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Teofimo Lopez vs George Kambosos Jr Odds & Complete Betting Guide

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

Dan Kilbridge  | 24 mins

Teofimo Lopez vs George Kambosos Jr Odds & Complete Betting Guide

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Teofimo Lopez cemented his status as one of boxing’s brightest, youngest stars with his unanimous decision win over Vasiliy Lomachenko to secure the WBA, WBO and The Ring lightweight belts in late 2020 after capturing the IBF title a year prior.

Now, one year later and months delayed from the scheduled bout, it’s finally time for Lopez to defend his titles and unanimous championship status in his first title defense against George Kambosos Jr. on Nov. 27 at New York City’s Madison Square Garden.

The sports betting action is widely available in legal states, with sportsbooks and betting apps posting dozens of prop bets and round wagers on top of standard moneyline and total rounds odds. Unfortunately, it looks like online New York sports betting won’t be available in time, but the wait in the Empire State will soon be over.

Lopez (16-0, 12 KOs) was originally scheduled to defend the belts in early June, but a positive COVID-19 test in the days leading up to the fight triggered a lengthy delay. Kambosos Jr. (19-0, 10 KOs), meanwhile, has been patiently waiting for his title shot since a split-decision victory over Lee Selby Oct. 31, 2020. The 28-year-old Aussie, who made his pro debut in 2013, is also unbeaten and looking for a big upset over the exciting young champion.

Lopez was in those shoes a year ago as a +350 underdog at most betting sites against Lomachenko. The 24-year-old from Brooklyn pulled off the upset with tremendous volume, landing 183 of 659 punches. One judge scored 11 of 12 rounds for Lopez with a 119-109 card, while the two other had it 116-112 and 117-111.

ESPN lists Lopez as the No. 1 lightweight and No. 5 pound-for-pound fighter in the world. He won’t be catching anyone by surprise this time, with sportsbooks listing Lopez as a massive betting favorite over the challenger.

Let’s dig deeper into the odds and boxing betting action ahead of the Nov. 27 title fight in the Big Apple.

Teofimo Lopez vs George Kambosos Jr Odds & Complete Betting Guide 1

Lopez vs. Kambosos Jr. Moneyline

Kambosis Jr. (+600) Lopez (-1000)

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Lopez is a massive betting favorite on the moneyline ahead of this title fight. Betting apps give the champion boxing odds of -1000 to win the fight, despite the fact that he’s facing a fellow unbeaten. Kambosos Jr. is a whopping +600 underdog at DraftKings Sportsbook for upset-minded bettors looking to score big.

Lopez has left little doubt in his first 16 victories, with no split-decision wins. The Brooklyn native has finished 12 of his fights via KO/TKO and scored unanimous decisions in the other four fights.

Kambosos Jr. has finished 10 of his 19 career wins, though his last two results have been split-decision victories over Mickey Bey and Selby. Kambosos Jr. is hoping for a more decisive result this time around, and he has the power to make things interesting – the Aussie recently landed a TKO win over Richard Pena in summer of 2019.

One of these fighters will take the first loss of their career in NYC, with the odds heavily shifting in Lopez’s favor ahead of the bout.

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Lopez vs. Kambosos Jr. Total Rounds Odds Markets

DraftKings currently lists the total rounds line at over/under 7.5 rounds, with -115 juice on the Over and -105 for Under 7.5.

Under 7.5 rounds looks like a wise play for those that believe Lopez will finish the fight and win via KO/TKO. All 12 of Lopez’s stoppage victories have come in under 7.5 rounds, though Diego Magdaleno nearly took him over before he was KO’d at the 1:08 mark in Round 7 in early 2019.

Kambosos Jr. has been more inclined to fight into the later rounds, with three of his last four victories coming via decision. Of his 10 KO/TKO victories, only one has come later than 7.5 rounds – the challenger scored a ninth-round TKO over Krai Setthaphon in 2017.

Relatively even juice for the 7.5 number suggests the betting action has been split on total rounds in the weeks leading up to the fight.

Lopez vs. Kambosos Jr. Method of Victory Odds

Method of Victory Odds
Lopez KO/TKO -120
Lopez Decision +300
Kambosos Jr. KO/TKO +850
Kambosos Jr. Decision +1500
Draw +2600

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There’s no shortage of props and result odds ahead of this fight at sportsbooks, including method of victory. FanDuel has Lopez via KO/TKO as the most likely outcome of the fight, with -120 odds. Sportsbooks have it as an upset for Lopez to win via decision with +300 odds for the champion to retain the belts via judges scorecards.

Bettors who want some insurance can bet the fight will go the distance at +225 odds – that leaves room for a Kambosos Jr. decision rather than the +300 odds for Lopez to get it done using the full 12 rounds.

Kambosos Jr. also has better odds to win via KO/TKO than via decision. Bettors who think he can catch Lopez and put him down will be hoping for a nice payday at +850, while Kambosos’ odds to win via decision are the longest of any result other than draw at +1500.

Lopez Round Betting Odds

Lopez Round Betting Odds
Lopez Win in Round 1 +2200
Lopez Win in Round 2 +1600
Lopez Win in Round 3 +1200
Lopez Win in Round 4 +1000
Lopez Win in Round 5 +2200
Lopez Win in Round 6 +900
Lopez Win in Round 7 +900
Lopez Win in Round 8 +1000
Lopez Win in Round 9 +1200
Lopez Win in Round 10 +1400
Lopez Win in Round 11 +1600
Lopez Win in Round 12 +2200

Odds via DraftKings; New Yorkers, be sure to bookmark our DraftKings Promo Code New York page for offers when they become available.

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DraftKings has a robust individual round betting line market for both fighters, with plenty of value for sharp bettors. Those who don’t want to lay the -1000 moneyline odds on Lopez can get far more potentially-profitable action without risking the big number.

Oddsmakers have the most likely outcome for a Lopez KO/TKO coming in Rounds 5-7, with +900 odds for each. The most unlikely round bets for Lopez are an opening-round KO/TKO or a 12th-round finish, both of which are listed at +2200.

The best value for a round bet would seem to be on Lopez KO/TKO in Round 2 at +1600 odds. While Kambosos Jr. will certainly be one of the toughest tests yet, six of Lopez’s 12 career knockouts have come in the second round. Two have come in the first round, with the remaining four occurring in Rounds 4, 5, 6 and 7. Lopez has never finished a fight beyond the seventh round, so the earlier odds seem to carry more value than finishes in the later rounds.

Kambosos Jr. Round Betting Odds

Kambosos Jr. Round Betting Odds
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 1 +10000
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 2 +10000
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 3 +10000
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 4 +10000
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 5 +10000
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 6 +8000
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 7 +8000
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 8 +10000
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 9 +10000
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 10 +10000
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 11 +10000
Kambosos Jr. Win in Round 12 +10000

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Kambosos’ odds to win via KO/TKO are already long at +850, with lucrative potential payouts of +10000 at DraftKings for individual round betting in all but the sixth and seventh rounds. We already know this is the danger zone for both fighters, with oddsmakers setting the over/under at 7.5 rounds. Kambosos Jr.’s individual round odds are slightly shorter here at +8000 for a finish in either the sixth or seventh round.

The challenger definitely has finishing power with 10 career knockouts on the resume, as more than half of his fights have ended before the final bell. Kambosos Jr. has a pair of first-round KO/TKOs, most recently putting Jose Forero down less than two minutes into their 2018 bout.

Two of Kambosos Jr.’s finishes have come in the fourth round and two more have come in the sixth round. He also has one ninth-round TKO over Krai Setthaphon, which he scored in his native Australia back in 2017.

Bettors looking for serious long-shot odds have plenty of options when it comes to Kambosos Jr. finishes, particularly in the early and later rounds.

The prop market is already robust in the build-up to the Lopez-Kambosos Jr. title fight, with more odds and props sure to hit the board in the days before they square off in New York City.

About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.
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