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NFL Week 15 Picks, Betting Predictions & Bets To Back: Saturday Returns

Bill Speros for Bookies.com

Bill Speros  | 29 mins

NFL Week 15 Picks, Betting Predictions & Bets To Back: Saturday Returns

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Week 15 of NFL betting schedule features three games on Saturday. 

The NFL Saturday triple-header features six teams in playoff contention. 

Minnesota visits Cincinnati early in the afternoon. The Steelers look to rebound from their Week 14 loss to New England at Indianapolis. And finally, the Broncos head into Ford Field for the nightcap. 

The featured game of the week mercifully falls on Sunday night. The Baltimore Ravens visit Jacksonville. Both teams lead their respective divisions and could well meet in the second round of the playoffs, if Miami is able to hold onto the top seed.

The always up-for-grabs NFC South has Atlanta visiting Carolina, Tampa Bay at Green Bay, and the Saints playing host to the Giants.


RELATED: Super Bowl 58 Odds


The week begins in Las Vegas. The Chargers face the Raiders in a game that will likely see the loser effectively eliminated from AFC wildcard consideration. 

The Efta-Box returns to NFL RedZone this week with 7 games in the 1 p.m. Sunday slot. That includes the Chiefs-Patriots game, which was flexed out of the Monday night spot and replaced by the Eagles at Seahawks. 

There are no longer any NFL teams on the bye.

2023 NFL Week 15 Picks

Now it’s on to our Week 15 NFL picks to back on your favorite sports betting app. 

DateMatchupWeek 15 Picks
Thursday, Dec. 14 Chargers @ Raiders Under Points Total
Saturday, Dec. 16 Vikings @ Bengals Bengals ATS
Saturday, Dec. 16 Steelers @ Colts Colts ATS
Saturday, Dec. 16 Broncos @ Lions Over Points Total
Sunday, Dec. 17Falcons @ Panthers Falcons ML
Sunday, Dec. 17Bears @ Browns Browns ATS
Sunday, Dec. 17Buccaneers @ Packers Buccaneers ATS
Sunday, Dec. 17Jets @ Dolphins Over Points Total
Sunday, Dec. 17 Giants @ Saints Over Points Total
Sunday, Dec. 17Texans @ Titans Texans ATS
Sunday, Dec. 17Chiefs @ Patriots Patriots ATS
Sunday, Dec. 17 49ers @ Cardinals 49ers ATS
Sunday, Dec. 17 Commanders @ Rams Commanders ATS
Sunday, Dec. 17 Cowboys @ Bills Cowboys ML
Sunday, Dec. 17 Baltimore @ Jacksonville Over Points Total
Monday, Dec. 18Eagles @ Seahawks Seahawks ATS

Week 15 picks are subject to change.

2023 NFL Week 15 Best Bets To Back Today

Thursday, Dec. 14

Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders, 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)

Buzz: Easton Stick vs. Aidan O’Connell. Another dream QB matchup.   The Raiders were shutout at home on Sunday in a 3-0 loss to the Vikings. The Chargers lost Justin Herbert to injury in their 24-7 loss to the Broncos. 

Best Bet: Under 34 Points (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Saturday, Dec. 16

Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m. (NFL Network)

Buzz: Jake Browning vs. Nick Mullens. Another dream QB matchup. Browning has played well enough since taking over for Joe Burrow to get the Bengals into playoff contention in the AFC. The Joshua Dobbs Hallmark movie ended when he was benched in Minnesota's 3-0 win at Las Vegas for Mullens. Suddenly, the Bengals are purring along at the right time. Three points won't cut it against Cincy at home. 

Best Bet: Bengals -4 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts, 4:30 p.m. (NFL Network)

Buzz: Both teams whiffed in Week 14 with chances to increase their playoff chances. The Steelers managed the impossible and made the Patriots offense appear effective. The started 7-6 but have lost back-to-games to two-win teams. The Colts were blown out at Cincinnati. The trend lines all point in Pittsburgh's favor. The Colts have lost 9 of 11 and have failed to cover in 6 of 7 against Pittsburgh. But the Colts pass the eye test here. 

Best Bet: Colts -2.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Denver Broncos at Detroit Lions, 8:15 p.m. (NFL Network)

Buzz: The Lions continue lying when it comes to their downward betting trend. They've lost outright as betting favorites against Chicago and Green Bay in the past 3 weeks. Teams have found that stopping the run is the key to declawing these Lions. The Broncos, meanwhile, are riding high having won 6 of 7. How well will they travel at Detroit? These teams are averaging 51.5 points per game. Four of six Lions games have gone over the number. The total here offers a bit of a discount in a game that could see a number in the 50s. 

Best Bet: Over 46.5 Points (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Sunday, December 17

NFL Week 15 Picks, Betting Predictions & Bets To Back: Saturday Returns 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Buzz: The Battle of the Bays features the first-place-by-default-in-the-NFL South Buccaneers. The Falcons had WWE Hall of Famer Goldberg spear a faux Buccaneers fan before the game. But Baker Mayfield came over the top rope in the 4th quarter to get the Bad Guy win. The Packers have won 4 of 5 heading into its Monday night game, including a home win over the Chiefs and a win on the road at Detroit on Thanksgiving. The Bucs have covered in 4 straight road games against NFC opponents and has enough of a defense to contain an emerging Jordan Love

Best Bet: Buccaneers +3.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. (FOX)

Buzz: The Bears have won two straight and are setting themselves up for a surprising run - in 2024. The Browns are all-in on 2023 despite using 4 different stating QBs this season. The ever-elite Joe Flacco has led Cleveland to back-to-back wins and will be the Browns starter for the rest of the season (barring injury). Broaday Joe put up 311 yards and threw for 3 TDs in a 31-27 win on Sunday over the Jaguars to firm up their spot atop the AFC Wild Card standings. The Browns have covered in 4 of 5 as home favorites and won 4 straight at home. 

Best Bet: Browns -3 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook


RELATED: Best NFL Same Game Parlay To Back Today


Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. (FOX)

Buzz: The Falcons over perform on the line against division opponents and are 5-1 in their past six games ATS against NFC South foes. Not suprisingly, both teams are trending on the under this season, going a combined 17-9 beneath the total. Consider a parlay with the Falcons moneyline and the under if you're looking for a decent return.

Best Bet: Falcons ML (-148) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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New York Jets at Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Buzz: The Dolphins could be the No. 1 seed in the AFC by the time this one is over. They play Monday night. The Jets upset the Texans and are showing some ability to score behind Zach Wilson. No matter what happens on Monday, this game has all the markings of a late-season Miami home win in the warmth of South Florida against an AFC East opponent that gets worn by the fourth quarter. The Jets have lost 12 straight as underdogs in the AFC East. But we don't bet anything at -590. We'll go with the over here given at this number. This is Miami's second-lowest total of the year and the teams combined for 43 points when they played on Black Friday in New Jersey. 

Best Bet: Over 40.5 Points (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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New York Giants at New Orleans Satins, 1 p.m. (FOX)

Buzz: The Giants play Monday night. But the Saints are the focus here. They've failed to cover in 7 straight games after a win. They are the model NFC South team. Up one week. Down the next. The total here is a serious discount off the 42.6 PPG average these teams have produced this season. This line has swelled to New Orleans -6.5. That too much for this Saints team.  

Best Bet: Over 36.5 Points (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Buzz: C.J. Stroud visited the Big Apple this past weekend and got mugged in Week 14 - by the Jets defense across the river in New Jersey. Stroud left the game and went into concussion protocol. Thus, his status for Sunday against Tennessee remains uncertain. The Texans have covered in 6 straight road games in the AFC South. Given that this line moved from 1 to just 2 points, it's likely Stroud will be back next week. 

Best Bet: Texans +2 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots, 1 p.m. (FOX)

Buzz: The tears flowed in Kansas City after Kadarius Toney lined up in Kansas on what would have been a one-for-the-ages TD lateral from Travis Kelce. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs could well still be complaining about the refs actually getting something right for a change right up to kickoff. The Chiefs have lost 2 straight and 4 of 6. Their patchwork offense is starting to catch up with reality and has averaged just 19.6 points over its past six games. The NFL flexed this one out of its original Monday night slot. The 3-10 Patriots were mathematically eliminated from the playoffs on Sunday, their earliest exit since 2000. This will be the first game in the history of Gillette Stadium with fans in the stands and the Patriots out of postseason competition. The Patriots have failed to cover in 8 of their past 9 games at home. But they're riding high after an extended break. And Bill Belichick is still Bill Belichick, until further notice.  

Best Bet: Patriots +9.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals, 4:05 p.m. (CBS)

Buzz: The 49ers are rampaging their way to the top seed and a first-round bye in the NFC. San Francisco swept Seattle around its rout of the Eagles. The Cardinals have failed to cover in 12 of their past 13 games against NFC West foes. This line should not be a problem for Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle & Co. 

Best Bet: 49ers -13.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Washington Commanders at Los Angeles Rams, 4:05 p.m. (CBS)

Buzz: The Rams emptied the tank at home against the Ravens in a 37-31 OT loss on Sunday. They did earn a cover, however, on the 7.5 point line. The Commanders are coming off their bye. Even following a rough and physical loss to the Rams, LA should be able to put up points against a Washington defense that is traveling cross country. The spread offers a good value for the Commanders, however, who have covered in 5 of 6 as road underdogs. 

Best Bet: Commanders +6.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

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Dallas Cowboys at Buffalo Bills, 4:25 p.m. (FOX)

Buzz: The Bills are back in the Wild Card chase after holding off the Chiefs. Buffalo held the Swifties to 17 points at Arrowhead. And yes, the refs got it right. The Cowboys are for real after demolishing the Eagles at home in Week 14. The Cowboys have won 7 of 8 and Buffalo has failed to cover at home in its past 5 games against NFC opponents.  Dak Prescott has moved back atop the MVP market at +160, just ahead of Brock Purdy (+200). These are the types of games Dak must win if he wants to nab that honor. 

Best Bet: Cowboys ML (+105) with DraftKings Sportsbook

Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars, 8:20 p.m. (NBC)

Buzz: The Game of the Week features the AFC South and AFC North leaders. The 10-3 Ravens are in an all-out slugfest with the Dolphins for top spot in the AFC. That race could well extend to the late window in Week 18. (There is no Monday night game in the final week of the season.) The Jaguars (8-5) have lost 2 straight by a combined 7 points to Cincinnati and Cleveland. Trevor Lawrence threw 3 TDs and 3 picks on a bad ankle that 31-27 loss to the Browns. No rest for the weary QB this week. The trend lines support the Ravens as road favorites. We're leaning on the over. But a parlay with the over and Ravens ML (-170) is also a solid play. 

Best Bet: Over 43.5 Points (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

Monday, December 18

Philadelphia Eagles at Seattle Seahawks, 8:15 p.m. (ABC/ESPN)

Buzz: This one's for the Birds. Both avian species have struggled of late. The Eagles (10-3) have dropped back-to-back games to the 49ers and Cowboys. But they're finally done with a hellacious schedule run that included games against the 49ers, Dolphins, Bills, Chiefs, and Cowboys (twice). The 6-7 Seahawks have fallen from the postseason race, losing four straight (including 2 against the 49ers). This will be Seattle's last stand, especially with a loss. We don't like Philly as a road favorite here, especially since 4.5 points equals 7. Philly has failed to cover in 8 of 9 games against teams with a losing record. Oddsmakers continue to price them at a premium. 

Best Bet: Seahawks +4.5 (-110) with DraftKings Sportsbook

About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.