Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

By Dan Kilbridge | | 4 mins

WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Odds, Picks & Predictions

WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Odds, Picks & Predictions
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Forget college basketball for a few days. It’s time for those PGA Tour brackets to shine, baby!

The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play at Austin Country Club in Austin, Texas, returns from its one-year hiatus. It annually provides some of the best golf betting opportunities we see all season long. The heads-up format lets you pick your spots each day with matchup bets, in-game wagering and futures odds on group winners, players to reach the semifinals, etc.

The format was recently revamped as 64 players are placed into 16 groups of four players. The winners from each group after three days of round-robin match play advance to golf’s Sweet 16. Then it’s a one-and-done format culminating with a 36-hole championship match on Sunday.

Jon Rahm is the betting favorite at +1200 in the latest World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play odds, with three players behind him at +1500, including reigning U.S. Open champ Bryson DeChambeau, 2017 Match Play winner Dustin Johnson and Players champ Justin Thomas.


RELATED: Harmon: PGA Players Should Put Up Own Money in Match Play


Top 2021 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Odds

Player Odds
Jon Rahm+1200
Bryson DeChambeau+1500
Dustin Johnson+1500
Justin Thomas+1500
Rory McIlroy+2100
Collin Morikawa+2100
Patrick Cantlay+2600
Paul Casey+2600
Jordan Spieth+2600
Tony Finau+2800
Viktor Hovland+2800
Patrick Reed+2800
Xander Schauffele+2800

PGA Tour odds via DraftKings and current as of publication

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WGC-Match Play Expert Picks & Predictions

Group 16 winner — Sungjae Im (+170)

Sungjae Im is a great ballstriker and makes a ton of birdies, with the ability to rip off three or four in a row at any point. And the big numbers he’ll occasionally make as a result of that mentality don’t matter nearly as much in match play. That’s a strong combo this week. We also saw how much Im likes this format at the 2019 Presidents Cup, where the then-20-year-old went 3-1 in his matches and beat Gary Woodland 4 & 2 in Sunday singles. Russell Henley (+225) and Marc Leishman (+325) won’t go down quietly in this group, but Im is also putting better than ever this season. We think he’s the clear choice at +170 with DraftKings .


Want to know who else we’re taking? For more great expert golf picks for the WGC-Match Play from our team of handicappers, check out bookiesEDGE:

WGC-Match Play Betting Tips

While we did just pick a favorite above, that won’t be the norm on our bracket this week. The Match Play always produces some surprising results and underdogs — let’s not forget that just a few weeks before his 2019 Masters win, Tiger Woods got bounced in a quarterfinal loss to Lucas Bjerregaard.

Keep in mind that match play is completely different from the normal 72-hole stroke play. It’s all about getting hot and putting circles on the card for one round, which all these guys are more than capable of doing.

Relative unknowns shoot better than superstars such as Rory McIlroy and Thomas all the time on any given day on Tour. It’s not considered strange when, say, Dylan Frittelli shoots 68 and Tony Finau shoots 71 in the opening round of any tournament. But Frittelli beating Finau heads-up in group stage would be considered a big upset in Texas. Our perceptions are altered this week, which creates plenty of value on some of the underdogs.

Keep that in mind when projecting group winners — lean heavily on prior match play record and current form. And be ready to pounce on an underdog like Frittelli over Finau in a given match if the price is right.


WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, Date & TV

When: Wednesday-Sunday, March 24-28

Where: PGA National, Palm Beach Gardens, Florida

TV: NBC, Golf Channel

About the Author

Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com
Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.