WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Odds, Picks & Predictions

By Dan Kilbridge

Mar 14th, 2024 7:22 AM EDT

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College basketball doesn’t get to have all the fun this month. It’s time once again for the golf betting equivalent of March Madness at the WGC Dell Technologies Match Play in Austin, Texas.

The one-and-done nature of this tournament is long gone, with organizers preferring to keep the big names around as long as possible with a pool format for the opening round. The 16 individual group winners will then square off in a single-elimination format leading up to Sunday’s championship match at Austin Country Club.

It’s always great to spice things up with a format change and Austin CC has proved a tremendous venue, with thrilling risk-reward holes down the stretch that seem perfectly suited for match play.

World No. 1 Jon Rahm is the favorite to take it all with +1200 odds on betting sites and betting apps. Viktor Hovland and Justin Thomas are next at +1400, while 2021 Match Play runner-up Scottie Scheffler is fourth at +1600. Dustin Johnson, the 2017 champion, and Xander Schauffele round out the top six with golf odds of +2000.

2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play

Odds via DraftKings and current as of publication. Check out our DraftKings sportsbook review for more information.

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Must be 21+ to participate (18+ in KY). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, IA, KY, KS, LA, MD, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ). Call 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). CALL 1-877-770-STOP (LA). Must be present in LA (select parishes). Licensee partner Amelia Belle Casino. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.

2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Pick

Sepp Straka To Win Group 3

Odds: +400 at BetMGM

We’re always looking for a good underdog in the pool round and identified our guy late this week with Sepp Straka.

He’s the long shot of a group that includes Viktor Hovland (+165), Will Zalatoris (+200) and Cameron Tringale (+330). But he’s playing as well if not better than the rest of the foursome, with a win last month at the Honda Classic and a T-9 at the Players Championship.

Straka is an excellent putter and we expect him to upset Zalatoris, who gets all over the place with the flat stick in crunch time. Hovland will be a tough out and is the favorite for a reason. But he also didn’t set the world on fire in his Ryder Cup debut, going 0-3-2 in his matches last fall at Whistling Straits.

We like the odds at BetMGM on Straka to win Group 3 at +400.

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2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Betting Tips

Throw the usual strategies out the window this week. The format needs to be treated as a completely different entity than 72-hole stroke play when identifying value. Guys who get hot and rip off birdies are rewarded more than usual and big mistakes that would be a killer in stroke play might not make a difference at all.

Keep that in mind when filling out your bracket and identifying DFS plays. It’s easy to go with chalk throughout but this is one round of golf we’re talking about. Anyone can lose to anyone, and the odds aren’t nearly as drastic as they would be for mismatches in other sports.

Match play records are readily available from past Presidents and Ryder Cups for the top names, so feel free to lean on those. But this week really comes down to finding value in the number. It’s not about which player would do better over four rounds, it’s about finding potential for upsets in 18 holes or less. And those are plentiful.

Nobody even notices if a guy like Richard Bland shoots 4-under while Bryson DeChambeau shoots 3-under in a given round of a given tournament, but suddenly it’s viewed as a huge upset in a one-day match? We love the underdog plays throughout the groups this week and always do.

2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play

When: Wednesday-Sunday, March 23-27

Where: Austin Country Club, Austin, Texas

TV: Golf Channel, NBC

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Must be 21+ to participate (18+ in KY). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, IA, KY, KS, LA, MD, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ). Call 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). CALL 1-877-770-STOP (LA). Must be present in LA (select parishes). Licensee partner Amelia Belle Casino. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.

About the Author

Dan Kilbridge

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Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.