favorites. The Chargers can move the ball and score. The Packers can move the ball. Take the Bolts in the autumnal chill of Wisconsin. 

Best Bet: Chargers -3 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans, 1 p.m. (CBS)

The "Kyler Murray Play In 2024 Somewhere Else Audition" continues. Murray returned in Week 10 and delivered a win for the home crowd in Arizona. But the Texans are solid on both sides of the ball and C.J. Stroud is the real deal. Never mind a lock for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Houston is winning its home games by an average of +5.5 points. And the Texans hold the 7th and final playoff spot in the AFC after beating Cincinnati Sunday. 

Best Bet: Texans -5.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Mike Vrabel is on the clock. New England awaits. These teams combined for 9 points in Week 10 losses. The Jaguars were curb-stomped by the 49ers at home. The Titans got swamped in Tampa Bay. No need to overthink this one. 

Best Bet: Under 40 Points (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook


RELATED: AFC, NFC Championship Odds


Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Miami scored 70 points against Denver at home earlier this year. The NFL record of 72 points in a game is in doubt here. The Raiders won back-to-back games at home since firing Josh McDaniels. The party is going come to an ugly conclusion in South Florida with the Dolphins coming off a bye and tough loss to the Chiefs in Germany. The home team has covered in each of the Raiders last 7 games. This will make it 8. 

Best Bet: Dolphins -10 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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New York Giants at Washington Commanders, 1 p.m. (FOX)

Loser gets Bill Belichick in 2024. Maybe. 

Best Bet: Under 37 Points (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers, 4:05 p.m. (FOX)

The 49ers visited Florida in Week 10 and declawed the Jaguars in Jacksonville. Now, they get the  Buccaneers at home. It was this matchup nearly a calendar year ago that launched Brock Purdy's 10-game regular-season winning streak. The Buccaneers have been consistently inconsistent this season at 4-5. But they cover on the road, having done so in their past four tries. This line is a half-point on the bloated side. 

Best Bet: Buccaneers +10.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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New York Jets at Buffalo Bills, 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

Surviving the pregame TailGate bash will be a challenge. The Jets beat Buffalo earlier this season but they are terrible again. Zach Wilson has underachieved in consecutive Gang Green losses. And now Aaron Rodgers is talking about a return in "mid-December." Mid-December? That's like three weeks away. The Bills, like the Bengals, are an underachieving AFC team many saw having a deep playoff run. They need this game to keep pace in the postseason playoff race. But the number is too big for a game likely headed to the 30s. 

Best Bet: Jets +6.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams, 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

The Seahawks are playing for first place in the NFC West, just not with the Rams. Right now, the 49ers hold the tiebreaker over the Seahawks, as both are 6-3. Seattle is a legit playoff contender in either case, holding the top wildcard. This will be another "home" crowd for the visiting team at SoFi. The Rams beat the Seahawks in Seattle in Week 1, hence a smaller number than one might expect. These teams have taken divergent paths since. A best-bet. 

Best Bet: Seahawks -3 (-110) with DraftKings

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Minnesota Vikings at Denver Broncos, 8:20 p.m. (NBC)

Joshua Dobbs is fast-becoming the Brock Purdy of 2023. No, he wasn't the last player taken in his draft, but he was deemed irrevelant by the Cardinals. Since being traded to the Vikings ahead of the trade deadline, he's led his new team to two straight wins and has ignited playoff hopes in the Land of 10,000 Lakes. The Broncos are playing Monday night in Buffalo. Their defense has stiffened of late. And the Vikings are still struggling to run the ball. 

Best Bet: Broncos -2 (-110) with Caesars Sportsbook

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Monday, November 20

Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs, 8:15 p.m. (ABC/ESPN)

Will this be a just a Super Bowl 57 rematch, or a Super Bowl 58 preview? Or both. The Eagles and Chiefs are the tops picks in their conference to reach the Super Bowl all season. The Chiefs are winning with defense, Patrick Mahomes, and the vibe of "Swelce." Park Avenue's favorite  lovebirds (Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce) spent KC's bye weekend in Argentina. Swift altered the lyrics to "Karma" in Kelce's honor on Saturday night. The two embraced and kissed after the show just off stage in view of the world. Her likely return to Arrowhead Stadium could deliver juicy ratings for ESPN and ABC, who will be simulcasting the game. The Eagles have maintained balance on both sides of the ball. And they’ve done it with new offensive and defensive coordinators. This could be the most-bet game of the season. And a close cover for the home team. 

Best Bet: Chiefs -2.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.