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Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

By Dan Kilbridge | | 22 mins

Tour Championship 2022 Odds, Picks & Predictions To Win FedEx Cup

Tour Championship 2022 Odds, Picks & Predictions To Win FedEx Cup
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One of the most dramatic seasons we’ve ever seen has reached the end of the road, with 30 of the top players in the world battling it out at the Tour Championship in Atlanta.

This is the only tournament of the year featuring a staggered scoring system, with players given a certain number of strokes based on their standing in the season-long race. So top-ranked Scottie Scheffler begins the week -10 at East Lake, while No. 2 Patrick Cantlay begins at -8, No. 3 Will Zalatoris at -7, etc.

That’s all factored into the golf betting odds, which will be based on the final result with starting strokes. That’s why Scheffler is such a significant favorite, with +260 golf odds to win in the 30-man field. Cantlay is next at +330, while Xander Schauffele is third at +600 – Zalatoris, who will begin one shot ahead of Schauffele, is +1000 for his East Lake debut.

Betting is also available for winner, top 5 and top 10 without starting strokes, which changes the board – Schauffele, Cantlay and Rory McIlroy are the co-favorites at +800 on betting apps to shoot the lowest gross score.

2022 Tour Championship Odds

Player WinnerTop 5Top 10
Scottie Scheffler +260 -250 -1200
Patrick Cantlay +330 -200 -750
Xander Schauffele +600 -115 -425
Will Zalatoris +1000 +130 -285
Rory McIlroy +1100 +150 -250
Jon Rahm +1600 +210 -165
Tony Finau +2200 +240 -125
Sam Burns +2200 +240 -125
Justin Thomas +2200 +240 -125
Cameron Smith +2800 +300 -110

Odds via DraftKings and current as of publication.

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2022 Tour Championship Expert Pick

Rory McIlroy To Win (Without Strokes)

Odds: +800 at DraftKings

Bettors need to decide how they want to play it this week, but we’re targeting McIlroy to win without strokes and shoot the lowest overall score of anyone in the field. His odds to win with strokes are +1100, but we’ll gladly go with +800 instead because he’s starting the week six shots behind Scheffler.

McIlroy hit it absolutely beautifully at last week’s BMW Championship. He had his second-worst putting performance of the season and still logged a T-8 finish – that’s how good he was with the driver, leading the field in Strokes Gained Off the Tee by a wide margin. That’s the name of the game at East Lake, where McIlroy has won twice before. He also clearly likes these greens having finished with positive Strokes Gained Putting numbers at East Lake for three years in a row.

The game is on point, the venue is one of his favorites and we love the Irishman’s chances again this week.

We’re on McIlroy to win without strokes with +800 odds at DraftKings.

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2022 Tour Championship Betting Tips

This is a strong championship venue and there’s a reason the Tour heads to East Lake for the biggest cash prize of the season. It’s a long, stern test that will challenge the world’s best players without any gimmicks.

Big hitters certainly have an advantage, but it’s not a bomb and gouge setup. Big misses are penalized and it’s all about fairway position on the approach shots. The irons need to be sharp as well for what amounts to a total test in Atlanta.

As for the format, don’t look very far down the board on betting sites if you’re taking action with the starting strokes. Those top players earned their head start by playing consistently better than everyone else for an entire calendar year, so it’s no surprise they tend to convert when given a nice cushion – Patrick Cantlay began at -10 and finished with a one-shot win over Jon Rahm last year, while Dustin Johnson also converted with a -10 start and won by three shots in 2020.

However, McIlroy began five shots behind top-ranked Justin Thomas and shot the lowest gross score for the win in 2019 – the first year the new scoring system was implemented.

2022 Tour Championship, Date & TV

When: Thursday-Sunday, August 25-28

Where: East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, Georgia

TV: Golf Channel, NBC

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About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.